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re: Carr gets 4 years $150mil / $100 mil guaranteed

Posted on 3/6/23 at 7:18 pm to
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
14054 posts
Posted on 3/6/23 at 7:18 pm to
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 3/6/23 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

So you'd trade the Payton era for the Haslett era?


That’s not what the hell I said and you know it
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476599 posts
Posted on 3/6/23 at 8:57 pm to
That may not be what he meant but that's what he ultimately said
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8599 posts
Posted on 3/6/23 at 11:02 pm to
Dennis Allen wanted to give us a reminder of how he fricked us long after he’s been fired we will still be paying Carr.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
34572 posts
Posted on 3/7/23 at 12:07 am to
Here are the true Derek Carr terms. It's a three-year, $100M deal with a $50M salary for 2026 that pushes the average from $33.3M to $37.5M. Also, the Saints can escape the contract after two years.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476599 posts
Posted on 3/7/23 at 5:31 am to
quote:

Here are the true Derek Carr terms. It's a three-year, $100M deal


quote:

Also, the Saints can escape the contract after two years.


Both of these require assumptions that we know are not true.

Are the Saints going to keep Carr on a $35.7M cap hit next year? Or will the convert at least a portion of his $30M base into signing bonus? Of course they will. Then we can't just cut him after 2-3 years b/c the dead cap accelerates to insane levels.

IF somehow we managed to not restructure his base next year and cut him, we should have over a $20M dead cap number (17.1 + 5.7), so this "it can be a 2 year deal" comments are pretty silly.

We are already $84M over the estimated 2024 cap (per Sportstrac) with all of the restructuring.

Looks like Jameis (assuming post June 1 cut) is 8.4M in dead money. Michael Thomas will be 14M in dead money (per Sportrac) almost guaranteed. That's about 10% of our 2024 cap gone with those 2.

Then you have Cam Jordan (when he's not under contract) eating up another $12.7M of the cap. Now you're up to $35.3M in dead money.

If we cut Peat this year and designate it as a post June 1 cut, that adds about $10M in dead money to 2024.

Then we'd be up to about $45M in dead money for 2024. That's over 20% of our cap

I don't see any other potential cut options, based on all the restructures we did recently.

Every year that dead cap % keeps climbing, and we haven't addressed the difficult contracts (Taysom Hill, now Mathieu, etc.).
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162902 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 9:50 am to
folks still feeling like this contract is "good value?"
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130226 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 9:53 am to
Scrolled through this to see if I posted anything unbelievably stupid, pleasantly surprised
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
21717 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 10:15 am to
I don't need to scroll through, I know I had a lot of bad takes. I was a big fan of the trade and thought he would be one of the better QBs in the NFC (more about the state of QB play in the NFC, than his abilities). I overlooked his bad play last year because I think McDaniels is trash as a HC, and thought he could get back to his 2018-2021 playing abilities; I still do and this year is showing I was at least right about McDaniels.

I am sure there is still a chance Carr can drag himself out of the cellar if his timing with the WRs improves; but he looks like his ceiling will be middle of the pack in the NFC. And that's if he gets on the same page with the rest of the offense. We are stuck with him for 1-2 more years, so I really hope he can get some time with a new OC and a better gameplan. Unfortunately for him, this team is heading towards a record that may be good enough to have the 3rd or 4th best QB in the 2024 draft
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162902 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 10:50 am to
quote:

but he looks like his ceiling will be middle of the pack in the NFC.


but this was always his ceiling, his career as a whole said that. Coming here to a flawed roster with a piss poor excuse for an OC was not the key to unlocking untapped potential in him.

The people that kept repeating "I mean looks guys, we now have the best QB in the NFC south!" just didn't get it. Hell, that statement isn't even proving to be accurate as of now either.
Posted by VictoryHill
Watson, LA
Member since Nov 2013
3259 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 10:53 am to
quote:

We will win the division and at least make the divisional round


Proximo.

Go fricking figure. Dude swallows the black and gold dick and drains it dry every season.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
21717 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 10:59 am to
quote:

The people that kept repeating "I mean looks guys, we now have the best QB in the NFC south!" just didn't get it. Hell, that statement isn't even proving to be accurate as of now either.


Hindsight is always 20/20, but tell which 8 QBs do you have as better than Carr, going into the season not after week 4.

Ridder, Bryce, Baker
Murray, Stafford, Geno, Purdy
Fields, Goff, Love, Cousins
Dak, Jones, Hurts, Howell

Almost all were putting Hurts, Goff & Dak as the top 3. There were several that were putting Fields, Stafford & Cousins above him. These lists had him in the 3-7 spot in the NFC, and the best in the South. Hence a lot of the optimism. Again, this is more of an indication of the shitty QB lists in the NFC; especially if you look past 2022 because McDaniels appears to be another DA just on the opposite side of the ball.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162902 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:13 am to
quote:

. Again, this is more of an indication of the shitty QB lists in the NFC


but this is my issue, the Carr signing was always shooting for mediocre with a very limited ceiling.

I get as a fan base no one wants to suck but when faced with either ripping the band aid off and starting fresh or signing a guy like Carr to limp along to 7-8 wins just because the division sucks arse, it should have been an easy call.

If we were a team on the cusp that just needed a guy like Carr to game manage a loaded roster to make a real playoff run, I'd have understood the thinking

I guarantee Colts and Texan fan bases are feeling much better about the future outlooks of their teams because their FOs accepted the reality of where their teams were.

Posted by Louisianabound88
BR
Member since Dec 2016
3714 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:31 am to
quote:

Proximo.

Go fricking figure. Dude swallows the black and gold dick and drains it dry every season.


You’re getting on the saints fan that posted good stuff about the saints on the saints board??? Lol
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
21717 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:43 am to
Having what looked like an elite defense with some weapons on offense; I get why the team made the move. I have been all for ripping the band aid off and sucking for 2-3 years to right the ship and fix the cap. But when your FO & HC have careers that depend on doing just enough; they will never take that approach unless forced.

Wanting to rip the band aid off and suck for awhile is also why I do not want this team to make any coaching staff changes during the season. Play this right and we can go into the bye week with 3 or 4 wins and hopefully finish the season under 6 wins. You start making changes, you could accidently win 8 or 9 games and lose in the 1st round of the playoffs with this shitty division. Now instead of drafting around 5-7, you are drafting around 18.

Also, backing into the playoffs could give the FO the justification for another round of DA and the if we just give him a new OC...
This post was edited on 10/2/23 at 11:44 am
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76445 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:47 am to
quote:

LuzersGulch.

Go fricking figure. Dude swallows the Pats dick and drains it dry every season.
Posted by VictoryHill
Watson, LA
Member since Nov 2013
3259 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:51 am to
No, I’m on the Saints forum speaking reason to the unreasonable.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476599 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:54 am to
quote:

Scrolled through this to see if I posted anything unbelievably stupid, pleasantly surprised



Me, re-reading this thread:







Now come all the people saying I'm a bad fan when the entire point of my argument was to put our franchise in a better position over the long-term, while they supported this abortion of a team (with cap apocalypse looming).
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61009 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 11:57 am to
quote:

but tell which 8 QBs do you have as better than Carr, going into the season not after week 4.


The problem is with this mentality of making it a hierarchical 1-16 list and acting like a list made in March actually matters. First of all if you have Goff then Cousins is easily in the same tier.

You also had several guys with limited to no experience. Young is a rookie, Ridder Howell (was he the starter in March?) and Love 2nd-3rd year guys with limited starts so hard to rank them, and then there’s Purdy, limited experience playing with a loaded roster and also coming off an injury that in March looked like at best he wouldn’t be ready at the start of the season at worst would miss it all. Ranking Carr ahead of him then was completely meaningless and now is laughably stupid.

Geno a journeyman coming off a good year could he repeat it was a legitimate question but what he did last year was as good or better than any season Carr has ever had. Fields a wild card, dominate runner showed some flashes as a passer but also some horrible moments. Like Carr plays for a shitty organization.

Mayfield signed for 1 year 8.5 vs Carr 100M guaranteed. Ranking them doesn’t take that into account. Baker has some talent worth a dice roll.
This post was edited on 10/2/23 at 12:00 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162902 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

But when your FO & HC have careers that depend on doing just enough; they will never take that approach unless forced.


well my point I made even then, if any FO should be comfortable enough to withstand a rebuild, its this one. Gayle sure as shite isn't cleaning house over a bad season. These guys are made men

I still believe the move was mostly made to keep revenue rolling on game day. Unlike many NFL owners, Gayle is not an ultra billionaire and owning a team is mostly a toy.
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