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Started By
Message
Re: Inflation report; help me understand market reaction.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 9:56 am
Posted on 5/11/22 at 9:56 am
So reports beforehand was this report would show inflation had peaked and started to pull back… ie. good news
It didn’t and remains 40yr high, which means fed will have to increase rates same or even faster. .75 prob on table.
So why is market up 300pts?
It didn’t and remains 40yr high, which means fed will have to increase rates same or even faster. .75 prob on table.
So why is market up 300pts?
8
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:04 am to Lsut81
The market is volatile right now. You will see big ups and downs.
Short term plays are a huge factor in the market when it comes to short term pricing.
Short term plays are a huge factor in the market when it comes to short term pricing.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:04 am to Lsut81
Nothing makes any sense anymore.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:07 am to Lsut81
I think it’s because of the slowdown in the pace of increase in inflation.
Inflation is increasing but at a slower rate
This indicates that the fed tightening is working
Inflation is increasing but at a slower rate
This indicates that the fed tightening is working
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:08 am to Lsut81
Look at treasuries. The market pretty much is a tail that is wagged by 10yr. It's not as forward looking as you'd like to hope. I feel like algo's just key off the 10yr. You would have to assume 10yr is going up long term, so here's your chance to outperform the algo's who dont believe it until they see it. 10yr will probably be up by end of the day and I'd wager the market will be red when we see it.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:14 am to Lsut81
It was an interesting reaction. The knee-jerk was the expected selloff but the strength since then is unexpected.
Generally that would be a bullish sign. Considering closing my shorts. I will wait to see how far this current pullback goes and then decide. Will stay short minded for the foreseeable future, but I’m just a trader with a very short time horizon
Generally that would be a bullish sign. Considering closing my shorts. I will wait to see how far this current pullback goes and then decide. Will stay short minded for the foreseeable future, but I’m just a trader with a very short time horizon
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:14 am to Lsut81
Watch the S&P, not the Dow for starters. It's a short covering rally and dealers covering their options positions - usually on the 50's. Down 100, up 100. Been doing this for weeks. Average range has been like 87 since January.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:14 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
think it’s because of the slowdown in the pace of increase in inflation.
I mean you can only clip away at a rate so long… but this doesn’t change any of the other issues out there. Everything still fricking sucks with indications only getting worse
I mean gas hit a new high yesterday.
Just don’t understand the market, not like I ever did though
Posted on 5/11/22 at 10:38 am to holdem Tiger
Yep. Risk is to the upside today. I flipped.
Probably overheated sentiment and options effects as mentioned above
Probably overheated sentiment and options effects as mentioned above
Posted on 5/11/22 at 11:09 am to UpstairsComputer
Funny enough, it's probably the same situation with rates
Posted on 5/11/22 at 11:46 am to Lsut81
And like that, we are negative across the board…
Posted on 5/11/22 at 11:50 am to Lsut81
quote:
negative across the board
Dow is still green
Value up .50-.75%
Dividend stocks up 0.75-1.00%
Posted on 5/11/22 at 11:51 am to LSUcam7
quote:
Dow is still green
It just bounced, was -20 when I posted that.
Posted on 5/11/22 at 11:57 am to Lsut81
quote:
It just bounced
It just dropped
Posted on 5/11/22 at 12:08 pm to Lsut81
quote:
So why is market up 300pts?
Posted on 5/11/22 at 12:10 pm to LSU82BILL
Now we’re gaining steam down. Daq down 2.5% and dow down 130pts
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