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Powell hints/suggest there will be no more rate cuts this year
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:57 pm
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:57 pm
Breaking via zerohedge
Lovely
Lovely
This post was edited on 5/7/25 at 8:08 pm
13
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:02 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
They're really going to wait until something completely breaks I guess
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:06 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Good, people became used to non-existent rates since 2009. Get people off the teet and suck it up. I like the hysa rates.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:15 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Yet he cut by half a point in the lead up to the election. Hmmm.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:23 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
We just had a solid jobs report and inflation continues to cool. Why cut rates?
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:25 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
We just had a solid jobs report and inflation continues to cool. Why cut rates?
People are addicted to cheap debt.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:36 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
We just had a solid jobs report and inflation continues to cool. Why cut rates?
Amen
It’s amazing to read on a certain other board how many people know nothing about this and are absolutely convinced that Powell is not cutting just to try and hurt Trump.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 2:43 pm to notiger1997
quote:
It’s amazing to read on a certain other board how many people know nothing about this and are absolutely convinced that Powell is not cutting just to try and hurt Trump.
Some dumbass just claimed over there that powell cut in December 24 after trump was elected to help out Kamala and Biden's q4 numbers...
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:23 pm to The Boat
quote:
People are addicted to cheap debt.
Exactly - we are at pretty historically normal rates right now.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:39 pm to Triple Bogey
quote:Considering they're >100BPS above neutral and continuing with QT, it appears the Fed is not passively waiting, but rather more active as to intent.
They're really going to wait until something completely breaks I guess
This post was edited on 5/7/25 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:41 pm to fallguy_1978
quote:Historically "normal" FOMC rates are 200BPS > inflation?
historically normal rates
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:09 pm to notiger1997
quote:
It’s amazing to read on a certain other board how many people know nothing about this and are absolutely convinced that Powell is not cutting just to try and hurt Trump.
Only low iq idiots or low iq real estate agents think this.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:18 pm to ronricks
Somebody explain why mortgage rates have gone up the last few months but my high yield savings rate has gone down?
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:19 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:
Historically "normal" FOMC rates are 200BPS > inflation?
, yes. Post 1980s inflation the federal funds effective rate ran 400-500bps over CPI for a decade. Post early 90s recession they ran 300-400bps over CPI until the dot com bubble burst.
The majority of the 70s they were 200-300bps over CPI.
I can’t believe otherwise intelligent people seriously think there is some political motivation behind any of this.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:22 pm to GeauxTigers123
quote:
Somebody explain why mortgage rates have gone up the last few months but my high yield savings rate has gone down?
Because they’re not really related.
High yield savings are typically based on 90d treasuries, which are very sensitive to the Fed’s actions. Mortgages are based on 10y treasuries, which are not very correlated with the Fed’s overnight rate decisions.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:34 pm to NC_Tigah
quote:Pretty close to that, yes.
Historically "normal" FOMC rates are 200BPS > inflation?
The difference is we're not accustomed to experiencing 2.6%-2.7% inflation.
When inflation is 1.5%, then a 3.5% FF rate is called for.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 4:44 pm to GeauxTigers123
Discover just bumped their one year CD offer to me to 4.25%.
Saw the one year was 4%, went to close out a maturing CD, and they offered a "special" .25% if I renewed today.
Saw the one year was 4%, went to close out a maturing CD, and they offered a "special" .25% if I renewed today.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:13 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Powell has to go. He's a fricken traitor.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:32 pm to SloaneRanger
quote:
Yet he cut by half a point in the lead up to the election. Hmmm.
3 rate cuts
1% cut overall.
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