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Started By
Message
re: Offensively, Jordan Hawkins has Klay/Reggie/Rip like potential.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:55 pm to ZForMVPFromThe313
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:55 pm to ZForMVPFromThe313
quote:
Offensively, Jordan Hawkins has Klay/Reggie/Rip like potential
I've seen some homer takes, but wow.
First he has to show he is good enough to be a rotation player in the NBA. If he's not shooting 40% on 3s, he doesn't do anything else well enough to warrant playing time.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 3:32 pm to Dantheman504
quote:Not realistic as you didn't factor in minutes per game.
DJ- 4 (7.1)
CJ- 9 (8.5)
Herb-4 (3.6)
Jose- 4 (3.7)
Hawk- 5 (4.4)
Trey- 8 (7.8)
BI- 5 (3.8)
Very realistic and only accounts for 7 players.
Those 6 players combined last season for 198 minutes per game. They will not combine for that many minutes this season.
You only have 42 minutes left, and you didn't account for Zion, Theis, or the 10th man in the rotation, like Green.
I'm not even sure by the 2nd half of the season if Hawkins will be in the regular rotation over Green, that's definitely not an assumption we can pencil in.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 6:45 pm to ZForMVPFromThe313
quote:
Bro has the potential to be the best catch and shoot player in the NBA for 8+ years
WUT LOL
I say this again in all seriousness
LOL WUT
Posted on 10/10/24 at 7:05 pm to shel311
quote:
Not realistic as you didn't factor in minutes per game.
Those 6 players combined last season for 198 minutes per game. They will not combine for that many minutes this season.
You only have 42 minutes left, and you didn't account for Zion, Theis, or the 10th man in the rotation, like Green.
I'm not even sure by the 2nd half of the season if Hawkins will be in the regular rotation over Green, that's definitely not an assumption we can pencil in.
BI or CJ wont be here this time next year so its probably imperative they play Hawk 20 mins a night to at least gain discrete data points on his capability to replace either as a 6th man.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 9:11 pm to shel311
quote:
DJ- 4 (7.1)
CJ- 9 (8.5)
Herb-4 (3.6)
Jose- 4 (3.7)
Hawk- 5 (4.4)
Trey- 8 (7.8)
BI- 5 (3.8)
Very realistic and only accounts for 7 players.
Not realistic as you didn't factor in minutes per game.
Those 6 players combined last season for 198 minutes per game. They will not combine for that many minutes this season.
You only have 42 minutes left, and you didn't account for Zion, Theis, or the 10th man in the rotation, like Green.
Right that's why the next post I also explained that BI/CJ combined for 22 2pt shots a game the last 2 season. That's not including the 3pt shots taken.
If we actually converted even close to half of our mid range shots to 3pts then it would be easy.
Adding Murray means more CJ catch and shoot. We already expect BI to shoot more 3's and in the camp reports I'm pretty sure they were saying is taking primarily 3's.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 10:26 pm to Dantheman504
quote:
DJ- 4 (7.1)
CJ- 9 (8.5)
Herb-4 (3.6)
Jose- 4 (3.7)
Hawk- 5 (4.4)
Trey- 8 (7.8)
BI- 5 (3.8)
Very realistic and only accounts for 7 players.
Not realistic as you didn't factor in minutes per game.
Seems to me...it's much more simple to just say we're gonna shoot a WHOLE lot more 3s this coming season than we have in the past.
Stats would seem to make it fairly obvious where we are headed, in this regard.
3Pt Attempt Rate...over past 3 years. (21-22...22-23...23-24)
Herb...29.3...33.3...46.4
CJ......36.1...40.4...52.8
Trey....67.1...62.1...71.7
Murray23.7...29.3...37.9
Jose...37.4...50.5...54.0
Hawk...N/A...N/A...65.4
Ingram.23.0...19.6...23.8 (Yikes)
What this tells me? Basically, everybody except BI has, %-wise, shot more 3s EACH of the past 3 years. I expect this trend to continue this next season...and 40 3Pt attempts per game should be easily doable...especially with JV and Nance, Jr gone and hopefully Herb being able to handle the "5" & to see his % of 3-Pt attempts to continue to rise. Also, be nice if BI can shoot a few more 3s...if that's not asking too much.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 10:49 pm to shel311
quote:
Not realistic as you didn't factor in minutes per game.
Those 6 players combined last season for 198 minutes per game. They will not combine for that many minutes this season.
Murray/Jose
CJ/ Hawk
BI/ Trey
Zion/ Karlo
Herb/ Theis
30/ 20
30/ 18
30/ 30
30/ 4
30/ 18
That's a full 10 man rotation with Karlo playing a minimum if everyone is healthy. He could also gain more minutes which probably means playing time > Theis and possibly more 3pt attempts.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 10:55 pm to ZForMVPFromThe313
He has to stay consistent in the preseason. Needs to keep shooting but not turn the ball over.
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 11:00 pm
Posted on 10/11/24 at 2:52 am to slutiger5
Hawk reminds me a little of Kerry Kittles, another super skinny shooting guard out of the big east who had some productive years for the Nets playing next to Jason Kidd. Hawk is a better athlete than he gets credit for, though I agree he's not going to be a great ball handler or one-on-one guy. But he can attack a loose close out and pass ok.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:58 am to Dantheman504
quote:There is exactly a 0.0% chance no single player plays more than 30 minutes per game.
30/ 20
30/ 18
30/ 30
30/ 4
30/ 18
That's a full 10 man rotation
This is, again, not at all a realistic scenario that has any chance of actually happening.
This post was edited on 10/11/24 at 11:00 am
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:10 am to shel311
quote:
Those 6 players combined last season for 198 minutes per game. They will not combine for that many minutes this season.
Murray/Jose
CJ/ Hawk
BI/ Trey
Zion/ Karlo
Herb/ Theis
30/ 20
30/ 18
30/ 30
30/ 4
30/ 18
quote:
There is exactly a 0.0% chance no single player plays more than 30 minutes per game
So this was a response to you saying "they won't play that many minutes" in which you responded that they will actually play even more minutes?
What are you trying to argue here?
Are you trying to say that the 3's will go down because CJ/ BI/ Trey will play even more minutes than Hawk/ Jose? That doesn't make sense.
Above is a 9 man rotation with everyone 18+ minutes and an extra 4 for Karlo.
30/ 18
28/ 18
32/ 32
32/ 0
32/ 18
Is that better? Serious question do you actually think JG, Reeves, JRE, and Missi are getting any playing time with a healthy roster? The answer is probably no unless we are destroying teams or somehow in foul trouble.
If you want to argue then give me YOUR minute breakdown where these scrubs are getting 20+minutes with a legit 9-10 man rotation
This post was edited on 10/11/24 at 11:14 am
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:17 am to Dantheman504
quote:
Serious question do you actually think JG, Reeves, JRE, and Missi are getting any playing time with a healthy roster?
JRE will get playing time over Matovik. Willie is a fan. I can see him filling in the Nance role on a smaller scale and fans will rightfully be bitching about it soon enough.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:49 am to Dantheman504
quote:No, what are you talking about?
So this was a response to you saying "they won't play that many minutes" in which you responded that they will actually play even more minutes?
They will play less minuets than last year. They won't all play 30 minutes or less. What is it about those 2 points that escape you? Because that will be the case.
On the flip side, you used their 3pt attempts last season and are telling me they're going to shoot just as many 3s per game while you have those 7 guys playing 40 minutes less per game
quote:How do I possibly make it more clear?
What are you trying to argue here?
I'll just repeat.
There is a 0% chance the 7 players you mentioned will play 198 minutes per game. Zero, it's laughable to suggest otherwise.
There is a 0% chance our highest MPG guy is 30 MPG. Zero, it's laughable to suggestion otherwise.
Does that help you understand what I'm saying?
quote:I'm trying to say EXACTLY what I said, which part of that you are not grasping right now?
Are you trying to say that the 3's will go down because CJ/ BI/ Trey will play even more minutes than Hawk/ Jose? That doesn't make sense.
quote:Quick breakdown without any thought, and this isn't necessarily the opening rotation, but the main rotation in general as we go forward:
If you want to argue then give me YOUR minute breakdown
Murray 34
CJ 31
BI 32
Zion 32
Theis 18
Herb 28
Trey 28
Jose 17
Hawkins 10
Green 10
I put Hawkins and Green with the same amount, as I'd expect Hawkins to get more rotation minutes to start the season but more than likely, Green to get more minutes than Hawkins at some point during the season, so I just split the difference.
The above rotation also doesn't factor some nights we will probably use a 2nd big, a little bit of Karlo or Missi. Very little, but that's in play as well.
Note - The 2 main points I had. Zero chance our highest MPG guy is 30mpg, see my rotations.
Note - Me saying the 7 guys you mentioned playing 198 minutes, which isn't feasible(as we aren't running a 7 or 8 man rotation obviously), I have playing a much more realistic 178 minutes.
Note - Me saying they will all in total play less minutes compared to last season does not equate to me saying they will play 30 minutes or less per game. Not sure why you tried to make that argument, that's silly. See above as proof.
The better question you need to answer is how are those 7 guys shooting 37 3s per game last season or whatever the number was you said on 198 minutes ...your new rotation has them playing 158 minutes, but you're still using the 37 3s as the benchmark.
You also have Herb playing 30 minutes per night at the 5, you realize that right?
This post was edited on 10/11/24 at 11:51 am
Posted on 10/12/24 at 7:45 am to shel311
quote:
you used their 3pt attempts last season and are telling me they're going to shoot just as many 3s per game while you have those 7 guys playing 40 minutes less per game ?
Its (7) minutes total not 40.... They would combine for 186 minutes in the second breakdown and they averaged 193 last year.
quote:
Murray 34
CJ 31
BI 32
Zion 32
Theis 18
Herb 28
Trey 28
Jose 17
Hawkins 10
Green 10
So you took 14 minutes away and just added it for JG and a few extra Murray minutes while taking it away from Hawk, Herb, Trey, and Jose?
30/ 18
28/ 18
32/ 32
32/ 0
32/ 18
quote:
How do I possibly make it more clear?
Well not immediately contradicting yourself in an argument would help....
quote:
There is a 0% chance our highest MPG guy is 30 MPG. Zero, it's laughable to suggestion otherwise.
Yes I agree, that's why I have 4 players at 32, could be more.
quote:
Note - Me saying they will all in total play less minutes compared to last season does not equate to me saying they will play 30 minutes or less per game. Not sure why you tried to make that argument, that's silly. See above as proof.
No you just wanted to say that to argue and then send a breakdown with literally (1) extra minute than what I had for 30+ players and spread it by just stacking Murray to 35minutes.
quote:
how are those 7 guys shooting 37 3s per game
Ahh yes your doubt of this possibility is the exact reason you just made the weirdest fricking page of arguing. I just showed you breakdowns of how its possibly, you then said No and told me your reason why....
Congrats you've used your own dumbass argument to convince yourself it's not possible just like you wanted and everyone could have predictedted.
Should we circle back to the original argument that you pulled away from that shows how we can get to 37 3's or do you just wanna frick off?
This post was edited on 10/12/24 at 8:02 am
Posted on 10/12/24 at 7:48 am to shel311
This the part where you should acknowledge that you wont even begin to agree or process what has been posted int his thread. Just say "I disagree" and put the computer down.
Val/ Nance/ Naji played 63 minutes last year. Only about 30 will go to Theis/ Karlo/ JRE. The other 30 will be extra minutes spread between our (8) man rotation.
That's an extra 30minutes of game with higher 3pt attempts...
CJ/ BI shoot 22 mid range shots a game. Even converting 1/3 into 3pt would be +7 attempts.
30min without Val/ Nance could def add 3+ 3pt attempts.
That's +10 3pt attempts from simple changes made and not even "increasing 3pt shots".
Val/ Nance/ Naji played 63 minutes last year. Only about 30 will go to Theis/ Karlo/ JRE. The other 30 will be extra minutes spread between our (8) man rotation.
That's an extra 30minutes of game with higher 3pt attempts...
CJ/ BI shoot 22 mid range shots a game. Even converting 1/3 into 3pt would be +7 attempts.
30min without Val/ Nance could def add 3+ 3pt attempts.
That's +10 3pt attempts from simple changes made and not even "increasing 3pt shots".
This post was edited on 10/12/24 at 8:00 am
Posted on 10/12/24 at 8:22 am to shel311
quote:
they're going to shoot just as many 3s per game while you have those 7 guys playimg less
Fun fact: CJ actually averaged 6.5 3's through 34.5min since a starter but last year he actually played 32.5min and attempted 8.4 3's.
So CJ played 2 less minutes and took 2 more 3's while playing on ball.. I know that's a lot to take in
Fun fact: BI took 2.5 more 3's those (2) seasons playing just 1 more min. BI could shoot 1-2 additional 3's instead of 15sec of dribbling and not even affect his normal shot count. And that's not including converting his (11.5) 2's into any 3's.
All of the stats, info, reasoning is there. You would just rather be a pessimist and argue.
This post was edited on 10/12/24 at 8:25 am
Posted on 10/12/24 at 8:22 am to New City Champ
Kittles had handle and could get to the rack. He was a physical guy for being so skinny
Hawkins needs to focus on not being a liability on defense
Hawkins needs to focus on not being a liability on defense
Posted on 10/12/24 at 10:32 am to ZForMVPFromThe313
You honestly hope Hawkins has a similar pre-season game average for his 2nd year. It allows you to move on from CJ and feel good.
21 minutes
5/8 (62.5%) FG
2/5 (40.0%) 3PT
6/7 (85.7%) FT
1 rebound
2 assists
1 turnover
18 points
TBD but give me a 12-15 PPG, 2-3 RPG, 2-3 APG >37% 3pt shooting Hawkins and I can definitely see us shifting away from McCollum. Allows Hawk to be the 6th man.
The next question becomes where do we go with Ingram if he actually ups his 3pt attempts back to 6 and knocks down a solid rate >37% as well
21 minutes
5/8 (62.5%) FG
2/5 (40.0%) 3PT
6/7 (85.7%) FT
1 rebound
2 assists
1 turnover
18 points
TBD but give me a 12-15 PPG, 2-3 RPG, 2-3 APG >37% 3pt shooting Hawkins and I can definitely see us shifting away from McCollum. Allows Hawk to be the 6th man.
The next question becomes where do we go with Ingram if he actually ups his 3pt attempts back to 6 and knocks down a solid rate >37% as well
Posted on 10/12/24 at 11:04 am to htran90
quote:
I've seen some homer takes, but wow.
I concur. Alot of optimism for a guy who was woefully subpar at Summer League, where the team goal was to see if Jordan could run the 1... Disaster. Hence, Jose gets a new contract. Do not kidd yourself thinking the two are unrelated...
Jordan will have opportunity to get rotational minutes AGAIN bc of Trey's injury. But, AGAIN, Jordan staying in the rotation will be primarily based upon his Defense and rebounding. His scoring doesn't move the needle in Willie's eyes.
If he fails, then you will see Jervontae eat the minutes on the wing that are left after Trey gets back.
Personally, I believe Jordan is trade bait to include in any Brandon deal as a "1st round pick", if necessary... When Brandon goes, so does Jordan, similar to DiVencio in the Kat/Randle deal. It is what it is...
Posted on 10/12/24 at 12:24 pm to shel311
quote:
Hawkins 10
If were giving Hawk 10 min a game this season just trade him already.
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