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re: OFFICIAL NFL Bet Thread Week 3

Posted on 9/20/13 at 11:52 am to
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5418 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Blazing Five
Giants(+1) vs Carolina (Wiseguys DISAGREE)
San Diego(+3) vs Tennessee (Slight Disagreement)
Rams(+4) vs Cowboys (HUGE AGREEMENT)
Packers(-2.5) vs Bengals *Favorite Play of the weekend* (AGREEMENT - Public and Wiseguys on this side)
Jets(-2.5) vs Bills (AGREEMENT)

BONUS PLAY - Jags(+20) vs Seahawks (AGREEMENT)

Atlanta feels like a trap game to him.
This post was edited on 9/20/13 at 11:52 am
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

The Seahawks will sleep walk to 31 points on Sunday. 24 points from their offense and 7 from the defense.

I don't think the Jags score more than 10.




Here is my concern with the Seahawks in this situation. Seattle doesn't have a bye until week 12. Will Carrol use this game as an opportunity to take care of business in the first half, and then get his scrubs some PT during the second half? Coming off of the game with San Fran, I'm sure they will have a lot of guys bruised and battered that could use the extra rest. Just my .02 worth.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

I'm adding Pats -7 (-105)... 9 days to prepare for a reeling Bucs team at home. Really nice spot here.


Like it. The Pats receivers really aren't terrible. They all had bad games last week except Edelman. Dobson was running some good routes and getting open, he was just dropping the ball. There was also some communication issues with his receivers. Nothing that can't be corrected this week.

That loss to the Saints last week could send the Bucs into a tailspin.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:19 pm to
I think the Bucs rebound on the road. The Patriots D is pretty awful, Tom Brady is extremely frustrated, and I think the Bucs secondary completely shuts down the Pats WRs.

Not to mention this is really a must win for the Bucs, otherwise Schiano is likely gone. I'll take a TD here all day and I think the Bucs win straight up.
This post was edited on 9/20/13 at 1:20 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Not to mention this is really a must win for the Bucs, otherwise Schiano is likely gone.


All the more reason for the Bucs to lay a turd. Players don't like Schiano.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:31 pm to
These are professionals playing for future contracts and Schiano is coaching for his job. If you take away half of the 200 yards in penalties, this Bucs team could be 2-0 (1-1 at worst).

The team has taken a TON of heat here in Tampa, they will be ready to play.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12064 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:36 pm to
REALLY liking my decision to get in early this week. My parlay of Minny -5, GB -2 and Chi -2 is looking better and better, but the last one will probably cost me.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:41 pm to
JG, you know of any other solid sports betting podcasts (other than covers)?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:44 pm to
You checked out pregame?
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:45 pm to
Yeah, whoops, pregame is the one I'm referring to. I found another one on itunes that is mostly NFL. Outside of that I haven't found much.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25285 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:49 pm to
The Rams +4 is so tasty.

The game probably should be Dallas -1 or 2 and the Rams get a key number (+4).

Love the Rams.
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36320 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

I found another one on itunes that is mostly NFL. Outside of that I haven't found much.
If it's the "sports gambling podcast", then those guys are horrible. Don't think they're very good, and they're annoying as shite.

Chad Millman's podcast can be really interesting, but it's more about the industry than individual game discussions.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12064 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 2:35 pm to
Just pregame as has been mentioned. Unless the other local guys have their shows podcast as well, I just listen to them on the radio. espn 1100

At the bottom right is all of the podcasts, pretty much all of the shows are all gambling centric as we have nothing else other than UNLV.
Posted by RoyBoy2323
Slabtown
Member since Oct 2004
3112 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:05 pm to
A game I am going on record as saying is lock of the week is Georgia Tech -6 over UNC. GT will cover this 6 points easy.

Also, I really like San Fran and Harbaugh coming off a loss. Take San Fran -9-1/2.

Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

I think the Bucs win straight up.


Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:27 pm to
The Pats aren't very good

New England is getting way too much credit from the books, imo. Probably because the public is overvaluing the pats.
This post was edited on 9/20/13 at 4:28 pm
Posted by Captain Ron
Location: Ted's
Member since Dec 2012
4340 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

New England is getting way too much credit from the books, imo.


If Gronk plays, he could be the difference between a cover or no-cover.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42515 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:36 pm to
Coming off of three surgeries? Could be a completely different player. Not to mention Tampa's secondary is very good.

I just don't see how the Pats are a TD favorite.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30204 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:54 pm to
Per RJ Bell, Seahawks are 0-9 ATS in games after playing Frisco.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/20/13 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

I just don't see how the Pats are a TD favorite.


Coach Bill's historicals with longer than average prep times are $$$ against the spread. Should do wonders for Brady's timing with his young receivers as well. Bucs are turning into a dumpster fire quick. Pats -7 is not the public line, money coming in evenly.
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