LSUTIGERS74

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ks_nola

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Great questions! Here's how our tier system works:
TIER CRITERIA
Tier A (71.6% win rate in 2025):
• Win Probability = 60%
• Edge = 25 percentage points
• Spread = 14 points
Example: Alabama -6.5 vs Oklahoma
• Probability: 60.0%
• Edge: 26.3pp (our model says 60%, market implies 33.8%)
• Spread: 6.5
• Result: Tier A
Tier Elite (74.7% historical win rate):
• Home picks only, =57% prob, =15pp edge, =10 spread
Tier C (61.8% win rate): Betting the fade here not the pick shown
• =50% probability, =25 spread, doesn't meet A/Elite standards
Tier D: Not recommended (shown for transparency only)

LINE SOURCE & DISCREPANCIES
We pull lines from CFBD API (Consensus or DraftKings) at opening (Tuesday) - they are supposed to update every morning and night but you found a bug and the new files didn't load the tables with new data (working on this fix now)
Why Alabama shows -6.5 on our site but -7.5 on FanDuel:
• Our line: -6.5 (opening line, Tuesday)
• FanDuel: -7.5 (current line, Saturday)
• Difference: Line moved 1 point due to betting action
This is normal! Lines move throughout the week. Always use your sportsbook's current line when placing bets.
Line movement doesn't invalidate the pick - our edge calculation is what matters. A Tier A pick with a 1-point line move is still a strong play.
Hope this helps! Let me know if you have other questions.

Well, that’s a good start to feedback, just checked it and still up on my end

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Betting every elite and tier A with 1 U

We shall see how this goes

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I play 2U on Tier A and 1U on Elite. Also win rate on Tier C if you take the fade (not the pick shown) is >60% (last week was roughly +83%, went 5-1)

Here is my Tier A for the 2025 season so far:
?? 2025 CFB TIER A RESULTS ??

?? Weeks 1-11 Performance (2-Unit Flat Betting):

? 58 Wins
? 23 Losses
?? 71.6% Win Rate

?? ACTUAL RETURNS:
+59.56 units profit
+36.8% ROI

That's 19.2% ABOVE break-even rate.

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TD promo code

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I applied a demo coupon on the backend since you already signed up, won't be charged.

Wasn't meant to be a spam, let me setup a trial login for TD that opens it up for the week so I can get true feedback. Will revert back here shortly with community login

Have this exact same issue with a cough and blurry/almost passing out. Been going on for a month and thought it was just cold, going to dr. this morning as it has gotten worse last few days. Non-smoker.

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Are you taking narrow strikes now?

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Yes, I am taking normally 5 wide in SPX and 10 wide on NDX (like NDX b/c premiums are a bit higher but have to deal with more intraday price movement).

Today is going to be one of those days were I take a small loss if SPX does come back down late day.

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How are you doing with 0 DTEs?

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They are definitely, as someone put it, like holding a hand grenade. Beginning December and 1st week in January got absolutely destroyed, once because I learned a valuable lesson that just accepting the loss of the spread is much better rather than rolling up to a larger spread which can get out of control. Especially when market goes on multi day run up. January hit was because I moved deltas up and market got out of std, dev. range. Lately playing around .16 deltas very late morning in NDX as credits are higher.

Luckily avoided, as well, as was out on west coast field visit and didn't have a chance to enter trades or else I would have definitely gotten caught in the mess.

Will check out the twitter feed for uvxy, thanks for rec. also have been thinking of taking some long calls out a few months as think VIX spike happens thru Jan.