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Started By
Message
re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:25 am to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:25 am to LegendInMyMind
Great time to get the hell out of Dodge and go somewhere cool and pleasant.
1
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:27 am to Lsupimp
GFS has it in SOuth Texas but very weak. Might have to throw GFS out from a MB perepective it doesn't get it below the 970s look like this run
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:28 am to rds dc
12z Canadian is Central Texas and 12z GFS is weak into South Texas
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:29 am to rds dc
Ok, I like this weakness talk a lot more.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:32 am to rds dc
Rds do you know if the HH data was included in these runs or nah?
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:36 am to LSUTiger23
quote:
I simply can’t even imagine a 34’ wave. Good grief man.
I wouldn't feel right if I let a comment about big waves in hurricanes pass without mentioning Ivan, who says hold his beer!
quote:
When Ivan entered the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory ocean-floor pressure sensors detected a freak wave, which was caused by the hurricane. The wave was around 91 feet (28 m) high from peak to trough, and around 660 feet (200 m) long.[4] Their computer models also indicated that waves may have exceeded 130 feet (40 m) in the eyewall.[5]
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:42 am to rds dc
Sheesh. That's a motha for ya-- that's why you see that "M" on top of Beryl as it plugs the Caribbean Sea
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:43 am to notiger1997
Not sure you can believe what the 12z GFS is showing, if it can show weakness the next couple runs then we could start feeling better but as of right now most models have a hurricane after it crosses the yucatan. Still 7 days out but something to keep an eye on.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:45 am to SWLA92
I hope it is true but it's crazy the run only got it down to 978 i believe it was and it's already at 960
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:48 am to lsuman25
“The only existential threat to humanity is climate change”
Cloud seeding machines go BBBBRRRRRRRRR
Cloud seeding machines go BBBBRRRRRRRRR
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:49 am to lsuman25
It seems that early on they’ve been predicting it to hit unfavorable conditions even before it gets to Mexico, which will weaken it.
Not sure how much we can know about what it does once back into the gulf this far out.
Not sure how much we can know about what it does once back into the gulf this far out.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:51 am to lsuman25
Yeah with the initialization off I think it throws off the whole run, a weaker storm will be steered across the yucatan into the BOC but the other models are showing atleast a hurricane passing the yucatan therefore getting pulled north
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:52 am to notiger1997
quote:
Not sure how much we can know about what it does once back into the gulf this far out.
Don't ruin the doom-casters Sunday…
Posted on 6/30/24 at 11:52 am to notiger1997
Recon right now just a made a pass that had a 958mb it won’t stop bombing out
Posted on 6/30/24 at 12:03 pm to SWLA92
quote:
bombing out
I've been waiting on this!
Posted on 6/30/24 at 12:04 pm to SWLA92
One thing that (possibly) could cramp its style is if it consorts with that big bloom of Sahara Dust. This apparently hasn't ever occurred during the years NOAA has been tracking Atlantic storms. No one kneaux what happens when a Cat 4 monster siezes megatons of fine sand; we can only hypothesize til we observe with our own eyes-- kinda like that huge asteroid which hit Jupiter head-on in 1994.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 12:13 pm to jmarto1
Would you rather me put “strengthening”?
Posted on 6/30/24 at 12:15 pm to MardiGrasCajun
quote:
I moved from DFW to Hattiesburg a couple of years ago. Hattiesburg sucks (only here temporarily)
What’s wrong with it? I always found it to be a nice little town. I was there a month ago for a couple days for work.
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