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re: Derek Carr Effect

Posted on 1/28/24 at 11:37 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481186 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 11:37 am to
quote:

What a fricking idiot.

Hey dude, how many points a team scores is a pretty important and measured stat.

But it's too influenced on things that have nothing to do with the offense. Defense and special teams influence scoring offenses severely, which takes away from the offense's influence.

Nobody worth anything uses scoring offense as a primary (or hell, even secondary) tool to judge offenses.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
77130 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 11:56 am to
I'll take points. Point differential. Def. and Off..

The last 4 teams in playoffs are all top 8 in scoring off and Def points allowed.

The top half in this is where the vast majority of playoff teams came from. Strangely one team near the top of this stat didn't make the playoffs. That would be the NOS.

statmuse 2023 points
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 11:59 am to
Carr is a loser and anyone suggesting otherwise is a loser themselves.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
77130 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

is a loser themselves.


Boy that seems a little harsh
Posted by msstate7
Member since Oct 2014
12618 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 12:11 pm to
Some people take this way too serious.
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
15203 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

We were down 27-3 vs the Vikings when Carr got concussed and 33-21 vs the Lions when he got hurt


Both games the defense was absolutely dog shite and let them score almost every possession at the beginning. The early int against the lions was from Juwan Johnson not catching an easy throw. Carr did look good the second half of the lions game and I think we were in at least fg range when he got hurt. Vikings game he was shite along with the entire offense.
This post was edited on 1/28/24 at 12:34 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74480 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 12:32 pm to
High Scoring and positive point differential usually correlates to wins and playoffs. One must ask themselves what happened here? Oldest, most experienced team in the league vs the softest schedules, littering with bad teams with bad QBs. In a minute, you’re going to hear the rest of the story

+105 in four games vs Mac Jones, Bryce Young, Devito and Ridder

+32 in the other 5 wins

-62 in your losses


These cumulative, counting stats that are being cited do not make this season any easier to digest. It actually amplifies the problems
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
173774 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 1:28 pm to
That patriots game for example
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74480 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Both games the defense was absolutely dog shite and let them score almost every possession at the beginning. The early int against the lions was from Juwan Johnson not catching an easy throw. Carr did look good the second half of the lions game and I think we were in at least fg range when he got hurt. Vikings game he was shite along with the entire offense.


13 possessions, 1 TD in the first half of those two games
Posted by Locoguan0
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2017
7270 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 2:08 pm to
Doesn't help that the defense stunk against the run (22nd). The offense also stunk running the ball (21st). Kamara is slowly becoming less worth what he is being paid.
Posted by AFtigerFan
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2008
3795 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

GB, sure


We were down 27-3 vs the Vikings when Carr got concussed and 33-21 vs the Lions when he got hurt
So you agree with me then. I mean, your repeated, in your own words, what I said. Weird post.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
77130 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

These cumulative, counting stats that are being cited do not make this season any easier to digest. It actually amplifies the problems












Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
73284 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

That means the rest of the NFC South had roughly the same schedule. What were their offensive rankings?

ETA:

Saints: 41 total offensive tds
Bucs: 36 total offensive tds
Falcons: 31 total offensive tds
Panthers: 20 total offensive tds


Well with a stat like that, surely we won the division.....right?

quote:



For fun,
Chiefs: 37 total offensive tds



For fun, which team is still playing.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
34922 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:05 pm to
I mean it was clear the Saints just couldn't beat any good teams this yr.

That was an overall team/coaching issue. I'm not saying Carr wasn't at fault, cause he was.

Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74480 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

So you agree with me then. I mean, your repeated, in your own words, what I said. Weird post
.

You said he was knocked out of 3 games, all losses, insinuating we lost bc he left the game? Pardon me if that’s not how it’s supposed to read
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
73284 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:20 pm to
quote:


I mean it was clear the Saints just couldn't beat any good teams this yr.

That was an overall team/coaching issue. I'm not saying Carr wasn't at fault, cause he was.


This is correct. There were failures up and down the team this year. But that doesn't take away that we paid $30 million for someone only marginally better than what Andy Dalton gave us in 2022 at $4 million.

Carr
Comp %: 68.4
QBR: 56.7

Dalton:
Comp %: 66.7
QBR: 53.1

Carr had Mike Thomas nearly the entire season why Dalton had him for 3 games. It's very much OK to not be happy with that ROI.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
73284 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:21 pm to
quote:


You said he was knocked out of 3 games, all losses, insinuating we lost bc he left the game? Pardon me if that’s not how it’s supposed to read


I took it as him using that as a reason for loss as well. Starting pitchers get recorded for a loss when they exit a game while losing.
Posted by AFtigerFan
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2008
3795 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

He was knocked out of 3 games… all losses. I believe we would have won the Green Bay game
Here’s what I said. I do believe we would have won the Green Bay game. If it looked like I was insinuating something else, then my bad. I thought it was clear.

My point was we would have been a playoff team, and because of that, I’m not ready to write Carr off yet.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
73284 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 3:47 pm to
quote:


Here’s what I said. I do believe we would have won the Green Bay game. If it looked like I was insinuating something else, then my bad. I thought it was clear.


You should have left off the other two games, then.

quote:


My point was we would have been a playoff team, and because of that, I’m not ready to write Carr off yet.


I'm not completely writing him off as a failure.....but I am saying that paying $26 million more for a QB for the same results as last year is a failure. Dalton was also a game away from the playoffs last season.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
34922 posts
Posted on 1/28/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

not completely writing him off as a failure.....but I am saying that paying $26 million more for a QB for the same results as last year is a failure. Dalton was also a game away from the playoffs last season.




Wasn't Dalton playing for Payton?

Didn't Payton make jameis look like less of a gunslinger with a 12/3 td/int ratio.

This is stupid to fight about. Carr will be here next year.

Carr will never be a top qb. He gets scared in the pocket and has happy feet. He will never be able to fix those problems.

Just watch carr's feet.
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