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re: Will the markets be back in the green on Monday?

Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72922 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

somebody explain to me why community spread/outbreak on US soil wasn't something the market expected??

Scientists have been telling us for 14+ days that it will come here.

the frick is wrong.


Global supply chain disruptions as a result of CV paranoia. It has little to do with CV presence in the US.

Company XYZ earnings forecast was 100M this quarter, but now they can't fill their orders so they can't invoice so they revise forecast to 50m.

Then 1000 companies say the same thing.

Then market determines the new value of that company.

Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10655 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:38 pm to
Anddd were green. Futures down 800 now up about 100. Wow
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32677 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:39 pm to
Green lol. Good. I want to open green then tank
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:44 pm to
So more volatility tomorrow.
Posted by bod312
Member since Jul 2015
846 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 7:49 pm to
quote:

Company XYZ earnings forecast was 100M this quarter, but now they can't fill their orders so they can't invoice so they revise forecast to 50m. Then 1000 companies say the same thing. Then market determines the new value of that company.


This makes sense but how much should 1 less than stellar quarter really affect all of these companies? This question is especially true when it is a known short term abnormality (i.e. this isn't a precursor to the downfall of a company due to poor business model, management, etc.) Sure some of these companies may be 1 bad quarter away from serious trouble but the Apple's, Amazons, etc. 1 quarter really should not have a long term value impact.
Posted by TheWalrus
Land of the Hogs
Member since Dec 2012
46135 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:14 pm to
Futures be up, futures be down, futures go round and round
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
14622 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

Sure some of these companies may be 1 bad quarter away from serious trouble but the Apple's, Amazons, etc. 1 quarter really should not have a long term value impact.



Which is why many of us are excited to see so much red, as it presents a great buying opportunity for investors.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32677 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:21 pm to
How many companies can afford to take a huge loss on a quarter?
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9956 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

How many companies can afford to take a huge loss on a quarter?


Can you identify anyone in the DOW or S&P that would go under over this?
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10655 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:50 pm to
Futures ripping upwards now.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32677 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:51 pm to
I think we have a ways down to go still
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133501 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:51 pm to
DJ 30 futures are up 200 points. There’s hope!

ETA: Now up 270 points.
This post was edited on 3/1/20 at 9:00 pm
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72922 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

This makes sense but how much should 1 less than stellar quarter really affect all of these companies?


What if it is more than 1 less than stellar quarter? What if there was also a whole bunch of bullish exuberance in the market to begin with?

What if people like me and you have cash to invest, but we are pausing for a moment to see what happens... then the sellers don't have buyers, so the price plummets.




Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86308 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

but how much should 1 less than stellar quarter really affect all of these companies?
lol. You ever watch price movements after earnings? We have trillion dollar companies making double digit moves based on three months. It's wild
This post was edited on 3/1/20 at 9:11 pm
Posted by LSUSUPERSTAR
TX
Member since Jan 2005
16831 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:13 pm to
What website do you view the market futures?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
179187 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:16 pm to
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24993 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:36 pm to
The market over reacts to earnings reports and any negative news. Because if this overreaction, it drives some perverse decisions by management that manage to the quarter rather than what is best for the company in the long run.

Very few companies can control Wall St.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86308 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

The market over reacts to earnings reports and any negative news. Because if this overreaction, it drives some perverse decisions by management that manage to the quarter rather than what is best for the company in the long run.

Very few companies can control Wall St.
A shift to bi-annual reporting would certainly be interesting.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10655 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 9:54 pm to
I use the investing.com app - paid to remove ads a few years ago and its apparently a one time deal, which is great.

Investing.com
Posted by TigerinOkieHell
Oklahoma City
Member since Oct 2010
2872 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 10:16 pm to
Just another example of why you can’t time the market lol.
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