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re: CFB betting thread Week 9
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:57 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:57 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
quote:
So your model is “bet on sports”
My model is to stop/prevent people from doing exactly that tbh
Posted on 10/30/26 at 11:47 am to LSUAlum2001
Troy with the outright win! I wouldn’t have watched this game without the pick and it was one of the most entertaining games I’ve watched this season. Sunbelt Billy having trouble with Sunbelt teams that spent a fraction as much on their roster…and the lost at home for a nationally televised game.
Posted on 10/30/26 at 2:18 pm to HighProofWheated
ULM is one of the worst teams in FBS and they beat Troy last week 21-14. Sometimes it doesn't make any sense. 
Saturday Week 9
Navy +31
Syracuse +10.5
NC State -7
Iowa -2.5
Duke -6.5
Rutgers +15
South Alabama +6
Old Dominion +3.5
Georgia St -4
Air Force -1.5
Kansas St +2
Stanford +22
Florida +11.5
Minnesota +21
Arizona St +17
FIU +14.5
UTEP +24.5
San Jose St +14.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Nevada +22.5
Purdue +10.5
Iowa St +10
North Carolina +14.5
USC +7
Mississippi St +21
Pittsburgh -8
Arkansas +10.5
Nebraska -7
NIU +24.5
..and yes, if the line is sitting at, above or below a key line, I will buy the half point either way.
Still very dog heavy model like the previous two weeks which finished 22-12 ATS.
Thirty-three Week 9 plays with 26 of those underdogs.
Saturday Week 9
Navy +31
Syracuse +10.5
NC State -7
Iowa -2.5
Duke -6.5
Rutgers +15
South Alabama +6
Old Dominion +3.5
Georgia St -4
Air Force -1.5
Kansas St +2
Stanford +22
Florida +11.5
Minnesota +21
Arizona St +17
FIU +14.5
UTEP +24.5
San Jose St +14.5
Cincinnati +7.5
Nevada +22.5
Purdue +10.5
Iowa St +10
North Carolina +14.5
USC +7
Mississippi St +21
Pittsburgh -8
Arkansas +10.5
Nebraska -7
NIU +24.5
..and yes, if the line is sitting at, above or below a key line, I will buy the half point either way.
Still very dog heavy model like the previous two weeks which finished 22-12 ATS.
Thirty-three Week 9 plays with 26 of those underdogs.
This post was edited on 10/30/26 at 2:19 pm
Posted on 10/30/26 at 3:32 pm to LSUAlum2001
Early:
ND -30.5
TTU -3.5
Syracuse +10.5
Wisc/Iowa U 36.5
Michigan/Rutgers U 45.5
Ole Miss -12.5
Midday:
USAF -1.5
UGA -12.5
Minnesota +20.5
Cincy +7
UVA/Wake O 49.5
SCar/OU U 44.5
Night:
Ok St/Iowa State O 57.5
Miami/UNC U 52.5
USC +6.5
Miss. St/Texas U 50.5
Arkansas +10
Nebraska -7.5
Army +6
Boise -10.5
ND -30.5
TTU -3.5
Syracuse +10.5
Wisc/Iowa U 36.5
Michigan/Rutgers U 45.5
Ole Miss -12.5
Midday:
USAF -1.5
UGA -12.5
Minnesota +20.5
Cincy +7
UVA/Wake O 49.5
SCar/OU U 44.5
Night:
Ok St/Iowa State O 57.5
Miami/UNC U 52.5
USC +6.5
Miss. St/Texas U 50.5
Arkansas +10
Nebraska -7.5
Army +6
Boise -10.5
Posted on 10/31/26 at 5:40 am to LSUAlum2001
I didn’t have a line with NM State but Charlotte and Sacramento State covered too. Nice start to the week. 3 for 3
Posted on 10/31/26 at 6:02 am to HighProofWheated
New Mexico St didn’t score a point
Posted on 10/31/26 at 6:58 am to LSUAlum2001
La Tech should cover -6
Posted on 10/31/26 at 7:41 am to HighProofWheated
Yeah, New Mexico State lost 24-0, but two Thursday/Friday underdog plays won SU. Charlotte lost a 10 point lead late or it would have been all three winning.
3-1 start but a lot of plays going today.
3-1 start but a lot of plays going today.
This post was edited on 10/31/26 at 7:53 am
Posted on 10/31/26 at 8:09 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Still very dog heavy model like the previous two weeks which finished 22-12 ATS.
Thirty-three Week 9 plays with 26 of those underdogs.
Yeah with the transfer portal the talent gap is more compressed than ever before. Seems like those big lines, especially intra conference matchups, are being covered by the underdog more often.
Posted on 10/31/26 at 9:07 am to LSUAlum2001
The University of Southern California + 7 -120
Texas State + 11.5
Texas State + 11.5
Posted on 10/31/26 at 10:29 am to TeddyPadillac
quote:
quote:Sacramento State +10 I know you have a model and you want to follow it, but these guys are 1-7, with all losses by 11+, and the last 6 games they've lost by 17+, and their lone victory is against a shitty swac school.
Didn’t just cover, won by 21.
You’re welcome. I spoke this one into existence.
Posted on 10/31/26 at 1:12 pm to TeddyPadillac
quote:
Didn’t just cover, won by 21. You’re welcome. I spoke this one into existence.
While all that is true, Kent State is also a bad team and they traveled from Ohio to California for a Friday night game.
Posted on 10/31/26 at 2:43 pm to LSUAlum2001
A 6-0 start to the day and 9-1 so far this week.
Last 3 weeks so far: 31-13
I'm sure the serial downvoter will be along shortly.
Last 3 weeks so far: 31-13
I'm sure the serial downvoter will be along shortly.
This post was edited on 10/31/26 at 2:48 pm
Posted on 10/31/26 at 5:35 pm to 1609tiger
La Tech should cover -6
Who down voted this? LOL
Who down voted this? LOL
This post was edited on 10/31/26 at 5:40 pm
Posted on 10/31/26 at 5:44 pm to 1609tiger
The same guy that always down votes posts in these threads.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:41 am to Will Cover
quote:
The University of Southern California + 7 -120 Texas State + 11.5
Easy 2-0 if you don’t count being down 28-3 for Texas State.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:17 am to Will Cover
19-14 for the week. Still 58% but it could have been a great week after a 9-1 start.
L3 weeks: 41-26 61%
L3 weeks: 41-26 61%
This post was edited on 11/1/26 at 10:31 am
Posted on 11/1/26 at 10:23 am to LSUAlum2001
quote:
The same guy that always down votes posts in these threads.
There are a few posters who come into these threads and downvote every post because they look down their nose at people gambling on football.
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