LSUTIGERS74

There are games like this every year, especially ones with very heavy public betting tickets/money percentages, I try to stay away from those. To be honest if you play the market, it is very similar and always manipulation.

Liking GT to cover -6.5 on Colorado
Model has stayed consistent on this one since opening lines.
Also ran edges for all FBS-FBS unders in Week 1 - 58.62% win rate vs BE 52.38% on 21'-25' seasons.
Would link my work but got whacked last year.

In short don't bet unless you are prepared to lose the money! I have my own prediction algo's and I can tell you from over 35 different scenarios (all killed with random runs) looking for an edge, nothing beats the market consistently. I will have one season with a nice edge then backtest against 3-5 years of data and it has failed everytime. Some good articles out there about modeling.

One comment on day trading as a beginner with all the AI stuff out there now, it is extremely helpful in determining magnitude of a move, gamma regime, and risk management but so far I have found no indicators/data pulls that have backtested over at least 5 years that can show directional prediction. This is also considered the holy grail of financial markets to be able to front run a move before it happens.

On my own journey I have tested pretty much every major statistical catagory, research paper theory, or social media trader setup over the full databento historical CME and OPRA datasets to no avail (29 of 29 kills on backtested theories, in short market is priced extremely accurate).

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DownshiftAndFloorIt

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You are correct, I run a product development group for downhole oil and gas and in about 4 hours worth of time in the evening have built an engineering admin system that does all the 3D bill of materials and sends out for quotation to machine shops then analyzes the best options for time/cost, also built a full scale Field Ops AI Service Manual for our field operations that techs can look at to determine repairs or SOP's. It is moving very fast with multiple AI platforms now offering full agentic AI. I use Claude and Manus the most.

Next up is I am working on it to generate manufacturing CAD models with GDT from 3D models/assemblies, the process normally take 2-3 weeks for drafter to generate a full set of 50-75 drawings and think this can take about a day of run time to convert then will still need to be checked by final manager

I built a line prediction / sports analytics site last year to educate bettors on how to pick rather than using gut and intuition, I am using AI and custom algorithms to generate predictions. I would link it but I will get whacked again. I created a free TD username for the community.

Email me at scott@quaizimo.com

Bills back to -1, public betting has slight divergence on money for Bills currently, this will probably build to a larger divergence as game gets closer.

Depending on the update time it went 5-4 or 5-3 on Tier A, it threw out the San Jose State game at last minute on spread change (and they got smoked) I was 5-4 because I had already taken pick. Elite went 3-2 and tier c fades only 3-3

I don't disagree, the action plays are fun! If I was parlay today, I would take a top two probabiilty tier A for home team picks (highest historical win rate) and top one or two tier B picks (they are always home favorites as that is part of filter).

I don't do parlays on this system but would have done well last week starting 3-0 on Tier A. It isn't designed to take filter parlays but if you do, use home favorites only and Tier A games.