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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 College Football Bet Thread (The Digging Dog is back edition)

Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:40 am to
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91553 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:40 am to
quote:

4 is a key number :pinkypromise:
I'm not disputing it. Thought it was interesting and looked up last week's scores.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16911 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:44 am to
Kansas scored on South Dakota St... Memphis D is pretty decent...
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29691 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Anybody got a tennis play or some shite with some good value? Bookie gave me a $20 free play but it can't be on football



It's like a drug dealer. "Oh, you like football betting? Why don't you try some of this other shite - it's REAL good! Here, take a free sample!"

Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:49 am to
For those looking for a site that covers line movement, PayneInsider has an awesome, and very simply laid out, site that covers a great majority of the online betting sites.

Gives constant live updates and shows the line movement (if you click on the number) since it opened.

Also does the other major sports as well.
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22967 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:50 am to
quote:

accnodefense



any idea what your records are when all 5 of your predictions agree with one ATS side?
Posted by LSUShock
Kansas
Member since Jun 2014
5667 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:51 am to
I don't disagree, but Kansas showed their ability to score vs some decent teams last year. Memphis is returning 3 def starters and dominated Missouri State. I may be wrong, but that isn't enough to scare me off. Having gone to KU for 2 years and hating them, I made a ton of money betting against them during the Gill years haha. This would be the first time I've ever picked them.

Also, starting to like Iowa more and more at -3. If this was a home game I would be all over it. Iowa lost one of their own and their may not be a college in the country that has a more small town high school feel than Iowa. Those guys will be playing with heavy hearts for their guy Tyler Sash.
This post was edited on 9/10/15 at 10:53 am
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:54 am to
quote:

any idea what your records are when all 5 of your predictions agree with one ATS side?


I will have to look into this
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22967 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 10:58 am to
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:22 am to
Alright last week on my sheets, all 5 prediction methods were agreed upon in 26 games.

16-8-2 (66.7%)

Arizona State L
Arkansas State L
SMU W
Tennessee W
Nebraska L
Hawaii W
Duke W
Florida Atlantic W
Florida Intl W
GA Southern L
UL Lafayette W
UL Monroe P
Louisville W
Western Mich W
Utah W
South Carolina W
Central Mich W
Temple W
Marshall W
Northwestern W
Minnesota W
Texas State L
Troy L
UTEP L
Virginia L
Vanderbilt P

Totals there were 17 games with unanimous agreement. For what its worth, I have found fading my sheets totals early in the year as profitable.

7-10 (41.1%)

SMU/BAY L
DUKE/TULN L
GASO/WVU W
KENT/ILL L
ULM/UGA L
AUB/LOU W
NMST/FLA L
UNC/SCAR L
OHIO/IDHO L
OHST/VT L
ODU/EMU W
PNST/TEMP W
PUR/MRSH L
NW/STAN W
TCU/MINN L
TEX/ND W
UNLV/NIU W
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:27 am to
And here are the sides my sheets agree on this week. Lessons learned from last week, away dogs bad, home dogs good.

Nevada
Army
Ball State
Maryland
East Carolina
Wyoming
Florida International
Vanderbilt
Iowa State
UTSA
South Carolina
Western Kentucky
Mississippi State
Florida Atlantic
Miami (Ohio)
Colorado State
Arkansas State
North Texas
Virginia
Tennessee
Oregon
Oregon State
Rice
California
Air Force
UCF
UNLV
Utah State
Wake Forest
Rutgers
Georgia Southern
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:47 am to
quote:

And here are the sides my sheets agree on this week. Lessons learned from last week, away dogs bad, home dogs good.

Nevada
Army
Ball State
Maryland
East Carolina
Wyoming
Florida International
Vanderbilt
Iowa State
UTSA
South Carolina
Western Kentucky
Mississippi State
Florida Atlantic
Miami (Ohio)
Colorado State
Arkansas State
North Texas
Virginia
Tennessee
Oregon
Oregon State
Rice
California
Air Force
UCF
UNLV
Utah State
Wake Forest
Rutgers
Georgia Southern


MY MAN
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18051 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:47 am to
I prematurely jumped on Georgia, then re-thought it, then after reading the thread it looks like my second thoughts are warranted. So I took a unit on Vandy too. I'll just lose the juice.

I like Rice in this spot, but I really don't want to overreact to Texas looking like shite. Nobody answered Holeinone's question way back in the thread.

Any thoughts on Houston catching 14.5?
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:54 am to
quote:

I prematurely jumped on Georgia, then re-thought it, then after reading the thread it looks like my second thoughts are warranted. So I took a unit on Vandy too. I'll just lose the juice.


Do you have the same number on both sides?

quote:

Any thoughts on Houston catching 14.5?


If they are up to 14.5 now they have to be the play. Anything under I'd be on Louisville. Although Houston did not impress me vs. Tennessee Tech
Posted by FulshearTiger
Member since Jul 2015
5295 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:54 am to
Memphis -13.5
LSU -1.5
Rice +14.5
Kentucky +7.5
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 11:54 am to
Sparty now down to -3 on 5dimes. I took them there.

Also added Moo State +5

I'm also watching the Kansas line. Opened at +11, now up to 13.5.
This post was edited on 9/10/15 at 12:01 pm
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22967 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Alright last week on my sheets, all 5 prediction methods were agreed upon in 26 games.

16-8-2 (66.7%)



hell of a start to the season.

I don't have a system or a spreadsheet. I'm mostly a square and the guy that I typically split bets with is for sure a square. But, this will be a nice tool to monitor. I took some of yours that had a unanimous side last week and matched them up with games I liked and went 5-1. I'm a mostly parlay bettor though. Won two parlays and lost 1. (I know i know, sucker bet.)
This post was edited on 9/10/15 at 12:12 pm
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

I don't have a system or a spreadsheet. I'm mostly a square and the guy that I typically split bets with is for sure a square. But, this will be a nice tool to monitor. I took some of yours that had a unanimous side last week and matched them up with games I liked and went 5-1. I'm a mostly parlay bettor though. Won two parlays and lost 1. (I know i know, sucker bet.)


Paid off last week... as much as I would like to really trust my system, I know the week I decide to really invest in it and raise my bankroll and unit sizes to take advantage of it, is the week it will go 30%.
Posted by Larry
Collierville, TN
Member since Jul 2004
5498 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:23 pm to
I got:

LSU (-5) over MSU

Memphis (-13.5) over Kansas

Michigan State (-3.5) over Oregon
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83184 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:27 pm to
Alot if bets on the la tech over, and line has only gone down. Good luck on that over fellas
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:33 pm to
Ive given that clemson line the 1000yd stare all week and still dont get it. its at 18.5 now and still dont scare me. I can see that being less than 3TDs
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