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Started By
Message
Skins to cover…. Talk me out of it
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:03 pm
I am an LSU and Jayden fan…. But I’m not sure that Washington can hang with Detroit.
However I do have a large bet on the Skins +8.5… here is why. Let me know why I am wrong and to take the other side to hedge losses
I think Detroit will be able to run the ball and control the clock against the Skins…. However…. I think that plays against them in the spread… Jayden will be able to keep up better if the lions are just pounding the rock. Also the lions have scored many of their points off of turnovers and Jayden doesn’t turn it over….
I think it is a game of the lions running the ball and chewing clock and the Skins with big plays off of Jayden’s legs and some big plays
Lions 34
Wash 28
I like the +8.5
However I do have a large bet on the Skins +8.5… here is why. Let me know why I am wrong and to take the other side to hedge losses
I think Detroit will be able to run the ball and control the clock against the Skins…. However…. I think that plays against them in the spread… Jayden will be able to keep up better if the lions are just pounding the rock. Also the lions have scored many of their points off of turnovers and Jayden doesn’t turn it over….
I think it is a game of the lions running the ball and chewing clock and the Skins with big plays off of Jayden’s legs and some big plays
Lions 34
Wash 28
I like the +8.5
16
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:05 pm to AZTiger7072
I know you'll be pissed if u don't follow ur gut so I'm not gonna talk u out of it. If I talk u out of it and u listen then you'll be doubly pissed. Once for losing and once for listening to someone else.
Better to just make ur bet and then the only thing that goes wrong is it loses.
Better to just make ur bet and then the only thing that goes wrong is it loses.
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:05 pm to AZTiger7072
The moon cycle is all wrong for that bet.
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:07 pm to OldmanBeasley
quote:
The moon cycle is all wrong for that bet
There's a guy that does golf picks based off the astrological signs on reddit and that shite is so crazy to read haha. I don't know if he wins or not it's wayyy too much to read and I mostly bet heads up round by round rather than tourney winners
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:08 pm to AZTiger7072
I still don't know how the Saints sacked JD5 8 times and were a failed two-point conversion away from beating Washington.
I doubt the Saints got Washington's best effort for 4 quarters but come on.....
I doubt the Saints got Washington's best effort for 4 quarters but come on.....
This post was edited on 1/17/25 at 10:09 pm
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:11 pm to LooseCannon22282
quote:
still don't know how the Saints sacked JD5 8 times and were a failed two-point conversion away from beating Washington.
I doubt the Saints got Washington's best effort for 4 quarters but come on.....
Winning close games in the 4Q is their m.o.
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:17 pm to AZTiger7072
quote:
Skins to cover…. Talk me out of it
If Montgomery is healthy Detroit could break off a lot of explosive runs and score quickly. They’re scoring pretty much every time they get the ball so the question is how quickly, and Campbell isn’t letting off the gas in a home playoff game.
Commies are going to have to score every time they touch the ball to keep pace. One turnover in a jacked up hostile environment and they could be done.
I’m not saying that’s how that’s what will happen, but that’s how they don’t cover. Daniels is still a rookie
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:26 pm to moontigr
quote:
Winning close games in the 4Q is their m.o.
Not losing has been the Lions m.o.
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:28 pm to AZTiger7072
quote:
However I do have a large bet on the Skins +8.5…
quote:
Skins to cover…. Talk me out of it
What’s to talk about. Sounds like you have already made your mind up
Posted on 1/17/25 at 10:32 pm to moontigr
quote:
Winning close games in the 4Q is their m.o.
why in the world would Vegas make that high of a spread though?
I don't bet on games anymore.
That is for suckers most of the time.
This post was edited on 1/17/25 at 10:34 pm
Posted on 1/17/25 at 11:23 pm to AZTiger7072
Just take the over and profit.
Posted on 1/18/25 at 5:25 am to TT9
Take the under and profit
Posted on 1/18/25 at 5:32 am to LooseCannon22282
quote:
why in the world would Vegas make that high of a spread though?
So everyone would tease down Detroit and KC. However, one won’t cover the tease. Which one, who knows?
Posted on 1/18/25 at 5:53 am to bah humbug
I think it’s a game that’s ripe for a backdoor cover. I wouldn’t play it but I don’t think it’s necessarily a bad bet.
Posted on 1/18/25 at 6:25 am to AZTiger7072
quote:
think it is a game of the lions running the ball and chewing clock and the Skins with big plays off of Jayden’s legs and some big plays
Lions 34
Wash 28
If the total is 62...the Lions did a terrible job of running the ball and the clock
Posted on 1/18/25 at 6:39 am to Mingo Was His NameO
quote:
If Montgomery is healthy Detroit could break off a lot of explosive runs and score quickly.
Explain this to me please. Genuinely interested. Gibbs is the explosive runner. Montgomery is the plodder that scored all of the goal line touchdowns.
Posted on 1/18/25 at 6:45 am to AZTiger7072
I’m not an LSU or Daniel’s fan and I think they cover. I think Dan Quinn and staff will make a good game plan that slows the Detroit offense down. I still think Detroit wins by 3-7 points though.
Posted on 1/18/25 at 7:31 am to AZTiger7072
Detroit bigly
Posted on 1/18/25 at 7:36 am to JJ27
quote:
Explain this to me please. Genuinely interested. Gibbs is the explosive runner. Montgomery is the plodder that scored all of the goal line touchdowns.
A lot easier for Gibbs to break off explosives and scheme to do so when he doesn’t have to carry the ball 20 times
Posted on 1/18/25 at 7:49 am to AZTiger7072
You're first line says you're not sure if Washington can hang with Detroit, so you're unsure, yet you laid the lumber on Washington anyway. I'd take a step back and hedge that off but that's just me.
Another angle to consider. You do tend feel pretty confident of Washington scoring. I'd also note that points per play averages put them just over 21, so at least a solid chance for 3 TDs by the Redskins, and possibly more if a shootout arises.
So, with that possibility, you could take Daniels for 2+ passing TDs. It should still be sight + money this morning at least. With a decent chance of having to play from behind, there's a decent shot he has to throw it quite a bit and could even pluck an extra late game TD if they were getting wrecked. Not to mention the Lions certainly weren't the Steel Curtain vs the pass this season.
Just an idea of another way to approach it
Another angle to consider. You do tend feel pretty confident of Washington scoring. I'd also note that points per play averages put them just over 21, so at least a solid chance for 3 TDs by the Redskins, and possibly more if a shootout arises.
So, with that possibility, you could take Daniels for 2+ passing TDs. It should still be sight + money this morning at least. With a decent chance of having to play from behind, there's a decent shot he has to throw it quite a bit and could even pluck an extra late game TD if they were getting wrecked. Not to mention the Lions certainly weren't the Steel Curtain vs the pass this season.
Just an idea of another way to approach it
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