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re: Daily Betting Thread 3/7 Monday

Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:16 pm to
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:16 pm to
Donovan Mitchell over 24.5 points vs Dallas. He averages 33.4 against them
Posted by NoMercy
Member since Feb 2007
4686 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:33 pm to
I took Fox over 1.5 3's tonight against the Knicks for +115.

He has been hot as of late and has at least 2 for 3 straight games and the knicks suck on d along with being on the back end of a back to back.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21956 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:36 pm to
Tailed that and added Mitchell over 32.5 P/R/A, and over 29.5 P/A.
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 12:37 pm
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10924 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:40 pm to
Coming off of a 3 day L streak. Blew my wad on Luka tonight, hope he shows up.
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:42 pm to
I've got 3 $50 free bets left on Wynnbets.
Good idea/Bad idea to use them on a pick for NCAAB champ? Going for a top 10 team with pretty long odds - Baylor +1200, Kansas +1500, etc?

Side note (related, but different): just saw they have a new March Tournament win bonus. Bet $50 on NCAAB winner & get a $10 free bet every game that team wins. Considering putting $50 on Gonzaga or Arizona with this one since I'd most confident in 1 of those 2 to make it to elite 8/final 4... Promotion runs till 3/16 so I'll probably wait for the brackets to come out before picking this one.
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 12:48 pm
Posted by FogellLovesHops
Member since Mar 2022
45 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:48 pm to
My Plays for tonight (Both on FanDuel)...

Drew Timme over 7.5 Rebounds (+100) 1u

Timme has gone for over this in 5 of their last 6 games including 9 rebs against San Fran 2/24. (disclaimer he did only have 4 rebounds the 1st meeting with San Fran)

2-leg Parlay (+225) 1u
Chet Holmgren over 14.5 pts
Tommy Kuhse over 14.5 pts

Holmgren has only gone over 14.5 in 2 of their last 5 but did put up 22 against San Fran on 1/20 as well as 21 against them on 2/24.

Kuhse has, similarly, only gone over 14.5 in 2 of their last 5 but did put up 16 against Santa Clara on 1/20 as well as 17 against them on 2/8.

Good Luck today everyone


UPDATES: Holmgren can be found on DK at 13.5 pts.
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 1:21 pm
Posted by Qbert Jones
Member since Apr 2018
382 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:48 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/28/22 at 10:52 pm
Posted by WestSideTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
4923 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:49 pm to
I never mix game bets with player props. Brings me too much pain. I really only do game bets with college anyway. Haven’t had much success with o/u’s either. It’s just not for me. I do see you using the alt spreads. Love those for parlays. Don’t like o/u for player props either. Much prefer the greater than 10, 15, 20 etc especially for PRA.
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14512 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Luka tonight . Hope he shows up


Have some skin on Luka tonight as well. Saw they were playing the jazz and remembered that’s the game he screwed me in when I was in SLC last time they met. Hope he lights it up at home.
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14686 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:52 pm to
Cash that Turkey soccer
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
17167 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:53 pm to
I'm seeing a lot of buzz (reddit) for Tyrese Maxey Over 17.5 Points. You can parlay that with Maxey Over 1.5 Threes for +115 or Over 2.5 Threes for +230.

He is killing it with all of the attention that defenses have to give to Harden. He's hit that points total in 4 of the last 5. The miss was a 17 point effort against the Heat without Harden. He has also hit at least 2 threes in the previous 5.

I'm torn between riding the hot hand or looking for a return to averages.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36984 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Post whatever parlays you do tonight baw. I'll tail you

I'm done doing multiple 5-6+ leg parlays myself. Aside from almost always losing them, it's so much shite to try to follow/keep up with lol


Ok, so here is what I have so far for tonight...all of these on Caesar's:

76ers vs. Bulls

--Derozan under 11.5 reb + ast
--T Harris under 1.5 blk + stl
+ 185

The Derozan number has hit in 5 of his last 6 games, with a 15 thrown in. (8,15,10,10,9,9)
The Harris number has hit in 7 of his last 8 (1,1,2,1,1,0,1,1)

--Derozan over 1.5 blk + stl
--Harden over 34.5 pts + ast
+ 420

Derozan's has hit in the last 4 (2,2,4,3)
Harden has hit this number in all of his games with the 76ers (36, 35, 45, 39)

Hawks vs. Pistons

--Bey over 21.5 pts + reb
--Joseph over 0.5 blk + stl
+ 173

Bey has hit this number easily in his last 4 (27, 29, 26, 35)
Joseph has hit this number in 8 of the last 9 (1,2,0,1,1,1,1,2)

Jazz vs. Mavericks

--Conley over 1.5 blk + stl
--Bogdanovic over 18.5 pts + reb
+ 320

Conley has easily hit this number in 6 of his last 7 (3,4,2,3,0,5,2) and he was rested last night, so hopefully he is fresh for tonight
EDIT: I had the wrong Bogdanovic. I used the stats for the one who plays for Atlanta and not Utah.

Bojan's last games are 40, 10, 23, 13, 20, 17, 27. Bet at your own peril


Will probably have some more of these later today if anyone is interested.
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 1:46 pm
Posted by Harry Caray
Denial
Member since Aug 2009
20298 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:58 pm to
Is KenPom not letting anyone else log in? It's telling me password or email incorrect despite both being the same for four years...
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162130 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

nits wagered: 55.25U
Units won: 33.45U
ROI: 60.55% Streak: ??

Last Moneymaker: Manchester City -4 Corners(-115) vs Manchester United
Wager: 5U

Todays Moneymaker: Athletic Bilbao -2.5 Corner Spread(+105) vs Levante Liga 3:00PM
Wager: 2U

Why this will hit

Athletic Bilbao is the best cornering team in Liga currently, and are in superb form at home in their last 10. They have only one loss over and they outcorner opponents by an average of 3.9

Although they lost their last head to head matchup 3-6 in a very poor showing, they actually won the four battles prior to that by an average of 5.75

In the last 3 meetings that Athletic Bilbao have hosted, they have won 7-4, 9-3, and 10-2

Levante are 2-3 in their last 5 away corner battles, and only beat teams statistically worse than them at cornering. They are 4-6 in their last 10, losing by an average of 2.5 over that period

Gun to my head prediction: Athletic Bilbao win the corner battle 7-3 or 8-4
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36984 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

He is killing it with all of the attention that defenses have to give to Harden. He's hit that points total in 4 of the last 5. The miss was a 17 point effort against the Heat without Harden. He has also hit at least 2 threes in the previous 5.

I'm torn between riding the hot hand or looking for a return to averages.


I am having the same thoughts...and I think Conley really is that much better with Harden. I don't think it is a coincidence. But I just became an expert on the NBA about 3 weeks ago
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
127660 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:12 pm to
Tyrese Maxey o1.5 made threes
Taken 6 in 4 straight games and made at least 3 in 5 straight games.

I see it was posted above
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 1:13 pm
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
127660 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:21 pm to
Trying to hit a 3 leg first basket for $1130

Chart is from yesterday but gives you an idea even though it’s a longgggg shot

Posted by Mouth
Member since Jan 2008
22993 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

I got tired of typing in my complete email and password every time I got on.


I open the Caesar’s app and hit log in. It then automatically populates my email and password and logs me right in.
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:22 pm to
Think I will live bet the corners on FD since they just offered a bet match promo (anyone else get that?)
This post was edited on 3/7/22 at 1:29 pm
Posted by Qbert Jones
Member since Apr 2018
382 posts
Posted on 3/7/22 at 1:28 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/28/22 at 10:52 pm
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