- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:12 pm to rt3
It's all my fault, guys.
For monetary reasons, I agreed to an 8 day assignment in Lake Chuck starting Monday. Apparently Beta is planning to show up and keep me wet while I'm out climbing poles. Hopefully it'll at least keep the mosquitoes at bay--hearing reports that they have been awful over there post-storm.
For monetary reasons, I agreed to an 8 day assignment in Lake Chuck starting Monday. Apparently Beta is planning to show up and keep me wet while I'm out climbing poles. Hopefully it'll at least keep the mosquitoes at bay--hearing reports that they have been awful over there post-storm.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:14 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Lowest pressure is at 25.6 North 92.1 West on second pass.
raw data says 996 mb but it is usually adjusted. I guess we will see with the next VDM.
Have to see what they do with that. That was NE of what appeared to be the potential center fix. However, there was an area of really light wind before that drop out, so might be indicating that the LLC is trying to consolidate on the NE end of an elongated circulation. That would be pretty far NE of the NHC track and decently centered under that deep convective burst.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:21 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
Just like a storm named "Beta" looks like a limp dick
At least it's not Beto, then it would be dickless.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:22 pm to rds dc
quote:
B. 25.53 deg N 092.30 deg W
C. 925 mb 687 m
D. EXTRAP 996 mb
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:31 pm to Duke
quote:
B. 25.53 deg N 092.30 deg W
C. 925 mb 687 m
D. EXTRAP 996 mb
They used the 996mb but pinned it back SW to the first wind shift
Still well NE of track #5, which was NE of track #4
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:35 pm to Duke
Well son of a bitch
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:37 pm to rds dc
Have no idea what y’all are talking about. Trying to locate the center?
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:38 pm to rds dc
This is starting to look like the 12z GFS run from the 16th
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:39 pm to rds dc
quote:
They used the 996mb but pinned it back SW to the first wind shift
I thought that was weird, but what do I know?
quote:
Still well NE of track #5, which was NE of track #4
Not sure how much the north ends up mattering much, since it could easily get nudged sw as our little high builds in north. This east shift though has decided to complicate matters, which is just so on brand this season.
Of course, I guess it could just keep going with the trough. Seems very remote in terms of possibility.
This post was edited on 9/18/20 at 9:55 pm
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:41 pm to rds dc
Starting to kinda seem like it won’t make that push as far west as initially thought. Could that swing the NE turn more into La and bring up the rain chances? Also would less land interaction play into strengthening or is their gonna be enough sheer to keep it less organized?
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:42 pm to rds dc
quote:
Still well NE of track #5, which was NE of track #4
I assume this shift in starting position will not be reflected in the models until the 06Z runs, right?
The 00Z models have already started running I assume??
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:46 pm to rds dc
That storm got 2 eyes? That would be so 2020.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:47 pm to Hurricane Mike
quote:
That storm got 2 eyes? That would be so 2020.
While a two eyed hurricane would be 2020 as hell, you're just seeing a tilted system here. It's getting a lot of shear out of the SW and that's pushed the mid level center NE.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:52 pm to Duke
quote:
Not sure how much the north ends up mattering much, since it could easily get nudged sw as our little high builds in north. This east shift though has decided to complicate matters, which is just so on brand this season.
Yea, it does start moving it farther away from the Texas coast before the turn back west.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:56 pm to NorthEndZone
Why is the National Hurricane Center stuck on the old 4pm advisory?
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:57 pm to PinevilleTiger
quote:
Why is the National Hurricane Center stuck on the old 4pm advisory?
They haven't put out the 10 pm yet is mostly the issue.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:58 pm to rds dc
Is it 9:58 or is my clock wrong. The advisory is still not out.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:58 pm to PinevilleTiger
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BETA STRONGER... ...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE TEXAS COAST...
10:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 18
Location: 25.5°N 92.3°W
Moving: NNE at 12 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
10:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 18
Location: 25.5°N 92.3°W
Moving: NNE at 12 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:59 pm to rds dc
TS Watch all the way to Morgan City...
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0300Z 25.5N 92.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 26.3N 92.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 26.8N 92.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 26.8N 93.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 27.0N 94.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 21/1200Z 27.4N 95.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 27.8N 96.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 28.4N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 29.4N 94.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
quote:
ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT MANSFIELD...TX TO
HIGH ISLAND...TX INCLUDING BAFFIN BAY...CORPUS CHRISTI BAY...COPANO
BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...AND GALVESTON
BAY.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT ARANSAS...TX TO HIGH
ISLAND...TX.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE AND EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TO MORGAN
CITY LA.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0300Z 25.5N 92.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 26.3N 92.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 26.8N 92.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 26.8N 93.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 27.0N 94.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 21/1200Z 27.4N 95.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 27.8N 96.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 28.4N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 29.4N 94.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
Page 29 of 63
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News