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re: 51 presumptive cases in Louisiana

Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:54 am to
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53837 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:54 am to

SWB doing work in the most populous parish in the state. We are all good baws
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
139229 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:54 am to
Hard Rock demo has been postponed indefinitely. Can't have 250 people on the jobsite at once.
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:55 am to
Deaths: 0
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
71840 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Crazy to think that Louisiana may overtake Texas in the number of cases.


Unless Texas has changed from its 34 cases, this has already happened.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:57 am to
Yup, but let's close everything

10 of the New Orleans cases are from the same nursing home as well I believe
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Deaths: 0


Yet
Posted by mjax57
Vinings, GA
Member since Mar 2012
5139 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
Because the world operates based on the idea that a high number of people will get this virus. At 3-4% mortality rate (pace virus currently holds) and even 100 million positives.. you’re talking about 3-4 million people dying, that’s a scary thought if it doesn’t slow down and drags out for a long time.
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 10:00 am
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
57530 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:

It’s going to double just about every day for the next two weeks in my opinion.

The rise in positives will correlate to the amount of testing. It appears that warm weather and humidity is fatal to the virus. I think it dies out rapidly in Louisiana.
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25352 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
Technically, it should double every 4 days, but with the availability of test kits it may skew the results to greater than that.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9287 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
You realize the average day of death after contracting the disease is over 18 days right?

Our first confirmed test likely still hasn’t even reached that point.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
58284 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:58 am to
quote:


Think we’ll see it get to 1,000 within the next two weeks at the latest


Well that’s a stupid assumption.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45198 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:00 am to
835k
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:00 am to
Texas department of health isn't releasing numbers?
When I go I just see information on prevention
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51630 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:00 am to
quote:

So doubling each day for two weeks gives us what number?

I’m really fricking dumb at math but I’m coming up with 417,792. I’m probably embarrassingly off with that figure

If that’s correct, then I’m wrong - it WON’T double every day for two weeks. That would be insane.
Posted by Wiseguy
Member since Mar 2020
4073 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:01 am to
quote:

ow has Baton Rouge not been on the board yet? What are they hiding?


Limited testing to this point. But there are several likely cases in BR hospitals waiting for tests to come back. If they come back positive as expected BR may join the list today.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
71840 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:01 am to
I didn't see anything from them either. I had to look for news articles. So it's probably not incredibly reliable.
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9287 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:01 am to
It’s gone from 1 to 51 in five days. Two of the biggest population centers, Lafayette and Baton Rouge, are only just now really ramping up testing. New Orleans is still not remotely testing everyone they can.

Let’s be clear. Way over 1,000 people already have this. And in two weeks it’ll be way over 10,000. It’s just a matter of how many get tested
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52585 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Unless Texas has changed from its 34 cases, this has already happened.
we overtake them almost daily until they update their numbers
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:03 am to
Yeah I doubt anywhere is reliable yet
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 10:04 am
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53837 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:04 am to
quote:

Limited testing to this point. But there are several likely cases in BR hospitals waiting for tests to come back. If they come back positive as expected BR may join the list today.

There are probably hundreds of people in BR that have it. How many people have the symptoms and just ride it out and never see a doctor? I'd bet more than actually go to one.
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