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re: End of July Key Data Dates

Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:10 am to
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16056 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:10 am to
quote:

While everyone may know what the Q2 gdp says there are a whole lot of talking heads loud and loud ones that seem to be trying to scare us into a worse recession.



Indeed

The Fox News is all over recession talk. Any they’re probably right but people should keep this all in perspective.
Nothing is ever as bad or as good as the mainstream media (incl fox) wants you to believe
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
83737 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:14 am to
More data out this morning, this time on mortgage apps

quote:

Mortgage demand edged lower for the fourth straight week, according to data released Wednesday, even though interest rates have fallen from their recent highs.

Total volume was down 1.8% last week from the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

Applications for a loan to purchase a home fell 1% for the week but were 18% lower than the same week one year ago. More supply is coming onto the housing market, as competition cools among buyers. But prices and rates are still high, and inflation is weakening consumer confidence.
Posted by JimMorrison
The Peninsula
Member since May 2012
20747 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:20 am to
quote:

earning and guidance for Apple, Microsoft, and Google are bigger deal to,?


MSFT and GOOGL did their part.

10 yr treasury yield trending downward and showing a 2022 peak. Commodities and oil firmly down from highs. Volatility decreasing and VIX on the way to hit lows on the year.

2022 bottom is in (I called the levels and was within a couple %). I've been long on tech/growth here.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
34878 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:07 am to
quote:

But prices and rates are still high, and inflation is weakening consumer confidence.


Weird statement. Rates are still high?
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26437 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Thursday - Q2 GDP and Personal Consumption Inflation



Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11869 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:37 am to
quote:

Volatility decreasing and VIX on the way to hit lows on the year.


You're arguing spot vol is decreasing, only. All that means is people are hedging equities with front month options less.
This post was edited on 7/27/22 at 9:38 am
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20582 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 10:14 am to
I have no faith in anything related to government or economics in the country. I could easily see economic data being changed to keep the administration in a good light.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
83737 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 1:05 pm to
As expected, .75 increase
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15852 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

MSFT and GOOGL did their part.

10 yr treasury yield trending downward and showing a 2022 peak. Commodities and oil firmly down from highs. Volatility decreasing and VIX on the way to hit lows on the year.

2022 bottom is in (I called the levels and was within a couple %). I've been long on tech/growth here.


You hush your mouth i've been told by the stock gurus on this board to hold nothing but cash for the last 6 months. The great reset is next week, then the next week, then the next , next ,etc.....

I joke but do see next month and Sept as down months for the markets due to the history there but not the doom and gloom as predicted by many. If fuel prices start skyrocketing even higher than could be trouble. Was hoping for it to continue lower.
This post was edited on 7/27/22 at 1:34 pm
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
11083 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 1:50 pm to
.
This post was edited on 7/27/22 at 1:52 pm
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4314 posts
Posted on 7/27/22 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

2022 bottom is in


I hope you're right, i'll miss out on tech and still be happy.
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