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Started By
Message
CFB gambling week 1 1/2
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:19 pm
Have to like the +54 1/2 with Arky pine blufff,
it's supposed to be 93ish and humid as frick for the game start. aint no way they are trying to play in 2nd half, and i wouldnt doubt if they go with a rolling clock in 2nd half.
But Missouri - 1st half could be the other play. They score 38-42, and then, as Fonzi would say, "sit on it potzi" and they run the clock out in 2nd half to get off the field.
i did like memphis straight up, but went broke on tcu
it's supposed to be 93ish and humid as frick for the game start. aint no way they are trying to play in 2nd half, and i wouldnt doubt if they go with a rolling clock in 2nd half.
But Missouri - 1st half could be the other play. They score 38-42, and then, as Fonzi would say, "sit on it potzi" and they run the clock out in 2nd half to get off the field.
i did like memphis straight up, but went broke on tcu
19
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:22 pm to stlslick
FYI in 2025, Missouri beat Central Arkansas 61-6…. Who beat UAPB 41-17 the next week…
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:29 pm to JimTiger72
quote:
FYI in 2025, Missouri beat Central Arkansas 61-6…. Who beat UAPB 41-17 the next week…
drink will be getting his starters off the field in that heat before half, if he can.
zero reason to play 3 quarters of football vs apb, score 48 in first half, sit on ball and get off the field and go home.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:47 pm to stlslick
Colorado and GT under 50.5.
Fresno State and USC over 51.5
Fresno State and USC over 51.5
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:53 pm to stlslick
For all of you degenerates out there. Tony and Vito at the Gemini Lounge are now offering parlays ...AND weekly credit options.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:53 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
I have a 7 leg parlay that I made with a no sweat bet. I’m not posting that.
+1546 (50% DK boost)
UMASS/Rutgers U51.5
Toledo/Michigan St. U49.5
Liberty/James Madison U50.5
FIU/USF U52.5
+1546 (50% DK boost)
UMASS/Rutgers U51.5
Toledo/Michigan St. U49.5
Liberty/James Madison U50.5
FIU/USF U52.5
Posted on 9/2/26 at 7:20 pm to stlslick
I took Ball State +50.5, I have a feeling Ohio State will be looking ahead to Texas and pull starters early and call off the dogs by the 3rd quarter.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 7:52 pm to stlslick
All chalk
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:01 pm to HailToTheChiz
Aub -7.5
GT -6.5
ND -20.5
GT -6.5
ND -20.5
Posted on 9/2/26 at 10:34 pm to stlslick
Baylor +7.5
Tulane +7.5
Boise St +24.5
Georgia Tech -6.5
Tulane +7.5
Boise St +24.5
Georgia Tech -6.5
Posted on 9/2/26 at 10:47 pm to stlslick
Auburn -7.5
LSU -10
SMU -3
LSU -10
SMU -3
Posted on 9/2/26 at 10:51 pm to stlslick
I'll give you one: I think Wisconsin covers against ND.
Freeman's teams have started slow every single year he has been at the helm at ND. Then they turn it on by about week 3 or 4 and are playing genuinely elite football by the end of October. The one and only exception to that in his four years at ND, given the relative talent and staff at hand vis a vis the schedule, was the complete janky arse loss to a mediocre Clemson team in Death Valley in 2023.
I think ND is without a doubt one of the 3 or 4 best rosters in America, but there are a couple of question marks on offense at receiver and whether we can paper over a few nicks on the OL that won't become fully healed until late October. Carr is an awesome QB, but he needs weapons and protection.
I foresee an ugly first half and a final score along the lines of something like 27 - 7 or 27 - 10. Then ND is absolutely blitzing teams by mid-October, just like last year and the year before.
Freeman's teams have started slow every single year he has been at the helm at ND. Then they turn it on by about week 3 or 4 and are playing genuinely elite football by the end of October. The one and only exception to that in his four years at ND, given the relative talent and staff at hand vis a vis the schedule, was the complete janky arse loss to a mediocre Clemson team in Death Valley in 2023.
I think ND is without a doubt one of the 3 or 4 best rosters in America, but there are a couple of question marks on offense at receiver and whether we can paper over a few nicks on the OL that won't become fully healed until late October. Carr is an awesome QB, but he needs weapons and protection.
I foresee an ugly first half and a final score along the lines of something like 27 - 7 or 27 - 10. Then ND is absolutely blitzing teams by mid-October, just like last year and the year before.
Posted on 9/3/26 at 9:44 am to AbuTheMonkey
Liking GT to cover -6.5 on Colorado
Model has stayed consistent on this one since opening lines.
Also ran edges for all FBS-FBS unders in Week 1 - 58.62% win rate vs BE 52.38% on 21'-25' seasons.
Would link my work but got whacked last year.
Model has stayed consistent on this one since opening lines.
Also ran edges for all FBS-FBS unders in Week 1 - 58.62% win rate vs BE 52.38% on 21'-25' seasons.
Would link my work but got whacked last year.
Posted on 9/3/26 at 9:56 am to LSUTIGERS74
They may cover but I took GT ML & the under in a parlay
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:02 am to stlslick
I really like Bronco Mendenhall and Utah State -13.5 vs FCS Idaho St. QB is back and BM knows what he is doing.
Also knowing Phil Longo's offense from when he was at Ole Miss, I made a lot of money fading SHSU last year. Troy -16.5 is another one I have on my list.
Also UNLV didn't look great last week and Hawaii is usually much better at home than on the road. Hawaii +3 or ML seem like a good play.
Also knowing Phil Longo's offense from when he was at Ole Miss, I made a lot of money fading SHSU last year. Troy -16.5 is another one I have on my list.
Also UNLV didn't look great last week and Hawaii is usually much better at home than on the road. Hawaii +3 or ML seem like a good play.
This post was edited on 9/3/26 at 10:06 am
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:03 am to holdmuh keystonelite
quote:
Colorado and GT under 50.5.
I like the over. Go Go offense will score some points and GT's running game and Colorado's lack of defense will lead to this getting over IMO.
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:14 am to 03 West CoChamps
Agreed on the over here. I placed this one a few days ago when it was still 50.5. I am seeing it has moved to 51.5 this morning.
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:23 am to stlslick
LSU over 20.5
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:27 am to Rainier Fog
quote:
LSU over 20.5
That’s like -550 odds
Their o/u team total is 30.5
Clemson is o/u 20.5
Posted on 9/3/26 at 10:32 am to stlslick
LSU v. Clemson under 50.5
Ole Miss v. Louisville under 55.5
Stanford +24.5 v. Miami
Georgia Tech -6.5 v. Colorado (this line feels way to low and everyone is on it, so it's probably a vegas trap)
Ole Miss v. Louisville under 55.5
Stanford +24.5 v. Miami
Georgia Tech -6.5 v. Colorado (this line feels way to low and everyone is on it, so it's probably a vegas trap)
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