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re: Manning, Brady, Brees, and Rodgers: A chart based on scoring defense

Posted on 2/8/17 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112853 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Rodgers and Brady took similar beatings against the same Falcons team. One led an improbable comeback for the ages while the other wilted like a flower in winter time. I'll let you decide which is which.

So 1 game, that's the difference?


Any thoughts on Rodgers scoring 45 points in a playoff loss vs Brady throwing a total of 3 TDs in his 1st 3 SB playoffs, as in all of the playoff games for 3 seasons with 3 total TD passes? Rodgers likely had 3 or more TDs in that 1 loss where he put up 45 points. Any thoughts on that? Or do you just ignore that and use the single sample sizes that fit your eye test?
This post was edited on 2/8/17 at 10:01 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

Rodgers and Brady took similar beatings against the same Falcons team. One led an improbable comeback for the ages while the other wilted like a flower in winter time. I'll let you decide which is which.
One led their team to 21 points on the road, and his defense gave up 44

One led their team to 28 points at a neutral site, but also threw a pick 6. So a net of 21, but luckily, his defense only gave up 21

Thank you for posting what you did. It gave my entire thread the stamp of approval


ETA: Rodgers had passer rating of 92. Brady 95
This post was edited on 2/8/17 at 10:05 pm
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

So 1 game, that's the difference?
The funny thing is, the reason Brady won and Rodgers didn't was defense
Posted by DannyB
Bagram, Afghanistan
Member since Aug 2010
6141 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:10 pm to
I could have saved you a lot of time and just told you that the Pats have a better defense than those other shite teams.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:12 pm to
Thanks for looking out for me
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71133 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

One led their team to 21 points on the road


And all 21 of them were garbage points. The score was 31-0 before Green Bay even got wind of the end zone.

Brady won in spite of his defense. The Falcons' second half collapse had more to do with play calling than with defense (Hightower's 4th quarter forced fumble being the notable exception).

The Falcons went into a protective shell once up 28-3 and the Patriots' defense barely saw the field in the second half due to three very long scoring drives that chewed up a ton of clock. So your "his defense only gave up 21" argument only works when you admit that Brady's clock chewing offense made it possible. The offense can't score when it's on the sideline for most of the half. This speaks once and for all to the greatness that is Tom Brady - the greatest QB to ever play the game.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

ETA 2: Time of possession


I'm not sure where this thread has meandered in the last 12ish pages, but considering this edit, I hope you've discussed how this kind of thing plays into "scoring" defense and what not.

If we're trying to discuss the supporting defenses, I'd prefer we talked about their ranking with respect to average yards per play. That metric is more relevant to the actual quality of the defense as far as I'm concerned.



On average, Brady's defense is very much in line with Peyton's during his career. In fact, the average ranking of the defense that Brady has taken to the Super Bowl was 13th, while Peyton's average ranking in the Super Bowl years was 14th.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71133 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

Any thoughts on Rodgers scoring 45 points in a playoff loss vs Brady throwing a total of 3 TDs in his 1st 3 SB playoffs


Brady didn't start out as the greatest, he developed into it. He doesn't have the natural ability that Rodgers or Manning have/had. Unlike Rodgers, however, Brady has lived up to his potential (maybe even surpassed it). For all the natural talent Rodgers has, he shits the bed more often than not.

Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

On average, Brady's defense is very much in line with Peyton's during his career
What are you talking about?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112853 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

Brady won in spite of his defense.


They gave up 22 points.

quote:

The Falcons went into a protective shell once up 28-3
As evidence by running the ball only 4 times from that point to the rest of the game? They've been criticized like crazy for being too aggressive and you're the one guy saying the complete opposite.


But anyway, any thoughts in when Rodgers plays great in a playoffs loss compared to Brady entire playoffs with 3 total TD passes? Or again, do you ignore those samples and only go with the small sample sizes when they fit what your eye tests already confirmed?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

For all the natural talent Rodgers has, he shits the bed more often than not.
This is a flat out lie

His passer rating is 6 points higher than brady in the playoffs
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4991 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Unlike Rodgers, however, Brady has lived up to his potential (maybe even surpassed it). For all the natural talent Rodgers has, he shits the bed more often than not.


This is ridiculously stupid
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Any thoughts on Rodgers scoring 45 points in a playoff loss vs Brady throwing a total of 3 TDs in his 1st 3 SB playoffs, as in all of the playoff games for 3 seasons with 3 total TD passes?


Huh? Brady threw for 6 TDs and 1 INT in the first 3 SBs alone, not counting the other playoff games.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112853 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

If we're trying to discuss the supporting defenses, I'd prefer we talked about their ranking with respect to average yards per play. That metric is more relevant to the actual quality of the defense as far as I'm concerned.

1. Shouldn't we factor in all of these stats?

2. And in doing so, don't we still come to the conclusion that Brady has clearly played with better defenses than the others?

Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

If we're trying to discuss the supporting defenses, I'd prefer we talked about their ranking with respect to average yards per play. That metric is more relevant to the actual quality of the defense as far as I'm concerned.
Absolutely not. Scoring is far more important than average yards per play

Give me average points per play, and you are on to something
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112853 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Brady didn't start out as the greatest, he developed into it. He doesn't have the natural ability that Rodgers or Manning have/had. Unlike Rodgers, however, Brady has lived up to his potential (maybe even surpassed it). For all the natural talent Rodgers has, he shits the bed more often than not.

Any thoughts on Brees having a better passer rating in his playoff losses than Brady does in his playoff wins? I ask as you seemed to insinuate Brady "knows how to win" in the playoffs, so I wanted to see how you reconciled that data with what your eye test things it sees?

quote:

For all the natural talent Rodgers has, he shits the bed more often than not.
And yet his playoff career numbers are better than Brady, by a wide margin. Go figure, right?

Rodgers gets better in the playoffs, Brady worse. Can you explain that with one shits the bed and the other steps up with your eye test?
This post was edited on 2/8/17 at 10:29 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

His passer rating is 6 points higher than brady in the playoffs


I'm still going to play the wait and see game with Rodgers because we're comparing him to guys with 7+ seasons on him. The other 3 were starting earlier in their careers and are 5+ years older than him. Career averages for Rodgers are about as insulated and optimal as you'll find without the extremes that you see in the beginning and end of careers.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112853 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

Huh? Brady threw for 6 TDs and 1 INT in the first 3 SBs alone, not counting the other playoff games.

Yep, I was looking at the incorrect column, the INT one lol.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111336 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:30 pm to
slackster, I am dumbfounded by you right now

Thinking average yards per play effects wins more than scoring defense?

Average points per play would be the best

However, Brees and Rodgers have a better TOP than Brady, and yet their defenses still give up more points. So Brady would actually be even further ahead in average points per play
This post was edited on 2/8/17 at 10:31 pm
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4991 posts
Posted on 2/8/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

I don't need to look at numbers when I have eyes that can watch these guys play. Having watched all four of them play, Tom Brady is still tGOAT.




You are a bright guy
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