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re: There are some major issues lurking in the US financial markets

Posted on 11/11/21 at 5:13 pm to
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39555 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

Bump

ETA:
69% return (ex dividends) on the SPX since the original post. I’ve waited for this moment.




Funny the post before you was right before COVID tanked the market.

OP from 2018 should have swooped in with a "Told you the fundamentals couldn't survive a pandemic" right then for a brief victory
This post was edited on 11/11/21 at 5:14 pm
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
7902 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Funny the post before you was right before COVID tanked the market.


I think I posted two trading days before the pre-COVID peak.

Little did we know that the market would collapse from an artificially created “recession.” Even less did we know that the cash machine would be pumping $13T or into the economy to avoid a true recession.

Wild times but goes to show you… all of these problems still can be argued yet you’ve missed some massive returns if you listened to them in 2018.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 8:24 pm to
I do feel like chickens are coming home to roost in the next year sometime with the Fed having to raise interest rates to combat raging inflation. Era of easy money might finally be coming to an end. Doubling my usual cash allocation in my portfolio to stay nimble and take advantage of another stock market crash if one should present itself.
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22365 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

So should I move my whole 401k to cash right now to ride out the impending doom?


Absofrickinglutely… the question is why haven’t you done it already?
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
7902 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 8:31 pm to
The sentiment definitely feels a bit complacent.

But I love the quote from a pro I follow:

“These market trends can last far longer than anyone expects.”
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 8:32 pm to
Whatever happened to Doc Fenton?
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
7902 posts
Posted on 11/11/21 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

I'm expecting something in the range of 1,000 to 1,500 for the S&P 500 as a bottom over the next bear market cycle.


Doc Fenton.. IIRC you’re an intelligent guy on here. But I’m not sure what the heck you were baking in.
Posted by Niner
Member since Apr 2019
2026 posts
Posted on 11/12/21 at 9:07 am to
quote:

But I love the quote from a pro I follow:

“These market trends can last far longer than anyone expects.”
John Maynard Keynes famously said, “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
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