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re: Possibility that Fed announce NO interest rate hikes- UPDATE
Posted on 5/31/22 at 7:20 am to wutangfinancial
Posted on 5/31/22 at 7:20 am to wutangfinancial
U.S. equity market(s).
Posted on 5/31/22 at 8:47 am to Jag_Warrior
You think equity investors care about IOER? 
Posted on 5/31/22 at 9:53 am to wutangfinancial
From my time trading and investing, I believe that the equity markets react to happenings that are within and outside expectations. The level of interest rate hikes being one of those happenings.
So tell me, how do you see it?
So tell me, how do you see it?
Posted on 5/31/22 at 10:29 am to Jag_Warrior
There’s virtually no relationship between the two
Posted on 5/31/22 at 1:38 pm to wutangfinancial
Ah, I see.
Posted on 5/31/22 at 2:32 pm to Jag_Warrior
You wouldn’t be able to proof out the flows but keep pretending your fantasies are real
Posted on 5/31/22 at 6:02 pm to wutangfinancial
Cool. You da man. 
Posted on 5/31/22 at 10:04 pm to davidsheroes
100 basis points incoming…
Posted on 6/1/22 at 8:33 am to TDFreak
How many new rigs will 100 bps bring online versus 50?
Posted on 6/1/22 at 9:05 am to wutangfinancial
Still won't help the refining capacity which is where the bottleneck is.
Posted on 6/7/22 at 7:21 am to davidsheroes
On CNBC, one prognosticator says that the Fed May change policy on Fed rates- maybe only 2 hikes. He also stated that the market can take of itself - don’t need fed hikes………
Posted on 6/11/22 at 12:06 pm to davidsheroes
Posted on 6/11/22 at 12:35 pm to TigerintheNO
I’m predicting a .75 increase for June and July. Then a .50 in September.
Posted on 6/12/22 at 6:35 am to ronricks
What is the trade if we think these rate hikes are happening? Or is everything already priced in?
Posted on 6/12/22 at 7:11 am to ronricks
quote:
I’m predicting a .75 increase for June and July. Then a .50 in September.
Should be 1% and 1%. Might as well ripoff the bandaid.
Posted on 6/12/22 at 5:44 pm to I Love Bama
quote:
What is the trade if we think these rate hikes are happening? Or is everything already priced in?
I’m in SARK (short Kathy Woods ARK fund) and RWM (short Russell2000). Started positions in both in mid April. Both are looking nice, but I think have more room to move upwards.
Posted on 6/13/22 at 11:09 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:Thats what I said. One 100 bp hike will show the Fed is serious. That alone will have a protracted ripple effect. The first one will have the most effect. The subsequent can be 75 or 50 bp.
Should be 1% and 1%. Might as well ripoff the bandaid.
Moreover it’s (100 bp) gotta be done now so the stock market has some time to recover before the November midterms. By September, when the Fed either skips a rate hike or goes low (25 bp), the markets will soar and Democrats will have some cover.
Posted on 6/14/22 at 4:38 am to davidsheroes
The fed will hike 50/75bips… I think they do .5 and then signal a possible .75 next and there after.
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