- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 2 College Football Bet Thread (The Digging Dog is back edition)
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:50 pm to Chef Leppard
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:50 pm to Chef Leppard
Virginia back down to 11.5 at most books despite receiving 10-15% of total wagers... That's looking like a public burial more and more.
2
Posted on 9/10/15 at 12:59 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Virginia back down to 11.5 at most books despite receiving 10-15% of total wagers... That's looking like a public burial more and more.
I have been trying to explain to the squares on reddit how Georgia/Notre Dame are the ultimate public burial square traps
Honestly now that I think about it the key to profiting betting on CFB is experience. When you have been doing it long enough you have been burned on public burial plays enough to know a trap line when you see it.
I used to see matchups and say "OMG Georgia! They are sooooo much better than Vanderbilt! They will kill them!" and bet Georgia without even looking at the line. There are lots of bettors like that who will take a team no matter what the line is just because they think they will "kill" them.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:06 pm to accnodefense
quote:
I used to see matchups and say "OMG Georgia! They are sooooo much better than Vanderbilt! They will kill them!" and bet Georgia without even looking at the line
This is exactly what I was talking about earlier when betting lines vs betting teams.
I used to do that as well. Sometimes I got lucky, but in the long run I got burned.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:07 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Virginia back down to 11.5 at most books despite receiving 10-15% of total wagers... That's looking like a public burial more and more.
dammit! do you think it will go back up? i was going to see if virginia would get a better number now i lost half a point
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:15 pm to oleyeller
Are you really worried about the difference between 11.5 and 12?
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:19 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
Are you really worried about the difference between 11.5 and 12?
not in grand scheme of things.. but i hate losing value
eapecially since i watched it for a few daysPosted on 9/10/15 at 1:29 pm to accnodefense
quote:
I used to see matchups and say "OMG Georgia! They are sooooo much better than Vanderbilt! They will kill them!" and bet Georgia without even looking at the line. There are lots of bettors like that who will take a team no matter what the line is just because they think they will "kill" them.
When you look at the two teams long and hard. The only advantage that you could really say Vandy has is home field. Now that they are talking shite to Chubb & Co, look out. UGA will blast them. Vandy may score 10 at the most
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:32 pm to Howyouluhdat
quote:
quote:
I used to see matchups and say "OMG Georgia! They are sooooo much better than Vanderbilt! They will kill them!" and bet Georgia without even looking at the line. There are lots of bettors like that who will take a team no matter what the line is just because they think they will "kill" them.
When you look at the two teams long and hard. The only advantage that you could really say Vandy has is home field. Now that they are talking shite to Chubb & Co, look out. UGA will blast them. Vandy may score 10 at the most
so 30-10 final?
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:32 pm to Howyouluhdat
For clarity, I'm liking Virginia not Vandy. I wouldn't touch Vandy, it's just a steer clear.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:49 pm to oleyeller
quote:
so 30-10 final?
I don't see UGA kicking that many FG's
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:50 pm to Howyouluhdat
The cyborg gamblers in here are making me pull a little extra for outcomes in a few games
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:54 pm to ChemE in the OP
Agree. Vandy is so poorly coached and deprived of talent. I'm not betting because Mark Richt, but UGA should crush them.
Virginia is a 100% throw out all your football knowledge, put on the blindfold, and bet UVA game.
Miss St has HFA, 5 pts, better QB. LSU has Les who loves to keep games as close as possible and did not get the warmup game they desperately needed.
Virginia is a 100% throw out all your football knowledge, put on the blindfold, and bet UVA game.
Miss St has HFA, 5 pts, better QB. LSU has Les who loves to keep games as close as possible and did not get the warmup game they desperately needed.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 1:59 pm to Zipfer2022
I'm on State. Partially for a Home Team Hedge, and partially because I can see LSU's defense getting Dak'ed.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:04 pm to LSUJuice
I'm about to lock some in, sharp money coming into the market.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:07 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
better QB.
Point taken, Dak is a good QB, but you don't know this. You don't know this because you have no clue what to expect from Harris or the LSU offense.
Also, Dak was good with an offensive line that didn't have several new starters. Their defense was also good before the lost like 6 of their front 7.
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:07 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
I'm about to lock some in, sharp money coming into the market.
please share what you get in on
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:08 pm to FulshearTiger
quote:
Are you really worried about the difference between 11.5 and 12?
I had people pose the same question when I was concerned about my Virginia bet last week. I had Virginia +17.5 and it closed at Virginia +19.
Virginia lost by 18 and I lost the bet
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:09 pm to FulshearTiger
Week 2 Card ~
Sep 11 CFB [305] UTAH STATE +12 (-110)
Sep 12 CFB [324] MISSISSIPPI ST +4½ (-105)
Sep 12 CFB [354] VIRGINIA +11½ (-110)
Good luck!
Sep 11 CFB [305] UTAH STATE +12 (-110)
Sep 12 CFB [324] MISSISSIPPI ST +4½ (-105)
Sep 12 CFB [354] VIRGINIA +11½ (-110)
Good luck!
Posted on 9/10/15 at 2:12 pm to accnodefense
which sub?
Page 20 of 46
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News