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re: Aug 6th BI Deadline

Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:06 am to
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29633 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:06 am to
quote:

Name them. Our team and his agent have been beating the bushes trying to find those teams for weeks. There are no takers.


They’ve been trying to get $50m/yr. I said $36m/yr at the minimum. Big difference.

quote:

Hold onto that thought. We'll see what he gets.


I’ll be sure to remind you of these thoughts when he resigns.
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12947 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:18 am to
I’d rather let him walk than sign for 50 a year that’s fricking dumb and I hope the organization thinks that as well. Oddly enough I think we are in the driver seat here. He’s not getting what he thinks.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11120 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:20 am to
quote:

When? The only time Zion has played like a number 1 next to BI, we were dominating. Then BI got hurt. Then Zion got hurt.


Dominating? Are we basing our future off 10-20 game sample sizes?

It's been 4 years. It hasn't happened. Ingram was awesome in the playoffs 2 years ago. He wasn't so great this year. You can't cherry pick the best and ignore the rest. There is recency bias. The injury excuse just doesn't matter that much..
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11120 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:25 am to
quote:

They’ve been trying to get $50m/yr. I said $36m/yr at the minimum. Big difference.


I will ask again. Who is going to be the team to give him that? He will have to be that team's #1 or #2. I have looked through all the teams and I don't see an obvious fit. Do you?

quote:

I’ll be sure to remind you of these thoughts when he resigns.


Good luck. A lot is going to happen in-between now and when he signs a deal next summer. If we give him a long term deal at 36M+/year, it's a massive mistake. We would be bidding against ourself. You can celebrate. I'll be in mourning..
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464119 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:29 am to
quote:

He will have to be that team's #1 or #2.


He's a top 40-ish player in a league with 30 teams

Even if you want to say that's overrating him, he's certainly not outside the top 60. Around there you're talking about guys like Lamelo, FVV, etc
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11120 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 7:57 am to
quote:

He's a top 40-ish player in a league with 30 teams


Based on what? This is where I'm coming from.

McCollum was 32 last season. Most people on here say that he was bad and needs to be moved. No takers though on a bad contract. That is what I see on here. So, last season..

McCollum
20.0/4.3/4.6- 1.9TOs with 43% 3pt shooting

Ingram
20.8/5.1/5.7- 2.5TOs with 36% 3pt shooting

Ingram is 6 inches taller and 6 years younger. How are the stats almost identical? How is McCollum a bad deal at 33M, but it's a good deal to get Ingram at 36-40M?

That doesn't make sense to me or most people around the league.

quote:

Even if you want to say that's overrating him, he's certainly not outside the top 60. Around there you're talking about guys like Lamelo, FVV, etc


He's maybe top 50. For what he gives a team, you can fill in bulk with a guy/s on a lower contract, plus other assets. Ingram at 40M+ would be making almost as much as Jones and Murphy combined (once Murphy signs his new deal). He's unnecessary and it's horrible team/cap planning.

I hope he gets as much as he can, from another team. But his value is not static. It all depends on a desperate team gambling on his theoretical upside. To act like it is a given or established is just not true..
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464119 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:26 am to
quote:

For what he gives a team, you can fill in bulk with a guy/s on a lower contract,

Not really, though. BI has some idiosyncrasies and isn't perfect for the modern NBA, but y'all underrate his offensive game/impact.

quote:

Ingram at 40M+ would be making almost as much as Jones and Murphy combined

Jones is screwed by the CBA and being a 2nd round pick. It's to our benefit and extremely +EV, but it's not a market rate to use to compare.

Murphy's 2nd contract is also manipulated by the CBA. BI is only permitted to make more b/c of years accrued in the league.
This post was edited on 8/7/24 at 8:27 am
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
4260 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:37 am to
quote:

BI at an average of 45mil is not that bad. Y'all are trying to base BI's deal off the worst possible BI you can envision in your head.

42/44/46/48 extension is not end of the world. I can promise than in (4) years there will be way worse contracts that BI @46mil. Especially when some players will be dipping into the 60's and others will be overpaid into the high 30's/ low 40's.


I would agree if money was the only issue.

The problem is even if you sign him to that deal, he still doesn't fit this team.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:47 am to
quote:

The problem is even if you sign him to that deal, he still doesn't fit this team.


I think the problem is the money even if he changes his game to fit. Let's assume for the sake of argument that Murray at PG changes BI's role and he embraces it like CJ did last season. What do you have? A bigger/longer version of Trey (in role, not ability for the BI stans that just started twitching).

Is that worth $40-$45 million per year? Is he still missing 20-30 games a year? History says yes. The only seasons he didn't were his rookie season and the SVG year where the season was shortened by 10 games and he was shut down early for the tank.

Maybe if injury weren't a concern you figure out how to work with that and maybe you can while Herb and Murray are on good deals and Zion is still on his 2nd contract. But it kind of seems like a luxury you can't afford that will hold you back from doing what you're eventually going to have to do anyway, figure out how to make it work without him.
Posted by Balsamic_duck
Member since Jun 2017
4260 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:58 am to
quote:

I think the problem is the money even if he changes his game to fit. Let's assume for the sake of argument that Murray at PG changes BI's role and he embraces it like CJ did last season. What do you have? A bigger/longer version of Trey (in role, not ability for the BI stans that just started twitching).

Is that worth $40-$45 million per year? Is he still missing 20-30 games a year? History says yes. The only seasons he didn't were his rookie season and the SVG year where the season was shortened by 10 games and he was shut down early for the tank.

Maybe if injury weren't a concern you figure out how to work with that and maybe you can while Herb and Murray are on good deals and Zion is still on his 2nd contract. But it kind of seems like a luxury you can't afford that will hold you back from doing what you're eventually going to have to do anyway, figure out how to make it work without him.


IF he changes his game to fit the team, I'm talking 6-7 3s per game, good defense, smart shots. Then yeah he's worth the money. Wings are the most valuable position in the league right now and you'd have 3 really good ones in BI, Herb and Trey. You then move off CJ's money so you can allocate that to other areas of the roster.

Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36175 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:15 am to
quote:

and I hope the organization thinks that as well.

Obviously they do, otherwise they would've signed him to a max deal a long time ago. It's pretty clear that they don't think he's close to a max player, because if you even think he's close, then you just do it. You aren't squabbling over <5 million per season. They probably think he's worth something like 4/150-160 and he thinks he's worth 4/200+.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36175 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:24 am to
quote:

He's a top 40-ish player in a league with 30 teams

Agreed, but IMO there are only ~20 #1 players. Sure there are other players who by default are a teams #1 option, but they aren't true #1 players. BI is a mid #2 option.
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5759 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:25 am to
quote:

BI is not taking less than $36M/yr as a bare minimum as his next years salary, and plenty of teams would offer him that next offseason.
It is unrealistic to think he’d sign for $30m/yr and laughable to think less


I think its hilarious that fans "would love to keep BI if he shot the 3 and bought in". While completely accepting that the (current) BI contract @37mil would be great if he shot the 3.

BUT at the same time expect him to make LESS than his current contract.

He is already making 37mil going into his prime. Can we use some math and logic to understand that he isn't making sub 35mil?


The "market reset" means BI is not worth his max contract. It does NOT mean that BI automatically is worth 15-20mil less than his actual value.
This post was edited on 8/7/24 at 9:29 am
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5759 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Name them. Our team and his agent have been beating the bushes trying to find those teams for weeks. There are no takers.

Players do not always take ascending contracts or extensions.McCollum took less money and his yearly rate is declining. Players are worth what teams are willing to pay. Is he going to end up like Gary Trent?


No that's pretty much the point being made. BI is an all-star caliber player going into his prime.

BI isn't going to end up a freaking vet min guy and a team would EASILY offer him 30-35 before that.

BI wants 45-50mil and the market is telling him no team CAN pay that right now. Its a coincidence of timing, its not just a simple "BI isn't worth shite" conversation.

If we the market is 30mil and BI wants 50mil then 40mil is a great value deal for both parties.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36175 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:44 am to
quote:

BI wants 45-50mil and the market is telling him no team CAN pay that right now.

I think there's only 2 teams that can pay him that next offseason, too.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42743 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:45 am to
CBA doesn’t allow you to have multiple 40+ million dollar players

BI ain’t that guy and Trey fits better for what we want to do.
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
25659 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:45 am to
Ingram is just a victim of a market correcting itself. Not a lot of teams have money, and if this was 2 years ago he'd definitely be getting max offers from multiple teams.

He's a victim of recent bias as well. In a miscast role he still played very well for us last year (literally .009% from his AS season ts%) and played like arse coming back from injury in a poorly officiated playoff series (I know you guys want to jump all over this and focus on it, but it's merely apart of the situation of him looking bad, not all of it).

We've seen players change how they play in this league constantly. Ingram himself changed his game for a period of time. He took a step back last year and absolutely cost himself a max. If ingram took 7-8 3s a game and shot 40% from 3 we wouldn't bat an eye at maxing him.

I refuse to believe that he can't go back to taking more 3s. I truly think the team knows that Ingram has to change for this to all work. Ingram knows it too. It's why they got Murray.

Right or wrong (and it's more than fair to think that this won't work) the idea of Ingrams skillset being "unlocked" is what the organization is chasing. It's the quickest path to competing in their eyes, and it's why Brandon is still on the team.

From a pure talent standpoint our top 6 players are as good as any in the league

Zion
Ingram
Murray
CJ
Trey
Herb

I'm very curious to see what Brandon says going into the year in interviews before the season starts.
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5759 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:49 am to
quote:

I think there's only 2 teams that can pay him that next offseason, too.


I'm just sick of the "BI isn't worth ____" conversation followed by arguments pertaining to the player instead of the market.

The people that don't think BI is worth atleast 30-35+ are out of their minds respectively.
This post was edited on 8/7/24 at 9:56 am
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
11544 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:14 am to
quote:

I'm very curious to see what Brandon says going into the year in interviews before the season starts.


That hes looking to get paid. Same thing he said last year.
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
25659 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:16 am to
I meant in regards to how he'll approach the game and his playstyle
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