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Started By
Message
Q2 GDP number is out: 3%
Posted on 7/30/25 at 7:39 am
Posted on 7/30/25 at 7:39 am
8
Posted on 7/30/25 at 7:41 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:No reason for the Fed to cut interest rates.
Q2 GDP number is out: 3%
Posted on 7/30/25 at 8:14 am to LSURussian
quote:
No reason for the Fed to cut interest rates.
A certain poster is not going to be happy about this. LOL
Posted on 7/30/25 at 8:45 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:estimate was 2.4%?
Slightly beats estimates
Looks like it beat the estimate by 25%? Just slightly.
Posted on 7/30/25 at 9:11 am to LSURussian
Cut the rates so this economy can go to the moon
Posted on 7/30/25 at 9:13 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Reasons there will be no cut:
—GDP blew past forecasts
—Employment is strong
—MoM inflation is up
—Talk of tariff rebates (upward pressure on inflation)
Hang in there SDVTiger. Don’t work yourself into a frenzy.
—GDP blew past forecasts
—Employment is strong
—MoM inflation is up
—Talk of tariff rebates (upward pressure on inflation)
Hang in there SDVTiger. Don’t work yourself into a frenzy.
Posted on 7/30/25 at 9:42 am to notiger1997
quote:
A certain poster is not going to be happy about this. LOL
Bro cries about this literally everyday lmao
Posted on 7/30/25 at 10:09 am to Draco Malfoy
quote:
Cut the rates so this economy can go to the moon
You misspelled inflation.
Posted on 7/30/25 at 10:14 am to Longhorn Actual
quote:
—Talk of tariff rebates (upward pressure on inflation)
this talk needs to die......just another "stimulus" payment that helped cause inflation originally.....
don't spend it and borrow less than expected this year.....
Posted on 7/30/25 at 10:18 am to LSURussian
There's a scenario where it would be better to raise rates
Posted on 7/30/25 at 11:00 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Awesome. Once we get the cuts in Sept we will be taking off to mars
Chamat right again
Chamat right again
Posted on 7/30/25 at 11:03 am to TigerMan327
.6% is massive in the world of gdp metrics. Especially for a country running 7%+ of gdp defecits.
Nothing to sneeze at.
Nothing to sneeze at.
Posted on 7/30/25 at 3:16 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Front running inventory due to tarriff policy is my initial guess
Posted on 7/30/25 at 10:11 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
But but but I thought Trump was running the US in the ground. Demitards where is you be? 
Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:14 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
A September cut just got further away...
PCE continues to rise
Jobless numbers for last week rose slightly, but were a bit below estimates
We now may be looking at October or December as the more likely time we see a cut.
PCE continues to rise
quote:
Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
Change From Month One Year Ago
June 2025 +2.6%
May 2025 +2.4%
April 2025 +2.2%
March 2025 +2.3%
Jobless numbers for last week rose slightly, but were a bit below estimates
We now may be looking at October or December as the more likely time we see a cut.
Posted on 7/31/25 at 9:58 am to speedybaw
quote:Please link to one post on this board which said "Trump was running the US in (sic) the ground." Thanks.
But but but I thought Trump was running the US in the ground. Demitards where is you be?
Posted on 7/31/25 at 11:03 am to LSURussian
quote:
Please link to one post on this board which said "Trump was running the US in (sic) the ground." Thanks.
The constant strawmanning is tiresome. At times, people project "if Trump follows through on what he's saying (e.g. the "big board" tariffs), it will have XYZ negative effect." When Trump doesn't follow through on what he said, his sycophants gloat that XYZ didn't happen, lulz TDS. But it ultimately comes down to Schrödinger's Trump: Trump simultaneously means and doesn't mean everything he says, depending on whichever outcome is preferable in hindsight.
Posted on 7/31/25 at 11:04 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Q2 GDP number is out: 3%
It's a weird GDP report, so I wouldn't put a ton of stock in it. This 3% growth is basically buoyed by the following:
Govt spending up 0.8 p over Q1
Personal consumption up 0.9pp over Q1
net exports up 6.3 pp over Q1
All good news until:
gross private investment is down 1.5pp over Q1
Posted on 7/31/25 at 11:36 am to Joshjrn
quote:I've never heard that quote but it's very applicable.
But it ultimately comes down to Schrödinger's Trump: Trump simultaneously means and doesn't mean everything he says, depending on whichever outcome is preferable in hindsight.
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