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re: Is Jacob deGrom a lock for the hall of fame?

Posted on 8/4/25 at 6:09 pm to
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45677 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 6:09 pm to
DeGrom- 3 seasons over 200 innings
Koufax - 3 seasons over 300 innings

Who do you want on your staff? A horse like Koufax, or a resident of the injured list?
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
287644 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Koufax led the league in k/9 6 times, WHIP four times, FIP six times, k's four times, ERA five times, and k/bb three times

All in a 6 year period


I mean yea, certainly dominant especially the stretch to end his career, but also played In an era with just 20MLB teams


DeGrom will pass him in WAR by the end of the year. He has a much better ERA+, more K's, and less walks on average. DeGRom does not have the counting stats but his body of work when he has pitched puts him in discussions with players like Koufax

Posted by SPEEDY
2005 Tiger Smack Poster of the Year
Member since Dec 2003
86415 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 6:49 pm to
Injuries is what will be the reason he won’t be in the Hall

Injuries is also what ended what could have been the greatest season ever by a pitcher in MLB history. That 2021 was going to be insane



Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45677 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 7:16 pm to
That's one third of a season
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45677 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 9:00 pm to
Those three Cy Youngs Koufax won were when there was one award for all of MLB, not one in each league.
This post was edited on 8/4/25 at 9:11 pm
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77647 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 10:12 pm to
It’s still amazing stats no matter the length of the season
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45677 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 10:28 pm to
It's a hot streak.
Posted by UltimateHog
Thailand
Member since Dec 2011
68438 posts
Posted on 8/4/25 at 11:02 pm to
Maybe not a lock but 2 more seasons similar to this and yes he is in. That takes him to age 39, doable
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 1:29 am to
Only 3 modern era starters have gotten in over the last 10 years (Halladay, Mussina, and now CC). “Locks” are not really a thing with the self-righteous Cooperstown hall monitors

His best stuff is 100% equal to that of the current Big 4 who will end up with stronger bodies of work (Verlander, Kershaw, Scherzer, Greinke), it will just come down to longevity arguments. Those 4 will end up between 3,000 - 3,500 innings but he’ll only end up with 2,000 - 2,500. That said, his WAR/162 is better than all of them (7th all-time). If you normalize volume, he’s their peer in essentially all key metrics (including SO-BB ratio, for which he is baseball’s all-time career leader)

It’s not his fault at all but he’ll also be missing postseason support to his argument from only making it twice (as it stands). That said, 4-1 in 5 games is pretty fricking good. Kind of a microcosm of his career that when he’s actually out there he’s as good as it gets

I don’t know why the OP is getting downvoted to oblivion outside of the “lock” notion. It’s going to be close and every year he’s able to get through like this it’s going to be easier for voters to adjust for the injuries. This season arguably saved his candidacy
This post was edited on 8/5/25 at 3:39 am
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 2:33 am to
quote:

Same like Lincecum. 4-5 years of elite level of play isn't enough.
The thing is Lincecum’s quality fell apart after the injuries. Degrom’s hasn’t

2021 - Elbow injury ended historic season in August
2022 - Separate offseason shoulder injury, couldn’t play till August
2023 - UCL tear and Tommy John in June
2024 - Returned from Tommy John in September
2025 - All-Star, currently 12th in ERA and 5th in WHIP

In that 3-season injury hell of 2022-2024, he put up an aggregate ERA of 2.81 and WHIP of 0.787. Coming off of repeated rehab, his numbers over some stretch of this span “should” be average to mediocre - he “should” have a season or two of a 5+ ERA. But he doesn’t. To still be able to maintain his standard among that stretch of misery furthers his HOF case

Writing his candidacy off based on career numbers and punishing him for injuries that have not even entailed a dip in quality is lazy. In most cases I think the Mets and anyone associated with them can go frick themselves, but I’ll be bummed if the voters don't see reason here
This post was edited on 8/5/25 at 4:11 am
Posted by DJ3K
Member since Dec 2011
7333 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 4:29 am to
No pitcher with less than 200 wins should get into the HoF
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 4:44 am to
quote:

wins
In 2018 Degrom started a full 32 games. He won the Cy Young on the back of a 1.70 ERA, 0.912 WHIP, 5.85 SO/BB season. Easily the best pitcher in the league that year

He went 10-9

He won the Cy Young again next year. He went 11-8

It’s 2025. It’s time to stop pretending wins are a relevant criterion. We stopped doing it for QBs, and with a little courage we can do it for pitchers too
Posted by Philzilla2k
Member since Oct 2017
12331 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 6:47 am to
quote:

2 Cy Young Awards

So does Tim Lincecum.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
53371 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:01 am to
quote:

It’s 2025. It’s time to stop pretending wins are a relevant criterion. We stopped doing it for QBs, and with a little courage we can do it for pitchers too
wins will never not be relevant because it’s the whole reason you strive for those stats…
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:16 am to
quote:

wins will never not be relevant because it’s the whole reason you strive for those stats…


The metric incorporates the direct performance of 9 other players. That’s how a Top 3 pitcher in baseball doesn’t even have a winning record

This is a genuinely retarded hill to die on
This post was edited on 8/5/25 at 7:18 am
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45677 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:20 am to
If there were still only one Cy Young award, he wouldn't have any.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
53371 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:34 am to
quote:

. That’s how a Top 3 pitcher in baseball doesn’t even have a winning record


If you’re top 3, eventually your W-L record should reflect that though. It denotes going deep into games and longevity, which is what you pay your starting pitcher to do.
This post was edited on 8/5/25 at 7:37 am
Posted by UltimateHog
Thailand
Member since Dec 2011
68438 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:45 am to
So if Paul Skenes signs a 10 year deal with the Pirates and they never turn it around but he's an all time great he shouldn't get in? That's absurd.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:46 am to
quote:

If you’re top 3, eventually your W-L record should reflect that though. It denotes going deep into games and longevity
Which isn’t a thing as much as it was in the past, hence why the metric is being increasingly discarded
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
16599 posts
Posted on 8/5/25 at 7:50 am to
quote:

If there were still only one Cy Young award, he wouldn't have any.
His 2018 season beats Snell’s in almost every conceivable way, so nah
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