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re: Jim Caldwell Just Kicked a FG down 7 with sub-3 minutes Left

Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:09 pm to
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
25274 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:09 pm to
Bet you feeling dumb now
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140864 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:10 pm to
He's banking on getting the ball back a TD wins it. He's extending the game. He misses the 4th all he can do is tie it.
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
25274 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:11 pm to
The Lions have the ball with less than a minute left inside the 10

No matter if they win or they lose Caldwell made the right call here
Posted by Breadstick Gun
Freeport, FL
Member since Apr 2009
10428 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:11 pm to
Looks like it's working out. He was banking on the Bears being safe and running it 3 times. He won that bet.
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
41250 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:11 pm to
man, this thread is backfiring hard
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477249 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

He's banking on getting the ball back a TD wins it.

again

if you convert, you're much more likely to score that TD than another TD drive

if you convert and fail? logic still applies for another TD drive
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17458 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:12 pm to
Yeah, if he had his timeouts, I'm really not seeing the issue.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108371 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:13 pm to
GOAT
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140864 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:13 pm to
Again you get points he has time outs to get ball back

If he misses the 4th he can't win only tie

You're an attorney you should understand options and things.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477249 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

man, this thread is backfiring hard


outliers occur

you don't push in all your chips knowing you're behind with 5 outs left, and if you hit one of those outs it doesn't justify the decision
Posted by td01241
Savannah
Member since Nov 2012
30154 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:14 pm to
You just think you are a smart cookie dont you?
Posted by Patrick_Bateman
Member since Jan 2012
17823 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Context?

that is all irrelevant

I mean, if it's 4th and 18 from the 20 yard line and you're down by 7 with 2:45 to play with all 3 timeouts, I have no problem kicking a field goal.
Posted by Tuskkman
Hoover Alabama
Member since Jun 2015
1626 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:14 pm to
NFL Defemses are so much better on 4rth and short then collegs. That is why they take the FG's.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477249 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Again you get points he has time outs to get ball back

If he misses the 4th he can't win only tie

and if he doesn't convert he loses, which is worse than a tie

quote:

You're an attorney you should understand options and things.

you're ignoring the negative options
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15298 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

You just think you are a smart cookie dont you?



he's a lawyer, they have the answer for everything...

simple solutions for complex problems
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140864 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:16 pm to
Exactly so he kicks the FG to extend the game get points and give his team a better chance.

Going for it is a negative.

This isn't X-Box it's real football.
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 3:17 pm
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:16 pm to
Even if it works out it was statistically the wrong call
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 6:01 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477249 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

NFL Defemses are so much better on 4rth and short then collegs. That is why they take the FG's.

the economists say you never don't go for it on that side of the field, let alone with little time left and only down 1 score
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290911 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Bet you feeling dumb now




why?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
477249 posts
Posted on 10/18/15 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

Even if it works out it was statically the wrong call

and it isn't even close

again, this is like playing poker for runner runner and then claiming you "read it right" by hitting it
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