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Explain it to me like I'm five. How/why did our cap situation get so bad?

Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:00 am
Posted by Slippy
Across the rivah
Member since Aug 2005
7087 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:00 am
I mean, it's not just "bad." It's possibly the worst I have ever seen. I can understand a team here or there mortgaging their future to win a championship, but the Saints aren't that. This is a very bad team with zero money to get better.

If it's about management clinging to a "win now" mindset in spite of a decaying roster, then why have they done nothing but get worse?
Posted by Hx15261
Member since Aug 2024
138 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:02 am to
This must be your 1st visit to this site.
Posted by Boss
Member since Dec 2007
1610 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:03 am to
We need ot make a hard choice, but Loomis won't do it. We should cut:

Carr
Ram
Jordan
Hill
Matthieu
Williams

That would give us 11 million in cap space and 99 million in space next year. We need to be bad for a couple of years. We went 5 and fricking 12 this year with what Loomis said was a playoff roster. Dude is a fricking moron, and needs to go, and if we don't gut the roster, I'm out until he is out.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
50348 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:10 am to
Ram is basically retired, the only reason he is still on the roster at all is to lessen cap hit
Posted by WheyCheddar
Member since Aug 2024
453 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:17 am to
See can. Hear kick. Road down.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
32033 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:19 am to
The Saints wanted to keep expensive veteran player AND sign expensive free agents year after year. They didn't really have the "liquidity" to do it, but they made it work within the cap by continuing to backload the cap hit for lot of the expensive contracts. As guys would get older their cap hits would become more onerous...for decreasing production. That put the Saints in a spots where it is cost prohibitive to cut the older players whose production has decreased.

In other words, they remained in "win now", worry about how to pay for it later, mode. They really couldn't afford the expensive toys, but they bought them on credit with favorable initial interest rates that they kept refinancing. Now the toys are breaking down and they still have to pay a big bill for them...leaving them with little money to afford new, better, toys.
Posted by Geauxldilocks
Member since Aug 2018
3902 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:19 am to
Arrogance at GM level coupled with incompetence at ownership level.
Posted by Kool Kaliper
Mansfield, TX
Member since Nov 2018
1643 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:22 am to
Mickey "Smackin Gum" Loomis
Posted by westbankdabestbank
Back of Ames
Member since Nov 2024
119 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:24 am to
Carr will still be a Saint as there's no way to get out of the red without restructuring his contract (need to be in the black before 6/1 so a post-6/1 cut isn't doable).
Posted by BBJ
BR
Member since Apr 2012
1472 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:33 am to
They would push money down the road during the last few years of Brees to keep talent for SB run. Was great idea then as these were mid career guys and you had Brees. As soon as he retired you should have unloaded much of those players but instead you doubled down and keep pushing money down the road but not for mid career guys now old veterans. So with old veterans there isn’t much room for kicking the can. Then while handling the old veterans double down even more paying Derek Carr whom no one wanted to a $150M contract. Buccs were in our position but signed baker to $5m contact and ate dead cap. Saints did not. On top of that sign a 60 year old can Jordan to over $20m a year. It all comes to a head when 4 years ago action should have been taken. If you did take that action, very possible you have Trevor Lawrence , cj strout or one of the rookies from this year. If not that much better young talent


Get ready for every opening to be filled before the saints. Least desirable because of loomis
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9837 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Carr
Ram
Jordan
Hill
Matthieu
Williams

That would give us 11 million in cap space and 99 million in space next year.


This is very misleading. The Saints are 66M over the cap, 11M in space does not help. There have to be extensions/restructures (and hopefully friendly retirements in Ram or maybe Cam) to get cap compliant. We can't just "cut a ton of players" and suffer. We literally could cut the entire roster and would not be under the cap for the 2025 League Year.

To answer OP's question honestly and not just being a hater, the team used this strategy that pushed cap pain into the future because the cap is always going up, so a dollar today is worth much more than a dollar in 2-3 years when the cap is higher. It's basic math, and honestly, if you're winning, it's not a bad strategy IMO.

The problem is, when the team is bad like we are now, it feels like you're stuck because of what I described above...we're so tight to the cap that we can't just fully blow it up. It's a trade off - you can be more competitive for longer with this strategy, but your rebuilds will be harsher. This is likely why the team has resisted rebuilding so hard (and will likely continue to do so).
This post was edited on 1/7/25 at 9:47 am
Posted by Islandboy777
DAUPHIN ISLAND
Member since Jul 2023
2028 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 10:03 am to
DREW BREES
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
19004 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 10:45 am to
quote:

We should cut:

Carr
Ram
Jordan
Hill
Matthieu
Williams

That would give us 11 million in cap space and 99 million in space next year.

You are missing a huge piece of this, which would keep this plan from working. In order for cutting all of these players to get $11M under the cap, they would all need to be post-6/01 cuts. The team has to be cap compliant by 3/12/25 or the league steps in to manipulate contracts, then penalizes the team. Will be a significant penalty as the team would then be a repeat offender (due to shenanigans that 1 year where the CBA was delayed).

Cutting those players now only saves $4.3M, which means the team is now $62.5M over the cap and has $178M in dead money - 2025 cap projected to be $275M

You can designate only 2 of those players as post 6/01 cap cuts, but even doing that the entire amount of dead money hits the books on 3/12 and does not come off until 6/01. So they would not have the wiggle room to get under the cap due to the amount of dead money.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
19004 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 10:50 am to
quote:

To answer OP's question honestly and not just being a hater, the team used this strategy that pushed cap pain into the future because the cap is always going up, so a dollar today is worth much more than a dollar in 2-3 years when the cap is higher. It's basic math, and honestly, if you're winning, it's not a bad strategy IMO.

This has been exacerbated by solely using void years to push the money down the road, rather than a combination of the void years and extensions. There were even a few instances where the team had a big cap hit in dead money because of the void years, then resigned the players to another multi-year contract, with more voided years, causing them to hit the books twice. I remember when this happened with Tre'Quan, he did not sign a new deal before the new league year so had the dead money from voided years, then signed a new deal which made him count twice against the cap. Then he was cut that year, and had 2 different contracts sitting in the dead money pool...Loomising
Posted by DeBerryJacket
DeBerry
Member since Dec 2014
356 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Arrogance at GM level coupled with incompetence at ownership level.


Arrogance & incompetence at GM level

FIFY
Posted by High Life
Member since Dec 2014
2983 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Explain it to me like I'm five


We sold out for Brees in his final years. Instead of throwing in the towel we wasted championship level teams on the Winston, Dalton, Hill experiment. We lost Sean. Loomis went full commando and doubled down on DA, Carr and an old declining roster. Most fans are just now realizing we need to start over because our fans have this weird blind optimism.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21151 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 11:50 am to
Wow
Posted by crownNbull
Gretna
Member since Jun 2010
3199 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:04 pm to
B/c idiot Saints fans didn’t realize “Loomising” was creating this.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
37692 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

If it's about management clinging to a "win now" mindset in spite of a decaying roster, then why have they done nothing but get worse?



You make choices, that was one. Sometimes you make the choice before you have a clear picture because the situation doesn't clarify until you are a little down the road. I think they dropped that idea either sometime last season or this season. So I expect things to improve now.

I know everyone hates Loomis now but he is a money guy above all else, He will again kick the can partially down the road but now to lessen the cap hit in the next 2 years rather than get high-end veteran pieces. As a few guys have said, 2027 is the year to circle.

If that turns out not to be the case, the Saints are screwed until Mickey is gone.

Posted by New City Champ
Member since Jul 2018
591 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:30 pm to
Yeah, the worst is I can't help but feeling this was done to keep the Saints on a timeline for Mickey rather than what was best for the team. He only had so many years left as a GM and didn't want to waste 2-3 of them sucking and rebuilding so he totally mortgaged the future of the team to go for an improbable championship during his final years.

The worst of all would be if he and others actually have convinced themselves that the Saints are close to being a winning team. That means you have delusional management on your hands. One thing I'll give old Tom Benson: He might have been a greedy SOB who didn't give to charity, but he wouldn't have put up with this shite in his organization...
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