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re: 51 presumptive cases in Louisiana

Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:27 pm to
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
91676 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:27 pm to
Only 2 confirmed.

I mentioned how a lot of people were sick before mardis gras, at school and at work. This thing has already been here and We will be fine.

Others noted they went to the doctor but didn't test positive for flu. That they just had a severe cold. Well this was it.
Posted by DeepBlueSea
Member since Jan 2018
824 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Only 2 confirmed cases and 0 deaths, but let’s lose our shite


Even though losing our shite over nothing has serious consequences, I think from this point forward we’d prefer that outcome over the alternative. The problem is that we still have a LONG way to go before we can comfortably make that determination. The only concrete info we have right now indicates that there can be a long incubation period, a delayed onset of severe symptoms, and very protracted acute phase. The time period from exposure to resolution (either death or recovery/discharge) can last 5-6 weeks or more for those severe cases. Even if they represent a very small minority of the number of people infected, it’s going to be many weeks or months before we can accurately measure the real-world impact. The widespread testing snafus have also set us much further back in that process than we should have been.

In the past week my day-to-day encounters have shifted my attitude from completely dismissive to cautiously aware of what’s possible, best case and worst case. For instance, every health care provider I trust and know well enough to ask has told me they believe the virus has already been actively circulating based on the number of flu-negative, atypical viral pneumonias they’ve seen. I also personally know two people who were fast-tracked for testing by their physicians: one high-risk person with classic symptoms who was hospitalized for a week, and another in a group of coworkers who had no symptoms but all had documented, prolonged exposure to a confirmed case. Both were eventually released to self-quarantine by extremely frustrated physicians who said that they just couldn’t get a test kit allocated no matter how hard they tried because there were so few available. If cases like that didn’t qualify, I can’t imagine how limited the supply was or how insanely narrow the actual threshold for testing was.

This all happened earlier in the week, so hopefully some of these issues are slowly getting resolved. It’s also anecdotal. But how many other people might have had similar experiences by now? And how many people could they have unknowingly infected if by chance they were positive? I can say that the two I know are active enough in the community to have had close daily contact with hundreds of non-relatives, so if you do the math it’s easy to see the potential for a big spike in new infections over the next week or two.

Unfortunately, we have little more than that kind of speculation to inform the current plan of action because we’ve been so handicapped by the limitations on testing — which is, bottom line, the reason we’re in this mess to begin with. Media frenzy and Chicken Little types are easy targets for blame, but we could avoided all/most of this if we had as much hard data to work with at this point as we should have.
Posted by Lsutiger2424
Member since Dec 2016
1001 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:29 pm to
That chart may be accurate but may not be. There is one confirmed in St. Bernard but may be in a hospital in orleans. So take it with a grain of salt.
Posted by MardiGrasCajun
Dirty Coast, MS
Member since Sep 2005
6043 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

almost definitely has the most




Posted by Mudminnow
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2004
34216 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:40 pm to
67 cases in Louisiana now.

Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51630 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:51 pm to
Louisiana is 2nd or 3rd in cases per capita. That’s eye-opening!
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178358 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:53 pm to
Louisiana had Mardi Gras which was probably the biggest social mass gathering in the country from people all over the world during the month of February when Covid was moving around undetected.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:55 pm to
So 142 people have been tested and only 2 have confirmed positive for the CV-19 virus??
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51630 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:55 pm to
Is that 142 results or tests awaiting results?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53837 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 12:59 pm to
I don't give a shite if I get it. I'm 42 and reasonably healthy. I'll just stay home and ride it out. Otherwise, I'm going to go about my life. People have lost their damn minds.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51630 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

People have lost their damn minds

Like the biggest anti-conspiracy, anti-fake news president ever?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
117256 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:05 pm to
Does Louisiana have an actual CONFIRMED case?
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53837 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Like the biggest anti-conspiracy, anti-fake news president ever?

I voted for Trump and will again in November. I don't lay the blame on him but so far swine flu was a much bigger deal, yet here we are
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78697 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:13 pm to
What’s mind boggling to me is that maybe we aren’t as divided of a nation as people think.

Think of all the rural areas as well as inner cities that are taking this to a new level of paranoia. This isn’t just liberals or conservatives freakin out. It’s everyone.
Posted by Number 9 Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:16 pm to
142 were tested in La.
51 were positive
CDC confifmed 2 cases

My question, were any of the state’s positive tests not confirmed by the CDC?
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 1:23 pm
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

But I was told this was a nothing burger!


No you weren't
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53837 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

What’s mind boggling to me is that maybe we aren’t as divided of a nation as people think.

Social media, instant news culture? It makes no sense why people are acting this way.

Restrictions on nursing homes and things like that do. Maybe more people work from home for a few months? This isn't an ebola outbreak.
Posted by Mudminnow
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2004
34216 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Louisiana is 2nd or 3rd in cases per capita. That’s eye-opening!


Soon to be #1. Louisiana dropped the ball tremendously. Many states were ramping up testing and Louisiana only tested 11 people at that time. People and doctors were begging for people to be tested. Instead they sent them home to go to Pelicans games, or normal routine.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30079 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:29 pm to
A parish-by-parish breakdown of positive tests wasn't provided with the updated total of 67.

The vast majority of COVID-19 cases are in the greater New Orleans area. Here's a breakdown from the Louisiana Dept. of Health:

Bossier: 1

Caddo: 1

Jefferson: 10

Orleans: 44

St. Charles: 2

St. John the Baptist: 1

St. Tammany: 2

Terrebonne: 2
Posted by DeepBlueSea
Member since Jan 2018
824 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

I don't give a shite if I get it. I'm 42 and reasonably healthy. I'll just stay home and ride it out. Otherwise, I'm going to go about my life. People have lost their damn minds.


I’m around the same age — low BMI, eat well, stay active, and don’t think of myself as an unhealthy person at all. On paper, though, I’ve got some pretty major risk factors (primary immune deficiency and interstitial lung disease). Respiratory viruses are obviously an issue in any season. I’m still going on about my business as much as possible, though, because I think the stress of panic shopping, covering myself with masks or gloves, sanitizing every surface, or staying at least 6’ away from everyone else would be a whole lot more detrimental to my health than sticking to the same reasonable policy of hand washing/not licking things that I normally use.

Even if I get it, those underlying health conditions don’t mean I’ll for sure develop a dangerous case. My risk of that is still much closer to zero than 100%. That said, I’d be lying if I told you that I wouldn’t have a slightly nervous couple weeks if I got it and then found out all the local hospitals were at/over capacity.
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 1:44 pm
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