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Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:55 pm to
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27983 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:55 pm to
Or it makes LeBron the most underpaid.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35379 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

if Utah and Boston are similarly talented, wouldn't common sense tell you that taking the best player from Utah and putting him on Boston would make them a hell of a lot better?
Well Gobert was clearly their best player last year, he led Hayward in every statical category and was amongst the top on the league in many of them.

That being said, taking Hayward and putting him on Boston obviously makes them better. The problem with "a lot" better is that they lost two players with good value (Crowder and Olynyk) in order to get Hayward.

So they should he better, but I don't think the evidence suggests that will be a lot better.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
32253 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 5:46 pm to
Gobert and Hayward fit each other perfectly, they are 1a-1b

Their value to the team is the same. Losing Hayward or gobert makes them go from playoff team to borderline.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36993 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 5:56 pm to
Without Hayward and Hill that team isn't good enough offensively to make the playoffs.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35379 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Gobert and Hayward fit each other perfectly, they are 1a-1b
They may have been complimentary, but Gobert had 15.6 RPM wins, 14.3 win shares, 14.6 wins above replacement, and 12.6 CARMELO wins above replacement.

Hayward had 9.5 RPM wins, 10.4 win shares, and 10.8 wins above replacement, and 7.6 CARMELO wins above replacement.

So the closest win metric had Hayward at 3.4 fewer wins, and on average had 4.6 fewer wins.

I'm addition, Gobert had a net rating of +8.1 with an on-off of +11.3 compared to Hayward's net rating of +6.6 with an on-off of +5.7.

In 2166.6 minutes they played together, they were +377 (+8.4 per 48). In the 349.4 minutes Hayward was on but Gobert was off, the Jazz were -33 (-4.5 per 48). In the 577.4 minutes Gobert was on but Hayward was off, the Jazz were +58 (+4.8 per 48). So whole they are obviously better when playing together, Hayward was 12.9 points worse per 48 without Gobert whole Gobert was on 3.6 points worse.

There is nothing to suggest Hayward was aas valuable as Gobert, and it wasn't close at all.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36993 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:36 pm to
I'm usually with you, but you're attempting to apply quantitative measures to players of different positions. They aren't apples to apples. Would a team of 5 Goberts beat a team of 5 Haywards? They play completely different roles.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35379 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

Without Hayward and Hill that team isn't good enough offensively to make the playoffs.
By my calculations, Gobert played without Hill and Hayward for 273 minutes and that were +11 or +1.93 per 48.

So as long as Gobert is as good as last year (or better), they should have the advantage when he's on the court. And while they may be worse, I think Crowder and Rubio are good enough to compliment Gobert and give them a shot at making the playoffs.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
116124 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:45 pm to
Kelly Ollynk just signed for 4 year/50 plus million with the Heat


Posted by nosaj
Member since Sep 2010
2677 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:52 pm to
SMH. Great deal for Waiters and then we go and give KO essentially the same deal. I like him, but this feels a lot like the McRoberts deal. He's a good player, and we do have a ton of cap to fill, but four years is too long.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35379 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

I'm usually with you, but you're attempting to apply quantitative measures to players of different positions.
Of course, but that's why I focus on the +\- statistics and the on-off because despite different positions, and different roles and contributions, they still capture the value of a player on the court.
quote:

Would a team of 5 Goberts beat a team of 5 Haywards? They play completely different roles.
Well that's a red-herring. They have different roles, but those roles still have the same primary purpose: to score more points than their opponents.

While the individual statistics showed that Gobert was far more valuable, it should have been no question with the on-off statistics. With or without Hayward, the Jazz outscored their opponents. Without Gobert they got outscored soundly, even with Hayward in the game, while the Jazz had a advantage without Hayward in the game as long as Gobert was in.

It's just like Shaq and Kobe in the 3 Peat. Both great players, who played different positions, but it was clear Shaq was the better and more valuable player during that time.

I mean by your logic, we can't compare MJ and LBJ to their teammates since they had different roles. But we do, because like Gobert, the data overwhelmingly shows they were the best and most valuable players on their teams. But that doesn't make the next best player any worse.
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 7:03 pm
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
129957 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

Kelly Ollynk just signed for 4 year/50 plus million with the Heat


Wow.
Posted by GeauxAggie972
Poterbin Residence
Member since Aug 2009
29542 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:09 pm to
Well don't worry, you just tricked Cuban into taking McRoberts' sorry arse
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 7:11 pm
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150065 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:10 pm to
Lol
Posted by GeauxAggie972
Poterbin Residence
Member since Aug 2009
29542 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:14 pm to
Rudy Gay to the Spurs. 2/$17 mil
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 7:15 pm
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
32253 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:14 pm to
All of the numbers argue greatly for gobert. Don't get me wrong. But when it comes to the team winning games, you need a ball handler or wing. Without them, you're borderline playoff material. All advanced stats say gobert was more important, but the team is far different without Hayward. Add Rubio for hill and they go from being efficient and solid offensively to questionable at best. Defensively they're still stout.

The best example is Anthony Davis and the pelicans. He's an exceptional player. But he needs a competent ball handler on the team to win. It's not a knock on either gobert or Davis, but it's the reality of how the game is played.

As for Utah, losing Hayward is going to have a huge impact. Gobert and everyone else on that team is going to have a hard time replacing hill and Hayward's production
Posted by Aggie Fishfinder
Republic of Texas
Member since Feb 2012
4260 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:17 pm to
NBA is fricked now. GSG
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36993 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:19 pm to
quote:

By my calculations, Gobert played without Hill and Hayward for 273 minutes and that were +11 or +1.93 per 48.

Were those minutes versus starters or bench players?
Posted by nosaj
Member since Sep 2010
2677 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:24 pm to
Ha I just got the alert. As long as Olynyk stays healthy, he'll be a decent piece. Maybe he can expand his production with a bigger role.
Posted by GeauxAggie972
Poterbin Residence
Member since Aug 2009
29542 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:27 pm to
Vinsanity to Sac-Town. 1 year for $8 mil. I'm starting to like this Kings team a good bit
Posted by Fus0623
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2015
91685 posts
Posted on 7/6/17 at 7:30 pm to
Any word on Simmons?
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 7:38 pm
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