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re: Boom's NFL Divisional Round Thread

Posted on 1/11/18 at 9:50 am to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40133 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 9:50 am to
quote:

only as a saint


Let's be real here. His career reignited in NOLA. Outside of the play that killed his arm, that Chargers team was LT's.
Posted by jdutto3
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2006
672 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:30 am to
What would the line be on Pit vs NE AFC Champ game? 7.5? 9.5?

Odds of NE to win AFC are -200 right now which is around a 6.5 line. Could be a way to steal some value...
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40133 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:34 am to
quote:

What would the line be on Pit vs NE AFC Champ game? 7.5? 9.5?


Call me crazy but I see it going no higher than 5.5 with that matchup.

I think NE is a touchdown better than Pitt at home personally.

Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
171037 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:36 am to
Falcons -3
Titans +13
Jags +7
Saints +5
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112350 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:40 am to
quote:

What would the line be on Pit vs NE AFC Champ game? 7.5? 9.5?


Highest I could see it opening is 7.5 with it quickly going to 6.5 or 7

Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28424 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:43 am to
quote:

castorinho

Can be a little special at times on here. He's not all there in the head so take it easy on him.
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59695 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:44 am to
Well they are about 90% to win this weekend. If they are -200 to win AFC that puts them at 73Ish % to beat Pitt next week. Which would be somewhere above a TD.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
49309 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:58 am to
Patriots vs Steelers Part I've lost count

Falcons vs Saints Part III: MSB implodes
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 10:58 am to
That’s still way too high
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112350 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 11:01 am to
It's a pretty standard line/logic for the lines

Pats were -2.5 at Pittsburgh earlier this year, home teams usually get 3 points automatically in the line, and the Pats are much healthier this game than they were last month

And this also assumes both teams win and play well this weekend
Posted by jdutto3
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2006
672 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 11:05 am to
Thanks for the feedback. If the Pats were -2.5 earlier this year at Pit I don't see how the game will go off less than a TD.

But as a previous post suggested -200 may be around 7-7.5 points. I had been thinking of how I got ATL at +200 last week. That line was 6.5 at the time. Damn vig.
This post was edited on 1/11/18 at 11:09 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82044 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Can be a little special at times on here. He's not all there in the head so take it easy on him
quote:

tzimme4
that's rich, coming from you.
Posted by WaltTeevens
Santa Barbara, CA
Member since Dec 2013
10970 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 11:16 am to
quote:

He's not all there in the head


quote:

tzimme4


Yeah, I guess it takes one to know one.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
203121 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 11:37 am to
You are so stupid.... and full of excuses....
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40133 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 12:09 pm to
Peej who you got this weekend? Or are you saving it for a thread?
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32021 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

What would the line be on Pit vs NE AFC Champ game? 7.5? 9.5?


Highest I could see it opening is 7.5 with it quickly going to 6.5 or 7


lol 3-3.5 at most
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112350 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 12:29 pm to
Why would the Pats get the same line they got against Pittsburgh at Pitt last month?
Posted by Girth Donor
Member since Apr 2011
3726 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 2:11 pm to
When is Chicken going to open the Boom Board?
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16882 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 2:35 pm to
I would think the line would be around 6.5 or 7. There’s 3 Point added to homefield so that’s a 6 Point swing from the line of the previous game, making the patriots -8.5. However, that game made the patriots look beatable as they need a ref bailout. So public perception is that Steelers got “cheated”. Also, Antonio Brown was hurt during that game so oddsmaker will take that into consideration.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112350 posts
Posted on 1/11/18 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Also, Antonio Brown was hurt during that game so oddsmaker will take that into consideration.


Hot take for you: Antonio Brown getting knocked out early for that game was the best thing for the Steelers. It made them run the offense through bell and control clock

With Brown Todd Haley would've blown some of those 3rd down conversions by getting greedy for the big play
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