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Posted on 1/20/19 at 12:58 pm to ShamelessPel
I don’t think it takes “a lot” in terms of multiple draft picks you’re fearing. Crewz even said it seems like management is against sending out multiple firsts. But the trade he came up with was still costly, Niko/Moore and a 1st. I don’t think of Niko as just a guy. Maybe he’s only a role player but he’s an elite role player that has gravity and can win games on his own every once in a while. That would be hard to replace. They really need to find someone that wants Randle.
To me the problem with Conley is he only fits if AD is staying. He’s too old to fit a younger team with their time horizon being a few years later.
To me the problem with Conley is he only fits if AD is staying. He’s too old to fit a younger team with their time horizon being a few years later.
This post was edited on 1/20/19 at 1:01 pm
Posted on 1/20/19 at 1:01 pm to TigerinATL
Conley is not worth that. Even if you don’t account for #GentryBall. If you add Gentry to the mix, my god is he really not worth that. Theoretically a defense with Conley, Jrue, Davis should be really good, but we all know how that’s going to work out.
ETA: Conley absolutely crushes a post AD rebuild having any cap space but a Conley, Jrue, Hayward, Tatum small ball lineup with a real coach could be very interesting.
The other thing is, if Niko is the holdup for Beal, why in the freaking world would you trade Niko for Conley but not Beal. Beal is EASILY worth another 1st if you’re going to give up the same assets anyways.
Conley for Niko/Moore/1st
Beal for Niko/Moore/2 1sts
I’m taking door #2 every fricking time.
ETA: Conley absolutely crushes a post AD rebuild having any cap space but a Conley, Jrue, Hayward, Tatum small ball lineup with a real coach could be very interesting.
The other thing is, if Niko is the holdup for Beal, why in the freaking world would you trade Niko for Conley but not Beal. Beal is EASILY worth another 1st if you’re going to give up the same assets anyways.
Conley for Niko/Moore/1st
Beal for Niko/Moore/2 1sts
I’m taking door #2 every fricking time.
This post was edited on 1/20/19 at 1:05 pm
Posted on 1/20/19 at 1:21 pm to TigerinATL
I look at it as not only what the Pels are giving up but also what they are not getting by being sellers with other guys. That would make the cost of Conley even higher than it appears on first glance.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 1:26 pm to Crewz
quote:
I am done trying to educate.
Crewz, I’ve been watching the nba for 25 years, you don’t posses the general understanding of the league to educate me on the league and where it’s heading. Your value is your friend in the front office. That’s about it.
You can fool some here, but it ain’t me, babe, it ain’t me you’re looking for.
This post was edited on 1/20/19 at 1:29 pm
Posted on 1/20/19 at 3:09 pm to ThanosIsADemocrat
Your Jrue take is as dumb as I’ve seen on this board, and Crewz is right. You’re on an island with that one.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 3:37 pm to ShamelessPel
I wouldn't say his take is dumb, I would say he isn't taking in all the factors.
Like I said, if you had a strong organizational foundation, leaders, a patient fan base that will come out regardless, etc -- I could make the argument for trading Jrue, loading up on assets and winning 11 games next year.
But New Orleans has none of that. So, that path will fail almost every time.
Like I said, if you had a strong organizational foundation, leaders, a patient fan base that will come out regardless, etc -- I could make the argument for trading Jrue, loading up on assets and winning 11 games next year.
But New Orleans has none of that. So, that path will fail almost every time.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 4:38 pm to Crewz
Trading a fringe top 25 player to do him a “solid” is pretty dumb imo at least.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 4:41 pm to ShamelessPel
That is without question. But I ignored that part of his argument.
In philosophy, you only debate against the strongest version of your opponents argument. The theory is that if you could take that down, it gives you the strongest case. Most people do the opposite and only pick on the weakest parts of a persons argument or create a straw man for their opponent and attack that. Thats why most debates never end.
In philosophy, you only debate against the strongest version of your opponents argument. The theory is that if you could take that down, it gives you the strongest case. Most people do the opposite and only pick on the weakest parts of a persons argument or create a straw man for their opponent and attack that. Thats why most debates never end.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 4:53 pm to ThanosIsADemocrat
I have no doubt you know the game, Thanos. But I don't think you factor in the off the court elements as much as you should. To be fair, I wouldn't either if I only watched the game and didn't know nearly a half a dozen people who work day in and day out and tell me stories of the day in and day out that factors in so much more than you think. I am trying to share that knowledge, but if you don't need it, then I will stop.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 5:50 pm to Crewz
I’ll make this post brief because I’ll know this conversation will continue.
You talk about culture and I agree.
Jrue Holiday is great, but he’s not Tim Duncan, man.
Culture starts at the top(loomis,benson and demps)
Arison and Riley-keep a lot of players around.
So do Holt/RC/Pop.
But those organizations also have great reps with the agents around the league, because they look out for the players. Trading Jrue after a year down is looking out for Jrue and would speak volumes to agents. Hell if you want, you can put his jersey in the rafters(not that I think Jrue deserves that currently).
I’ve got a better idea..:bring David West into the front office.
Off the court stuff is incredibly important, but there are better ways than keeping a guy until he’s too old to trade...
Even worse, when’s a free agent at 31...there would be mandate to give him a fat deal...and thens he’s really lost value. Furthermore, Jrues game likely won’t age well.
We could be looking at 4 firsts between Jrue and AD, if not more.
You talk about culture and I agree.
Jrue Holiday is great, but he’s not Tim Duncan, man.
Culture starts at the top(loomis,benson and demps)
Arison and Riley-keep a lot of players around.
So do Holt/RC/Pop.
But those organizations also have great reps with the agents around the league, because they look out for the players. Trading Jrue after a year down is looking out for Jrue and would speak volumes to agents. Hell if you want, you can put his jersey in the rafters(not that I think Jrue deserves that currently).
I’ve got a better idea..:bring David West into the front office.
Off the court stuff is incredibly important, but there are better ways than keeping a guy until he’s too old to trade...
Even worse, when’s a free agent at 31...there would be mandate to give him a fat deal...and thens he’s really lost value. Furthermore, Jrues game likely won’t age well.
We could be looking at 4 firsts between Jrue and AD, if not more.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 5:56 pm to ThanosIsADemocrat
If they do all the right things up top, I could be swayed to trade Jrue. I have said as much.
And no, I don't think Jrue is some ultra leader. But he, along with other players you get in AD trade and through FA signings would help you win more than 25 games. It will also give your team a pecking order.
The most dangerous thing for a team full of young guys is when there is no pecking order.
But yes, put together an organization that has culture setters and a long term vision, philosophy, etc and then I'd trade Jrue if the haul back was solid.
And no, I don't think Jrue is some ultra leader. But he, along with other players you get in AD trade and through FA signings would help you win more than 25 games. It will also give your team a pecking order.
The most dangerous thing for a team full of young guys is when there is no pecking order.
But yes, put together an organization that has culture setters and a long term vision, philosophy, etc and then I'd trade Jrue if the haul back was solid.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 6:02 pm to Crewz
I just don’t see a situation where you get fair value back for Jrue. He’s not a big enough name, so any trade would automatically have to compete against the optics of the opposing front office making it. It’s easy for us because we watch him guard the other team’s best players and score efficiently.
For instance, I think Washington would get more for Beal than we would for Holiday even though Holiday is the superior player, and they are on almost identical contracts.
For instance, I think Washington would get more for Beal than we would for Holiday even though Holiday is the superior player, and they are on almost identical contracts.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:11 pm to ShamelessPel
You wouldn't get value back in that way. But you can get different value.
Having more touches for other players provides value. Having more cap flexibility has value. Losing more games in the immediate could have value.
That would be the argument. Its not player for player value. Its opportunity cost related value.
Having more touches for other players provides value. Having more cap flexibility has value. Losing more games in the immediate could have value.
That would be the argument. Its not player for player value. Its opportunity cost related value.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:15 pm to Crewz
Let’s be clear, playing next to AD makes everyone look better.
Removing him and Jrue won’t have the same value.
Removing him and Jrue won’t have the same value.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:27 pm to ThanosIsADemocrat
Disagree. Look at Terrence Jones when AD went out. He looked like a stud. Randle will put up monster numbers with AD out. Boogie was amazing in those games AD missed.
More opportunities will lead to better stats for whoever the top guys are when he leaves.
More opportunities will lead to better stats for whoever the top guys are when he leaves.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:42 pm to Crewz
So I think you're right about the organization.
I also think you could make a perverse argument for trading Holiday even with dysfunction at the top:
The Pels need as much as luck as possible to ever be good because they don't have the proper structure and process in place as an organization. Acquiring more lottery tickets (either picks or young players) maximizes their chances at getting the next Paul or Davis or Oladipo. Sending Holiday out is another bite or two at the apple
Of course, as you have pointed out, it could go horribly wrong because of said incompetence. Same people you're trying to outmaneuver are ultimately still making all those picks/roster decisions.
I also think you could make a perverse argument for trading Holiday even with dysfunction at the top:
The Pels need as much as luck as possible to ever be good because they don't have the proper structure and process in place as an organization. Acquiring more lottery tickets (either picks or young players) maximizes their chances at getting the next Paul or Davis or Oladipo. Sending Holiday out is another bite or two at the apple
Of course, as you have pointed out, it could go horribly wrong because of said incompetence. Same people you're trying to outmaneuver are ultimately still making all those picks/roster decisions.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:42 pm to Crewz
Post players get more touches, sure.
Boogie was an AllNBA level player.
Stats doesnt equate to looking better.
Jrue will see more coverage from the defense & that’s not what he’s really equipped for. He’s an awesome satellite player...but he’s not someone with alpha level gravity. Additionally, it will wear him out, sacrificing his impact defensively.
Boogie was an AllNBA level player.
Stats doesnt equate to looking better.
Jrue will see more coverage from the defense & that’s not what he’s really equipped for. He’s an awesome satellite player...but he’s not someone with alpha level gravity. Additionally, it will wear him out, sacrificing his impact defensively.
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:50 pm to Crewz
If we went into next season with a core of Hayward, Divincenzo and Zach Collins, I'd be super excited. Throw in a couple of young prospects and it'd be a fun season..
Posted on 1/20/19 at 7:51 pm to corndeaux
I would say more HIGH END lottery tickets give you a better chance of overcoming the bad situation up top.
If Holiday can get me a possible top 5 pick, I trade him.
But the lotto ticket he is likely to bring back would have less than a 2% chance historically of bringing me a player good enough to transcend organizational disfunction.
If Holiday can get me a possible top 5 pick, I trade him.
But the lotto ticket he is likely to bring back would have less than a 2% chance historically of bringing me a player good enough to transcend organizational disfunction.
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