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What will the flood do to the housing market here?

Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:09 pm
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4704 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:09 pm
Do home values shoot up here?
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:12 pm to
Curious about this as well. I'm in the market for a new home and we were looking to make an offer in the next 30 days but now I'm concerned that home prices are going to rise with the amount of people needing places to live.
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4704 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:14 pm to
I'm in Geismar about a minute from Dutchtown High School. IMO homes values will skyrocket but I wanted other people's opinions on it. I'm high and dry as of now. I know people who flooded out will obviously wanna go to areas where the waters didn't come up. Coupled with supply and demand. I'm thinking I just gained like 10k+ in equity
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39596 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

Curious about this as well. I'm in the market for a new home and we were looking to make an offer in the next 30 days but now I'm concerned that home prices are going to rise with the amount of people needing places to live.


I doubt anybody will be able to turn around and buy a property in the next 30 days while wondering what is going to happen with their current one. So in the short term I think you'll be alright. Of course, some sellers may think they have a sellers market and may try to sell at a premium since theirs didn't flood.

Lots of ways to look at it. I imagine someone has direct experience from So. Car. and other recent floods.
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4704 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:18 pm to
I'm thinking maybe a few months from now when things calm down. If I can refinance and lose PMI I'm all about it. I'm not sure about selling after this catastrophe, but I'd love to gain equity in my home for when I sell in the future. Unfortunately it will have come at the expense of those who have suffered during this all.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75251 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:26 pm to
Are you off 74?
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4704 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 6:32 pm to
Yeah right next to Harvest
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
616 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 7:58 pm to
I would guess increase due to lower inventory. Areas that didn't flood will be priced at a higher premium than before.
Posted by BowDownToLSU
Livingston louisiana
Member since Feb 2010
19277 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:12 pm to
I'm high and dry in LP....$$$
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37140 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:27 pm to
The more immediate impact you will see is in rental housing - it's likely that vacant apartments and rental homes/doubles will get swallowed up in the next couple of days.

As far as housing values, it will be interesting to see. Will depend on those who wish to relocate / need to relocate vs available property. The numbers we are seeing are bad but nowhere near Katrina levels as far as number of people who will need to relocate.

Also, we have different appraisal rules now than we did in the post-Katrina boom. Yes, there was a quick jackup in prices after Katrina but they came down and a lot of people bought at the top of the market and are just now, 11 years later, no longer, sorry the word, underwater on their mortgages.

A price is a price, so selling homes may create some value, but will banks go for refinances using bubble valuations? I don't know.
Posted by hombreman9
USA
Member since Feb 2009
3781 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:35 pm to
Lending rules were a bit different after Katrina (pre 2007) as well. Banks were willing to lend on those jacked up prices. I suspect things will not be the same at this point and buyers will not be able to finance at excessively high prices as the appraisals will not come through.
Posted by seawolf06
NH
Member since Oct 2007
8159 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 9:51 pm to
If you are dry, your value increases significantly. If you got water, your value decreases likely. Not just because of the water, but because everyone now knows the safe places versus the potential hazards.
Posted by dualed
Member since Sep 2010
4704 posts
Posted on 8/14/16 at 11:38 pm to
I've taken pics of my home with time stamps just for future reference if anyone wants to see how the flood affected my home and the neighborhood itself. Thought it couldn't hurt
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
25389 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 12:01 am to
In areas hit by natural disaster.....the homes that were not impacted or not damaged see a temporary increase in value. Rents spike in the short term. 8-10 months later things return to normal. There will be a very robust home rennovation and repair business for the next year or so.


Edit: Also, vehicle sales will probably go up locally in the next month or so.
This post was edited on 8/15/16 at 10:31 pm
Posted by Kujo
225-911-5736
Member since Dec 2015
6015 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 12:08 am to
My house is supposed to close tomorrow, and with all the rain my house is perfectly fine.

The buyer had funding issues and we had to push the close back until Monday, but it was at my discretion.....should I back out? She already was offering me 6% over asking....but will my house be even more now?

2bd/1ba in Ascension(no flood zone)
Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
5997 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 2:16 am to
1 in the hand is worth more than 2 in the bush.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6145 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:51 am to
Inventory was already low so it has been a sellers market for the past few months. This is not a disaster as widespread as Katrina, not even close, so I don't think you will see the price gauging that went on in the aftermath. If anything, the prices will remain where they currently have been or slightly higher but last through the slower winter months where prices tend to drop.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16895 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:54 am to
quote:

should I back out?


Put yourself in her shoes, maybe you can find then answer.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10267 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 9:49 am to
quote:

My house is supposed to close tomorrow, and with all the rain my house is perfectly fine.

The buyer had funding issues and we had to push the close back until Monday, but it was at my discretion.....should I back out? She already was offering me 6% over asking....but will my house be even more now?

2bd/1ba in Ascension(no flood zone)


Some people...



Don't be a piece of shite.
Posted by iknowmorethanyou
Paydirt
Member since Jul 2007
6549 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 11:16 am to
I love the "no flood zone" shite. Zone X is a flood zone, dipshit. It's just the least likely, statistically speaking, to flood.
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