re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 11

Already locked in three Weekday plays I like.

Ohio +3.5
Central Michigan +20
Stanford +10.5

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... and they just got shutout vs a crappy ACC team (Syracuse).

We are comparing warts

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And you're comparing them poorly. Wake would work over Kansas.

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And you're comparing them poorly. Wake would work over Kansas.

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Just like Wake rolled over for zero points vs. Cuse?

Whatever. IMO, on a neutral field, Wake isn't rolling over any BCS team, Kansas or not.

I'm not going to argue which turd stinks more

I'm looking for two teams to finish a 4-team monster (13 point) tease. I have Bama PK and LSU +26.

Tease ECU down to -3... Tulsa sucks.

Any locks for this week? I can't seem to win cfb to save my life

I would take Stanford now, I will be surprised if it gets any better than 10-11

My preliminary thoughts on this week's lines:

Already Locked In:

50 BG-23.5 at horrendous Mia-OH
55 BG at -1750 over horrendous Mia-OH

50 Ball State-19.5 vs. dogtrash Central Michigan
55 Ball State at -1150 vs. dogtrash Central Michigan

100 Oregon-10.5
410 Oregon at -435 (the 410 represents the amount to win, not the amount at risk)

40 Oklahoma at +481 (here the amount at risk is 40)
30 Oklahoma+14


And now onto everything else:

Louisville -28 @ UConn: UConn is just unspeakably bad at the game of football. They've played two teams way worse than Louisville who have beaten them by more than 28, and the one team they've played that is pretty much on par with Louisville, UCF, beat them by 45. Louisville should win by 35+.

New Mexico-2.5 at home v. Air Force: The fighting Bob Davie's should win this comfortably. Air Force is real bad. And, yes, New Mexico is also bad, but there are many levels of putridity, and NM is a two levels above Air Force in the putrid department.

Western Kentucky -6 at Army: The Hilltoppers have been hit or miss this year, but they are definitely the better team than Army. I had this spread at WKU-9.5.

Penn State+2.5 @ Minny: I probably won't bet on this game, but I'd lean PSU if I did.

Mizzou-14 @ Kentucky: I'll be throwing down both on Mizzou ATS and also on the ML. This is one of my favs of the week.

Vandy+10 @ Florida; I think Vandy may win this game outright.

TTU-2.5 v. Kansas state: TTU is just the better team this year, and they're at home. I had this line at TTU-8.5. Needless to say, I'll be trying some Kliff Kingsbury on for size.

Auburn-7.5 @ Vols: I'm not betting this game because I don't bet on or against my own team. But you should bet on Auburn. And you should be ton Auburn big.

Tulane+9 @ UTSA: I would need to do a bit of research before throwing donw on this one as I don't know a ton about either team, but just looking off results, it doesn't seem like UTSA is any better than Tulane. They look pretty even to me.

Hawaii+17.5 @ Navy: Hawaii had a really bad game last weekend, but other than that game they've been very compettive in nearly every one of their games. I don't expect this game to be any different.

MTSU-18 v. FIU: i love betting against the worst teams in the country, and FIU is inarguably one of the worst teams in the country, but MTSU hasn't destroyed a single team all year. So I may just lay off this one.

LSU+13 @ Bama: I love this line. This game is always close. And I have no reason to believe it will be anything but close this year.

UCF-10.5 v. Houston: I'm a believer in UCF. I'm gonna keep riding them.

Southern Miss+15.5 @ La. Tech: Southern Miss is goddamn terrible, but La. Tech is really bad in their own right. A team as bad as La Tech shouldn't be giving 15.5 points to anybody. But I just can't bring myself to back a team as bad as USM, so I'l likely lay off.

Wyoming+10 v. Fresno: Fresno's habit of winning all their games by three points is going to bite them at some point this season. And I think this might be the game. I wouldn't be shocked if Wyoming won outright.

UCLA-1 @ Arizona; I just think UCLA is markedly better football team.

Notre Dame-5 @ Pittsburgh: Okay, so Notre Dame had their close call against an inferior opponent last week. This week they bounce back and win comfortably.


Thoughts, comments, questions, concerns?

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My only thought is that I want your bankroll.

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I've had a good season and so i'm up quite a bit with my guy. Being up gives me the freedom to really lay the wood on a game I love. And Oregon qualifies.

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Actually I like a lot of these, including TTU and Tulane also. I think we might end up on a lot of the same sides so I hope you have a hell of a week.

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Right back atcha. Best of luck.