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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:39 pm to
Posted by sonoma8
Member since Oct 2006
8150 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:39 pm to
Explain this to me. Are they saying that people are loading up expecting it to drop to $80 and $50 a share?
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45893 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:42 pm to
no, they are spending a gigantic amount of money on ITM high delta calls because they know NBIS is going up soon
Posted by SpeedyNacho
Member since May 2014
2578 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:45 pm to
Earnings are a wildcard. The more reasons for rockets, the more worry imo. I’ll be just as happy to be wrong, but thats my ma k
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45893 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:48 pm to
keep in mind though the person(s) on the other end selling these calls thinks its going down further though,

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:53 pm to
Nothing normal about this…
This is manufactured.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Explain this to me. Are they saying that people are loading up expecting it to drop to $80 and $50 a share?
institutional call loading. It’s bullish. He it explains it well:
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Posted by JetsetNuggs
Member since Jun 2014
15485 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 3:38 pm to
Glad I bought another 10 to get up to 700
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20032 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 4:04 pm to
Be nice if they at least announced an officials earnings date. Be funny if it’s 11/03 and all these people piling into 10/31.

This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 4:12 pm
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26693 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Be nice if they at least announced an officials earnings date.


If they don't announce the date (an October one) tomorrow, it will most likely be 11/6 which was my original guess back in August when I started accumulating 11/21 options
This post was edited on 10/21/25 at 4:23 pm
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20032 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 4:47 pm to
My 11/26 140c looked pretty good when they dropped to 130. Now they could go up 20% and I don’t think I’d recover.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27807 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 4:56 pm to
Oracle's earnings report is on the 31st. MSFT, GOOGL, and META earnings are on the 29th. There could be a bump from those, as well.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Now they could go up 20% and I don’t think I’d recover.
Could easily be up 30% on any given day.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32160 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Could easily be up 30% on any given day.



Lord hear our prayer.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24578 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 6:09 pm to
quote:

Could easily be up 30% on any given day.
And I was referring to your calls. A big pop in the morning could get you up 30%
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45893 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 6:36 pm to
I like this Yiannis fellow. Our insights are aligned
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8934 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:09 pm to
BB.. related to the MSFT deal:

Have you come across any reputable takes on how to value it in today’s dollars? Assuming some multiple of a discounted $17.4B value?

Also.. everything I read stated the contract is all but guaranteed, as long as NBIS is able to deliver the capacity on time. I’m sure there are some more extreme instances but that’s the main real risk to the revenue. Is that how you understand the MSFT contract?
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45893 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:28 pm to
I’m not BB but I can contribute.

Microsoft is in the business of buying up legitimate companies and competitors

I’m no longer bullish on PATH because I think Msft will outpace their offering in 2026.

Microsoft is king in this realm. Msft bought NBIs. Do the math
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45893 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:31 pm to
This is the easiest retail win a lot of us will have and some of yall will still fumble it.
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4031 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

Msft bought NBIs.


Can you clarify?
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