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re: 2021 NBA Trade thread BREAKING: Bagley to Pistons in 4 team deal

Posted on 1/27/22 at 2:28 pm to
Posted by NOSHAU
Member since Feb 2012
13756 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

And so far the things we've heard out of the Blazers camp is they value McCollum at the level of a Ben Simmons, Jonas + Hart, Siakam. Just saying, well, they have to settle and settle now doesnt mean they agree.

Of course they would in a negotiation. CJ is not a valuable asset at his age and contract. He will likley get dealt for less than many think he is worth.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20974 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

I mean unless they are blown away by a deal, why settle now


Well, one reason would be to cut salary, since they are paying tax. But I don't know how big of a deal that is to Portland ownership.
Posted by mhasen1
Texas
Member since Feb 2008
1867 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

I mean unless they are blown away by a deal, why settle now?


Because they are over the luxury tax, their 4 best players are guards, two of those 4 have massive contracts and a 3rd one is about to get a massive payday as a restricted free agent, they have a .400 winning percentage, are capped out, and they only keep their 1st round pick if they miss the playoffs.

Also, the player in question is owed 100 million and was strongly considering retirement as recently as 3 weeks ago.
Posted by Aussie_Pelican
Melbourne
Member since Oct 2016
1250 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 3:54 pm to
Yeah watch the Pels pay overs and he retires next year.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 3:58 pm to
Hey we would have 33m in cap space!
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112918 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Also, the player in question is owed 100 million and was strongly considering retirement as recently as 3 weeks ago.

That's a bit disingenuous.

He said when he first got his diagnosis, he thought that would end his career. Not that he was wanting to retire, more that he'd have no choice but to retire.
Posted by mhasen1
Texas
Member since Feb 2008
1867 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 4:24 pm to
quote:



He said when he first got his diagnosis, he thought that would end his career. Not that he was wanting to retire, more that he'd have no choice but to retire.


While correct, that doesn't change anything about what I was trying to say. The blazers can't just wait until they get a great offer. They are in danger of becoming a repeat tax payer without even considering extensions for Lillard and Simons or Nurcic. They desperately need frontcourt talent, and the best player that they are willing to trade has a difficult to trade contract and an iffy future. They are not dealing from a position of strength.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Because they are over the luxury tax, their 4 best players are guards, two of those 4 have massive contracts and a 3rd one is about to get a massive payday as a restricted free agent, they have a .400 winning percentage, are capped out, and they only keep their 1st round pick if they miss the playoffs.

Also, the player in question is owed 100 million and was strongly considering retirement as recently as 3 weeks ago.



Again, you all can get as dug in with this as you want, I simply do not see a scenario where what was proposed on the last page is enough to get a deal done by the deadline. It would be nice if I'm wrong because that would be about how much id want to give up given the limitations the roster will have after getting McCollum and paying Zion next season.

We can revisit this in a couple weeks when the deadline hits and see if in fact our trash + Hart or Graham gets McCollum.

I'm not convinced. To me that's the type of settling the Blazers might do if the market is still bare in the offseason and they know Simons is gonna get a huge offer. Because the way everyone here is talking about Jonas needing a really good return to part with, that is how it reads Portland sees McCollum. He is basically their best asset to try and bring back a win now player to elevate the Blazers around Lillard for one last push. Trading that for Hart at the deadline doesn't seem likely.
This post was edited on 1/27/22 at 4:39 pm
Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1734 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 4:43 pm to
We’ve already covered this. CJ makes TWICE as much as Jonas. That is an awful comparison.
Posted by TechTiger
Running an easy 10
Member since Feb 2007
1461 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

We’ve already covered this. CJ makes TWICE as much as Jonas. That is an awful comparison.


Indeed….and at the level Jonas is currently playing, he is arguably more valuable at a position of need for both teams.

I wonder if we would be better served doing a S&T for Sexton in the offseason if we are going to spend $20 plus million on a scoring combo guard. Of course the danger would be if we couldn’t get that deal done with our cap space.
Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1734 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 4:56 pm to


McCollum trade article

I just liked the picture so figured I would share the article. One of many offshoots from the Jake Fischer report. He proposes Sato, Hayes, Hart plus a Bucks first and a second. Again, I would fight to include Graham over Hart, but I think that’s largely going to be the sticking points.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:01 pm to
Its a comparison in terms of how each franchise values the given asset, not their contract value.

And considering the same article also mentioned extensive talks around a CJ and Turner deal, why would Portland settle for Hart right now?


Again, maybe you can attach a swap or an additional first and nudge Portland, but I dont see your specific trades happening. No matter how many times you insist I'm an idiot and just not getting it. Especially when youa re trying to lower the price even further by replacing HArt with Graham. At that point we are crossing into magical thinking territory


This post was edited on 1/27/22 at 5:04 pm
Posted by TechTiger
Running an easy 10
Member since Feb 2007
1461 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Again, I would fight to include Graham over Hart, but I think that’s largely going to be the sticking points.


They aren’t in much of a position to bargain right now. Pels can afford to wait until the offseason to unload assets on another guard. They can use their TPE and Satos contract to add salary at the deadline, so they can unload on a max level player.

Portland can’t afford to wait if they aren’t going anywhere this year, and don’t want to pay the tax bill. They aren’t getting Simmons or Sabonis, so they are kind of stuck.

We would be doing them a favor by taking on CJ’s contract.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:13 pm to
Yes, they would like not to pay the repeater, which they can still avoid by making a trade in the offseason, but you are framing the Blazers like some poverty franchise, needing to firesale their best trade asset. They are 13th in the league in net worth, still have solid attendance despite the bad season, and Jody Allen is worth 20 billion, putting her as roughly the 2nd richest owner.



Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1734 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:15 pm to
I never said you were an idiot. Just as a reminder, you jumped on my scenario calling me a dreamy fan. And I’ve never changed my stance, I’ve posted scenarios weeks ago. If I’m giving Hayes, a first plus, getting them out of the luxury and $20 million in savings the next couple of years, I would at least attempt to keep Hart over Graham. But that’s the tolerance I wanted to feel out from the rest of the board. That’s what I want, and I’ve tried to keep things open ended for opinion. My feeling is it will take Hart, young player and picks, and I don’t believe Griffin will be able to help himself. Making the splash will be too tempting.
Posted by PELsu
Member since Oct 2021
1734 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:18 pm to
The Blazers can’t wait until the offseason. They need to cut salary before year end. Covington is the easy way to deal someone and get under the tax without a major shakeup.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

My feeling is it will take Hart, young player and picks


And all I'm saying is I think at this point, to make it happen at the deadline it will probably need to be a better prospect than Hayes and/or better assets.

It seems by all accounts, including the article you listed, the Blazers see McCollum fetching a Turner or better asset right now. Because the Blazers and Lillard probably have a couple season timeline max right now, so the Bucks 2025 pick isn't really going to do much for convincing Lillard they are closer without McCollum.
Posted by TechTiger
Running an easy 10
Member since Feb 2007
1461 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

Yes, they would like not to pay the repeater, which they can still avoid by making a trade in the offseason


True, and I am mostly against taking CJ at the deadline…but if they are actually insistent on moving him at the deadline, then I don’t think they can get too picky.

They can also make a smaller move like trading Covington, Powell, or Nance to keep them from paying the tax.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112918 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

He proposes Sato, Hayes, Hart plus a Bucks first and a second
for CJ and Little

Sign me the F up for that one.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112918 posts
Posted on 1/27/22 at 6:33 pm to
quote:


I never said you were an idiot. Just as a reminder, you jumped on my scenario calling me a dreamy fan
Sounds a lot like a little "psychological projection" between friends on a lovely Thursday afternoon.
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