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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/20/20 at 1:40 pm to LegendInMyMind
Tropical depression through Monroe LFGGG
Posted on 9/20/20 at 2:11 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
TIL:
Tropical Tidbits has an app
What’s official name? I don’t see it
Posted on 9/20/20 at 2:28 pm to The Boat
quote:
Tropical depression through Monroe
Look who gets to do work
Posted on 9/20/20 at 2:37 pm to The Boat
quote:
depression
quote:
Monroe
Checks out
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:09 pm to LaBR4
quote:
That’s my radar
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:11 pm to Duke
quote:
The Euro is still putting a lot of rain over SELA through Thursday. GFS is showing something similar. Get some enhanced convergence over the region and you get a rain band that kind of pulses in intensity and in exact location but just hangs over the region for days.
Then Beta is trying to cut off the dry air under a little blob of intense convection and make a somewhat improbable run toward hurricane...tropics are such fun.
No more, 2020.. no more, please
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:17 pm to Hulkklogan
I'll note, the GFS has lower rain totals but is on the idea of a band trying to set up over SELA for a while. Just going to watch for it to set up and see how much rain it drops in the early going.
No need to be too worried at this point, just aware. The WPC is way less aggressive than the models are fwiw.
No need to be too worried at this point, just aware. The WPC is way less aggressive than the models are fwiw.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:18 pm to Duke
Just being dramatic for entertainment.
This is still 5 days out, right? This could easily change.
This is still 5 days out, right? This could easily change.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:20 pm to Duke
I get twitchy when I start seeing big rainfall totals after 2016, but it seems like even the more Aggressive models aren’t pushing anything close to that right?
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 3:26 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:22 pm to Hulkklogan
quote:
Just being dramatic for entertainment.
I know people read these threads, so I don't want to have anyone thinking it's time to build an ark at this point.
quote:
This is still 5 days out, right? This could easily change.
I think the general idea might hold, but not taking rainfall totals on models to heart at this point.
quote:
but it seems like the more Aggressive models aren’t pushing anything close to that right?
No, nothing like 2016.
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 3:38 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:27 pm to Duke
quote:
No, nothing like 2016.
Good. I would hate for my house to mysteriously burn to the ground
This post was edited on 9/20/20 at 3:28 pm
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:27 pm to Duke
quote:
The Euro is still putting a lot of rain over SELA through Thursday. GFS is showing something similar. Get some enhanced convergence over the region and you get a rain band that kind of pulses in intensity and in exact location but just hangs over the region for days.
At least right now, the hi-res models aren't really seeing the same kind of heavy rain potential that the Euro is showing.
The 12z HREF (hi-res ensemble model run for SPC) shows this through 48hrs. One interesting thing is the rainfall from N. Texas into NW Louisiana. That appears to be associated with a PRE like feature and often times models under do totals associated with a PRE.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:36 pm to rds dc
So when will Beta make landfall, 3 days?
What are the impacts for Lake Charles and Baton Rouge?
What are the impacts for Lake Charles and Baton Rouge?
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:48 pm to treyk89
quote:
Not sure why you think I work for JBE
You blow him in the covid thread regularly.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:51 pm to rds dc
quote:
PRE like feature
En anglais?
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:54 pm to pwejr88
Regardless of amount of rain this forecast sucks for Hurricane Laura restoration activities.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 3:55 pm to Cosmo
quote:
You blow him in the covid thread regularly.
Mainly I’m just stating what I think he will do....mixed in with some unbiased thinking...mixed in with some trolling.
Posted on 9/20/20 at 4:07 pm to CE Tiger
Cone shifted 2 S’s left
Posted on 9/20/20 at 4:11 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Cone shifted 2 S’s left
Wait, is that SS or S'sS's?
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