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re: Analysis of LA's Covid Numbers - Deaths and Cases Only by Age

Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:42 am to
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
24868 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:42 am to
Karen and libs don’t care about your silly facts and data

Everyone, EVERYONE is just dropping dead in the streets
Posted by Peazey
Metry
Member since Apr 2012
25418 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:43 am to
The conclusion that we can draw from this is that if you are over 60 then your life doesn't matter, and if you think that people over 60 matter then you are incapable of thought. Facts. LOL.
This post was edited on 7/21/20 at 10:44 am
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
21733 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:43 am to
JuSt WeAr YoUr MaSk, PlEaSe.


Otherwise, I feel you are literally trying to kill me and my family...
Posted by blueridgeTiger
Granbury, TX
Member since Jun 2004
21733 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:45 am to
Science only matters when it supports your preconception.
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
6145 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:45 am to
First of all, I think schools should open. Especially the younger kids that are too young to stay home alone and won't learn anything remotely.

But you are missing is a key point. With schools open, the kids (especially higher grades) are likely to spread it to each other and bring it home. Of course, this is the OT so we've seen studies, where parents can't give it to kids and we've seen studies saying kids can't give it to parents. Somehow kids can still get it which just means we really still don't know.

I think any comparison of h1n1 to covid-19 is flawed. Sure it affects different age groups. But spread is spread. People need to live their life but still take it seriously b/c their are many at-risk people that may not be going to school, work, the store, etc, but they are around the people doing those things.


quote:

People under 30 make up 30% of the cases, but only 0.4% of the deaths! Reminder that this age group was severely impacted by Swine Flu back in 2009 when over 2000 nationally died as a result.

Just curious, where did you get this number?
Posted by Datfish
Member since Sep 2018
794 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:45 am to
The death rate percentages also don't account for all the people who got the virus but did not get tested, meaning the death rate percentages are inflated.

By how much? No one really knows.
Posted by mlminbtr
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2003
669 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:46 am to
Maybe, but the number of deaths over 60 due only to COVID would be an interesting statistic. We're all going to die of something and if one were to look at the mortality rate overall for deaths of 60+ years old due to natural causes (meaning health causes) I'm certain the percentage would be higher than those of other age groups. So, it still seems a rather interesting statistic to know.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

The conclusion that we can draw from this is that if you are over 60 then your life doesn't matter, and if you think that people over 60 matter then you are incapable of thought. Facts. LOL.
I say in my OP that steps should be taken to protect this vulnerable group. Of course their lives matter. But they can live and take precautions and assess their own risk while the rest of the world continues on. It's not an either/or here.
This post was edited on 7/21/20 at 10:46 am
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
48708 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

And it's a good point to remind everyone that we don't have the true case numbers either. We KNOW that there were many, many cases from January - May that were missed and still some being missed today.


Well, that’s what a crude CFR is - is deaths divided by known cases. An adjusted CFR is when we calculate unconfirmed cases - and with this age group that will be a high number.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
60834 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:50 am to
quote:

b/c their are many at-risk people that may not be going to school, work, the store, etc, but they are around the people doing those things.


Well then these people need to stay home as much as possible and have people do shopping and stuff for them.
And I would only suggest that to an extreme case if they have underlying conditions.
Posted by nugget
Abrego Garcia Fan
Member since Dec 2009
15303 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:

The conclusion that we can draw from this is that if you are over 60 then your life doesn't matter, and if you think that people over 60 matter then you are incapable of thought. Facts.


That’s not true. However, you’ve proven time and time again that complex thought eludes you.

I’m sorry your application to become the 5th member of the squad was denied. Please don’t take it out on us, though.
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6841 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:58 am to
Please make this shareable!!!!!!!
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
104494 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

So if JBE adds additional closures today, know that there's no statistical, scientific basis for it.
Correct, but sadly enough, the Presidents task force is asking him to lockdown further
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

With schools open, the kids (especially higher grades) are likely to spread it to each other and bring it home.
Studies in Germany and elsewhere have shown this not to be the case. Kids of such a low viral load that they don't seem to spread it much.
quote:

Somehow kids can still get it which just means we really still don't know.
Yes, they can get it. It can spread. Most gradeschool and high school kids aren't going home to 70 year olds. Those who are should take precautions to protect those older people.
quote:

I think any comparison of h1n1 to covid-19 is flawed.
It's a novel virus. No comparison will be perfect. The point is that H1N1 significantly impacted kids and the working class compared to Covid.
quote:

Just curious, where did you get this number?
The CDC
Posted by carhartt
Member since Feb 2013
8073 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:04 am to
The cases number is proven by more than 1 Parish to be BS.

The deaths numbers are proven to be incorrectly reported. So they too are unreliable BS.

Almost this whole charade is BS.

And it will all magically disappear the middle of November.
Posted by Nature Boy
Negatiger
Member since Jan 2008
19048 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:


Studies in Germany and elsewhere have shown this not to be the case. Kids of such a low viral load that they don't seem to spread it much.


This kind of study NEVER sees the light of day in the US. I can’t think of one positive scientific study that has impacted mitigation policy in the US. Even things that are proven highly unlikely to cause spread go unmentioned, which is why you see people wearing masks in their cars or by themselves outside, or wearing gloves and shite all day. This kind of behavior is never corrected by our ‘leadership’, and in fact is tacitly endorsed because they simply do not address it in the media, press conferences, etc. It’s all doom and gloom, all the time.
Posted by transcend
Austin, TX
Member since Aug 2013
4166 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:12 am to
1. Isolating only those in high risk group will never end the outbreak.
2. Lower risk individuals will eventually infect those who are higher risk.
3. Overwhelmed medical resources pose a risk to all age groups. Combine this outbreak with flu this fall/winter and this will get exceedingly worse.
4. There are effects outside of just "death" in all age groups. Some of these seem to be long-term.


I'm not of the opinion everything should be shut down everywhere, but in areas where there is a clear outbreak measures should be taken. This includes school closings.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
21833 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Lower risk individuals will eventually infect those who are higher risk.


Isn't that already happening?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
86758 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

1. Isolating only those in high risk group will never end the outbreak.
The goal isn't to end anything. It's to protect those who need it. NOTHING ever suggested could end this outbreak. That's not realistic. The fact you even bring it up makes you naive.
quote:

2. Lower risk individuals will eventually infect those who are higher risk.
Unless those lower risk individuals develop some immunity or can stay away long enough for a vaccine. You're making my point. All we can do is take precautions for those who are most at risk as best we can.
quote:

3. Overwhelmed medical resources pose a risk to all age groups.
Welcome to March I guess. We aren't here anymore. Hospitals are bleeding money because they don't have their beds full. They're MEANT to be that way.
quote:

4. There are effects outside of just "death" in all age groups. Some of these seem to be long-term.
That's true for ANY illness. Colds and flu and anything else can have a lasting effect that may or may not heal or get better. Nothing has shown Covid to be any worse than others. Nothing.
quote:

This includes school closings.
So you're an idiot then.
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
67986 posts
Posted on 7/21/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

JBE adds additional closures today, k


We desperately need to reinvest in local politics.

No one should vote strictly based on which national federal political party your local politicians align with. Judge them based on their accomplishments and accolades in the community. Not their Ability to asskiss the feds. That’s literally counter to the founding principles of this country and we need to wake up. But we won’t. This is going to get worse before it gets better.
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