- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: There are some major issues lurking in the US financial markets
Posted on 4/29/19 at 10:08 pm to Doc Fenton
Posted on 4/29/19 at 10:08 pm to Doc Fenton
So serious question. Where’s your entry point for all this dry powder?
Realistically, yes we will have a recession at some point, but what we saw in ‘08 was a once in every 70 years type of correction. I seriously doubt we see that happening again anytime soon.
So, say in the next 2-3 years we see a 20-30% correction which is plausible, and could put us right back at 2017 levels.
Is this good enough for you to enter back in? Bc the waiting could never end in your situation..
Realistically, yes we will have a recession at some point, but what we saw in ‘08 was a once in every 70 years type of correction. I seriously doubt we see that happening again anytime soon.
So, say in the next 2-3 years we see a 20-30% correction which is plausible, and could put us right back at 2017 levels.
Is this good enough for you to enter back in? Bc the waiting could never end in your situation..
2
Posted on 4/29/19 at 10:23 pm to Shepherd88
quote:
Bc the waiting could never end
Eta: just realized I first uploaded that on Jan 25th 2017.
This post was edited on 4/29/19 at 10:29 pm
Posted on 4/30/19 at 9:46 am to Shepherd88
quote:
what we saw in ‘08 was a once in every 70 years type of correction
The tech bubble sure doesn't seem like 70 years ago, but if it was, then I need to find out where my social security checks have been going.
And I apologize for scrutinizing your post, but I'm not sure I'd compare the 85% decline of 1929-1932 to 2008's 57.7%. Sure, 2008 had the potential to be as bad, but luckily it wasn't. 2008 is closer to 1937-1938, 1973-1974, and the tech bubble, in my opinion.
Posted on 5/1/19 at 9:07 am to Omada
The 85% decline was in 3 years
The 60% decline was in 6 months
People jumping off a buildings and shite
The 60% decline was in 6 months
People jumping off a buildings and shite
Posted on 5/1/19 at 7:47 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
The 60% decline was in 6 months
No, it occurred over a year and a half. SPX topped October 11, 2007 at 1,576.09 and started dropping that very day. It bottomed on March 6, 2009 at 666.79.
Posted on 5/2/19 at 10:45 am to Omada
Look at when the major drop happened, not the peak of the market
We were in the 1400’s at points of May 2008, so stretch my 6 months to 10, the point is the same. Crashes way harder in 08/09 than 29/32
We were in the 1400’s at points of May 2008, so stretch my 6 months to 10, the point is the same. Crashes way harder in 08/09 than 29/32
This post was edited on 5/2/19 at 10:49 am
Posted on 5/2/19 at 12:13 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Crashes way harder in 08/09 than 29/32
A valid point in a way, but it doesn't make my point invalid, either.
October 2007 SPX top to bottom: 57.7% decline over 18 months.
May 2008 SPX top to bottom: 53.7% over a 10 month period.
August 2008 top to bottom: 49.2% over a 7 month period.
September 16, 1929 SPX top close (31.86) to July 8, 1932 bottom close (4.41): 86.16% decline over a 34 month period.
April 1930 top close (25.92) to July 1932 bottom close (4.41): 83% over a 27 month period.
September 16, 1929 top close (31.86) to November 13, 1929 bottom close (17.66): 44.6% decline over a 2 month period.
The Great Depression had a smaller major drop, but it also occurred over a 2 month period instead of 7 or 10 months. On the other hand, the Great Depression had a larger % decline overall but took place over a significantly longer time period. So instead, I consider the Great Recession to be more in line with 1937-1938 and 1973-1974.
March 1937 SPX top close (18.67) to end of March 1938 SPX bottom close (8.5): 54.47% over a 12.5 month period
August 1937 top close (17.27) to March 1938 bottom close: 52% decline over a 7 month period.
January 1973 top (121.74) to October 1974 bottom (60.96): 49.9% decline over 21 months.
October 1973 top (112.82) to October 1974 bottom: 46% decline over 12 months.
Do you see what I mean?
Posted on 5/2/19 at 8:49 pm to Doc Fenton
To your credit Doc, you’ve at least stayed in the thread and posted when things didn’t go your way. This whale of a market rally has some steam behind it, it’s going to be a challenge if you want to use your powder to short it.
Posted on 5/2/19 at 10:00 pm to CajunTiger92
Not like Hussss. He’s running out of time. We only need the worst collapse in history to hit his numbers by the end of spring
Posted on 6/12/19 at 6:53 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Bump
Posted on 6/12/19 at 7:26 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Can we get Huss back? He’s like the mt version of boom from the msb.
Posted on 6/12/19 at 7:33 am to TigerinOkieHell
IIRC 6/20 is the end of spring. Husss still has time for a 1500 point drop on the s&p
Posted on 6/12/19 at 11:54 pm to TigerinOkieHell
Who was that guy pumping that pharma play? He was the worst.
Posted on 6/14/19 at 1:51 am to wutangfinancial
You’re going to have to be more specific
Posted on 6/18/19 at 9:48 am to leoj
Not looking good for ole Husss
Posted on 6/19/19 at 1:32 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Huss:
Posted on 6/21/19 at 8:16 am to LSUcam7
Spring has come and gone and I hope Husss didn’t jump off a bridge
Posted on 7/3/19 at 12:20 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Bump
Posted on 7/3/19 at 12:39 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Been following looks like a record close!! Maybe this is the peak and I’ll get out before it goes to shite!!
Just kidding figured I would bump your bump
Just kidding figured I would bump your bump
Posted on 7/3/19 at 12:59 pm to Ol boy
quote:How many times in life do we say that, and then get fricked in the arse because we don't act on our instinct?
Maybe this is the peak and I’ll get out before it goes to shite!!
Page 43 of 45
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News