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re: OUST - Ouster LiDAR for Physical AI

Posted on 9/1/26 at 1:11 pm to
Posted by NotStupid
Member since Jul 2026
183 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

Why are you creating this false narrative that closing options positions due to poor market timing is equivalent to me losing conviction in the company?


Hypothetically,

If a person on June 9, 2026 buys Feb 2027 calls in OUST, but then by mid or late August exits that position, I would say they lost conviction in what they initially believed when buying on June 9. I mean there’s still 5.5 months to expiration.

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

If a person on June 9, 2026 buys Feb 2027 calls in OUST, but then by mid or late August exits that position, I would say they lost conviction in what they initially believed when buying on June 9. I mean there’s still 5.5 months to expiration.

Well you are certainly entitled to think that way, but it doesn't mean much.

Very few high beta smid caps have been able to put up a fight against the macro environment recently. My "belief" in addition to the success of the company was that QQQ had regained its momentum, but the breakout attempt failed on the back of higher and higher 10 and 30yr treasuries, on and off again war and gas prices, and a FED chairman who provides no clarity into anything.

It's got very little to do with how many Rev8 sensors Ouster is deploying, which is why I never should have bought them in the first place. But unfortunately, I had no crystal ball. Damn.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
11557 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

It's got very little to do with how many Rev8 sensors Ouster is deploying, which is why I never should have bought them in the first place. But unfortunately, I had no crystal ball. Damn.

Are they not performing, or are you just saying you based your purchases on other data points?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Are they not performing, or are you just saying you based your purchases on other data points?

They are performing exceptionally well, and are on the verge of scaling like never before with the new BHE deal.

I was confident that this mattered. That's where I messed up
I mean, we were at $52 again before things went south, and again, nothing specific to OUST.

These are the P/L for commonly cited robotics picks and shovels stocks for the last month:
VPG -34%
OUST -21%
AEVA -20%
SYM - 17%
even an industrial giant like ROK is down 13%
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
13193 posts
Posted on 9/1/26 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

which is why I never should have bought them in the first place.
So your completely out on OUST?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 7:52 am to
No, I’m still in LEAPS
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
13193 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 8:19 am to
Okay.

I wanted to double check. I’m at an average cost of $34 right now and feel pretty comfortable there
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12506 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 10:52 am to
Well this board has taken a turn over the last few days.

Always welcome bear thesis' and try to provide my fair share, but the tone and approach of this little stretch is disappointing.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20826 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 11:19 am to
I think there’s a general undercurrent of fear due to the ongoing conflict, treasury yields and skepticism of profitability of some of these speculative names.

“First, don’t lose money” applies here.

That said, I’m holding OUST and NBIS as I still believe in the long term thesis and am terrible at calling the bottom.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
28368 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 11:24 am to
quote:

I still believe in the long term thesis and am terrible at calling the bottom.


Me, too. I tend to break even at best when trying to predict short term prices. I prefer growth stocks I can hang onto for the long term.
Posted by Ham And Glass
Member since Nov 2016
1750 posts
Posted on 9/2/26 at 11:32 am to
I simply have a really hard time selling. I treat some of these soulless companies like family heirlooms sometimes and can't part with them. It's terrible.

Taking early profits on Goldman Sachs and ASML made me like this.
This post was edited on 9/2/26 at 11:34 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 7:49 am to
Excellent visibility with a nice layup question at the end!

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Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32508 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 7:53 am to
Great interview. Let’s hope it reverses the recent downward trend.
Posted by StonewallJack
Member since Apr 2008
1151 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 8:56 am to
I will never sell!! Diamond hands to the coffin!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/4/26 at 9:47 am to
This is really well said, and the reason I’m here. Find me a larger TAM, with sub 1% market penetration, and a moat this solid. It won’t be easy.

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Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/4/26 at 6:19 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/6/26 at 10:38 am to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/15/26 at 10:07 am to
I bought 150 shares today.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
28368 posts
Posted on 9/15/26 at 10:25 am to
quote:

I bought 150 shares today.


Wait! You got your conviction back?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
26206 posts
Posted on 9/15/26 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Wait! You got your conviction back?

I know you're messing with me, but for everyone else, I never sold out of my LEAPS. I've only quitely added as of late...
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