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Registered on:9/2/2016
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I don’t put too much weight into targets. They aren’t predictions as much as they are reactions.
Goldman raises 12mo target to $234 (from $205)
quote:

dividend stock what do you expect


An income taxed 4% annualized return for 40 years is gross.

You would have been 2x better off buying a new issue 30YR treasury. WHR and some other old economy stocks have just been disasters.

re: Is this the next dotcom bubble?

Posted by LSUcam7 on 5/14/26 at 6:17 pm to
A drawdown / sell off doesn’t mean bubble.

A recession doesn’t mean bubble. I don’t think we see one of those in the near term either.

The problem with the term is there’s no clear definition. I define bubble as an unreasonable, irrational move in prices beyond what can be justified. For now, we’ve got record corporate earnings while margins are expanding.

re: Is this the next dotcom bubble?

Posted by LSUcam7 on 5/14/26 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Cisco hit $82 on March 1st 2000


So wild.

Thread hijack.. but check out Whirlpool since its inception back in the mid 80s. 12% or so all time price return.

re: Is this the next dotcom bubble?

Posted by LSUcam7 on 5/14/26 at 5:49 pm to
For 99.9% of us it’ll never be the train that we see coming that hits us.

Too much awareness of tech bubble talk for this to get out of hand, IMO.

99’ had hundreds of companies with $0 revenue going 10x in a month. There are some overvalued stories now, but not rampant bullshite like the late 90’s. At least yet.

re: So what are we buying next week?

Posted by LSUcam7 on 5/14/26 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

GEMI


Post marked a local bottom

$4.11 (3/27) to $6.15 (AH price).. up about 50%

Winklevoss twins just pumped in $100mm investment marked at $14/sh. Not the best company, to say it lightly. But negativity was maxed out.
I wrote some far OTM calls for June

If it gets to $300 in the next 30 days then so fricking be it :lol:
I’ve been pricing far OMT calls for 30 minutes.

I’d buy puts but the premiums are just nuts. I’d rather be a premium seller.

I just don’t want these called away.
Exited March with $1.92bn ARR. Dec ‘25 ARR was $1.25bn.

Targeted to have >4GW of contracted power by the end of this year. Previous guide was >3GW.

Execution.
I think market related more than anything. Indices weak after the inflation prints.
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If I had to make a decision between my NBIS shares and first born son the decision would be harder than it should.
quote:

Today, CRWV market cap is only 35% higher.


Today, CRWV market cap is only 13% higher.
Nebius hasn’t tapped the ATM new equity yet
Clipped $214

Arkady seems chipper today.
We’ve made a huge move since the start of April. Essentially doubled the market cap from $21B to now $44B.

I’m not shocked at all if we settle down and sell off a bit. Valuation still matters.
Stocks like AMZN, MSFT, AAPL.. the top 50 S&P companies had plenty of drawdowns over time. But had you had one of these names in reasonable size, you set your retirement up in a single name.

Wayyyy too early to call but could Arkady & team set Nebius up to be the premier technology enabler in non-US markets as AI industry matures and Nebius expands?

This management executes like the ‘96 Bulls.
It’s such a great story.
I wouldn’t be shocked if he is pay a marketing / consultant firm to help maintain his social media troll presence.