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CFP committee making adjustments to selections: Greater weight/less penalty vs quality opp

Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:34 pm
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102327 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:34 pm



Bad news for Curt Cignetti and Indiana.
Posted by oliveandblue
Member since Nov 2014
1761 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:41 pm to
This is also telling "top" G5 programs like Memphis/BSU/Tulane/Army/UNLV/Navy to go ahead and schedule multiple ranked P5 teams each year as they will NOT be penalized for a "decent loss" in September come CFP selection time.
Posted by RebelTheBear
Saban's spare bedroom
Member since Aug 2016
6031 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

This is also telling "top" G5 programs like Memphis/BSU/Tulane/Army/UNLV/Navy to go ahead and schedule multiple ranked P5 teams each year as they will NOT be penalized for a "decent loss" in September come CFP selection time.

I think it's more so telling all programs that they won't be considered if they don't have any quality wins and that no team, G5 or not, can skate by on an easy schedule and be considered for the playoff. AKA, Indiana can't have its best win be against a 7-5 Michigan team and be considered for a spot.

9-3 Ole Miss would have beaten 11-1 Indiana last year. Not saying that we would have also gone 11-1 against their schedule, but in a neutral field matchup, Ole Miss would have won and likely won comfortably. We also would have beaten teams like SMU and Boise State, but the automatic qualifiers took CFP spots away from the best teams and gave them to less deserving teams. Hence why the CFP is making such large sweeping changes to the model after just one year of it.
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
54446 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:54 pm to
A bit fricked up as the exact opposite precedent has already been set for multiple years.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28522 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 2:57 pm to
quote:


Bad news for Curt Cignetti and Indiana.


Indiana's 2024 football schedule:
August 31 - 31-7 win over 4-8 FIU
September 6 - 77-3 win over 4-8 Western Illinois (FCS)
September 14 - 42-13 win at 5-7 UCLA
September 21 - 52-14 win over 5-7 Charlotte (who fired their coach before the season ended)
September 28 - 42-28 win over 4-8 Maryland
October 5 - 41-24 win at 4-8 Northwestern (in a soccer stadium)
October 19 - 56-7 win over 7-6 Nebraska (with a true freshman QB)
October 26 - 31-17 win over 6-7 Washington (with a first-year head coach)
November 2 - 47-10 win at 5-7 Michigan State (with a first-year head coach)
November 9 - 20-15 win over 8-5 Michigan (with a first-year head coach)
November 23 - 38-15 LOSS at national champion Ohio State
November 30 - 66-0 win over 1-11 Purdue
December 20 - 27-17 loss at #2 Notre Dame

Indiana's best win was against an 8-5 Michigan team. That is clearly a quality win. Their next best win was against a 7-6 Nebraska team followed by a win over a 6-7 Washington team. All three of those games were at home.

They avoided Penn State, Oregon, Illinois, Iowa, and Minnesota in conference play and only played one B1G team with at least 8 wins.

It is absolutely outrageous they were in the playoff last season.
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
14119 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

CFP committee making adjustments

Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55986 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:04 pm to
Indiana better call Virginia back
Posted by Zap Rowsdower
MissLou, La
Member since Sep 2010
16208 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:10 pm to
Doesn’t matter. You can give a list of guidelines a mile long or just have three and a committee of human beings is still going to look at something however they want to see it and a find a way to individually justify their results. Just use a computer formula and roll with it.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
122859 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:27 pm to
They’re reading the room and realizing that the tv networks can’t afford to have 25% of the SEC and BIG 10 schedules be against G5 schools.
Posted by Whitey83
Member since Aug 2025
214 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:31 pm to
It means the Texas/Ohio State game really has no loser. It's like in basketball where you get rewarded for playing a tough schedule.

They have to give those games some weight or else we will all watch cupcake games for several weeks each year.
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
14055 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:43 pm to
This is great news. It should slow down some super-conference expansion talks, and helps keep some of these games between quality programs happening in the future.

Selfishly I hope it convinces USC to agree to continue playing Notre Dame every year. Some serious smoke Lincoln and the boys were scared to keep the oldest cross regional rivalry in the country alive.
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7160 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Indiana's 2024 football schedule:
August 31 - 31-7 win over 4-8 FIU
September 6 - 77-3 win over 4-8 Western Illinois (FCS)
September 14 - 42-13 win at 5-7 UCLA
September 21 - 52-14 win over 5-7 Charlotte (who fired their coach before the season ended)
September 28 - 42-28 win over 4-8 Maryland
October 5 - 41-24 win at 4-8 Northwestern (in a soccer stadium)
October 19 - 56-7 win over 7-6 Nebraska (with a true freshman QB)
October 26 - 31-17 win over 6-7 Washington (with a first-year head coach)
November 2 - 47-10 win at 5-7 Michigan State (with a first-year head coach)
November 9 - 20-15 win over 8-5 Michigan (with a first-year head coach)
November 23 - 38-15 LOSS at national champion Ohio State
November 30 - 66-0 win over 1-11 Purdue
December 20 - 27-17 loss at #2 Notre Dame


Thanks for this…I just recently forgave myself for betting on them against Notre Dame but the disgust is back.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
39090 posts
Posted on 8/20/25 at 3:58 pm to
What are the chances they actually develop a meaningful SOS metric without comical assumptions?

Posted by DByrd2
Fredericksburg, VA
Member since Jun 2008
10089 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 12:26 am to
This shite is already more convoluted than the BCS was. Just bring that back at this point.
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