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re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland

Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:33 am to
Posted by Demshoes
Up in here
Member since Aug 2015
10727 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:33 am to
quote:

So, is it time to loot my local Rouse's, or nah


Too late. I already purchased all of the water from the metropolitan area Rouses.
Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1492 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:34 am to
I love using this one for GOES16 ( LINK)
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20704 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:39 am to
quote:

buying all of their milk and bread
Milk sandwich guy during bad weather huh?
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54180 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:39 am to
motherfricker, what was suppose to be a weekend of fishing saturday and George Strait in the Dome Sunday is going to turn into prepping camps and moving boats
Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1492 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:41 am to
We're still going to see George (unless they cancel) then turning around and heading to Dallas on Monday. Going to be a fun drive out of town. I'm hoping for a slight shift eastward to leave NOLA out of it completely save for some moderate rain.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21480 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:45 am to
quote:


it would have a "S" in it no matter if it's a tropical storm or subtropical storm

or did I misread what you meant


Exactly. I understand the science that the NHC is using to categorize the system but to me it causes a messaging problem. We spend a lot of time internally at the various science based agencies discussing how to best communicate technical science to the general public. IMHO, the NHC should either not name it or just call it a TS. Then in the technical discussion describe that it has subtropical characteristics. There are plenty of examples of highly sheared TS that look like STS.

Alberto formed from a large cyclonic gyre interacting with a upper level trough over the Gulf. Cindy formed last year from a large cyclonic gyre that interacted with a tropical wave. So one started tropical and one subtropical.

Here is the Cindy rainfall map, most impacts were well east of the center.



So for the avg beachgoer, the impacts are basically the same.
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
54180 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:45 am to
quote:

We're still going to see George (unless they cancel) then turning around and heading to Dallas on Monday.


Yeah if it doesn't get cancelled we will be there
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20704 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:45 am to
I'm just checking in.

My family was supposed to go to a place west of Gulf Shores next week. Looks like a bad idea based on what I'm seeing
Posted by Saskwatch
Member since Feb 2016
18183 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:47 am to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:47 am to
quote:

So is my camper in Grand Isle a goner?


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21480 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:53 am to
12z GFS coming in hot

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:54 am to
And west.

Is there an escape path north from that point?
Posted by Saskwatch
Member since Feb 2016
18183 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:54 am to
Ahhh frick... Time to go swimming in the fish bowl! The operational pumps that are online will surely overheat and catch on fire/blow up.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:55 am to
12z GFS is running now. It's a bit slower and west of the 6z run.

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178806 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:56 am to
quote:

And west.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:57 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 10:59 am to
Upper trough cuts off early on that run and thus the strength with shear dropping bigly.

The problem of course, is that it now looks like the GFS has it trapped in weak stearing.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 11:02 am to


Not exactly an ideal solution.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21480 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 11:03 am to
quote:


The problem of course, is that it now looks like the GFS has it trapped in weak stearing.


Looks like about 24hrs to drift from the mouth of the River to NO on this run.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 5/25/18 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Looks like about 24hrs to drift from the mouth of the River to NO on this run.

go ahead... give the pump operators Memorial Day off... they wouldn't help any anyway
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