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re: Do you consider Social Security benefits in your retirement calculus?

Posted on 3/10/25 at 10:20 am to
Posted by trader_tiger83
Member since Dec 2012
1416 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 10:20 am to
I’m in my early 40s and just assume it will cover my property taxes (primary residence and vehicles). House will be paid off and investments in the market with well capitalized pension assets (at least now) will provide cash flow.
Posted by Billy Blanks
Member since Dec 2021
4961 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Explain this 12.4% you mention.


I'm self employed.

If you're W2- your employer pays 6.2 and you pay 6.2

There's another 2.9% for Medicare/caid
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38191 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 3:33 pm to
quote:



Now I'm on SS and it's lagniappe.
This. SS is just a rounding error.
Posted by MoClassy
Member since Jul 2021
45 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 10:18 am to
In 1978 my senior year at LSU I was required to do public speech. My speech class topic was on SS and probability of being there when I retired. Never thought it would be there when I got to retirement age. It is still here.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 11:30 am to
Yeah, I'm 3 1/2 years from FRA. I expect it to be there. I think what isn't considered by many is the political shitstorm it would raise if it somehow does go away and the additional strain monetarily it would create. It's an unmitigated disaster if that happens and I for one, would be supremely pissed after having paid into it for 40 plus years.
This post was edited on 3/14/25 at 11:30 am
Posted by Roscoe14
Member since Jul 2021
345 posts
Posted on 3/14/25 at 5:38 pm to
Social Security is the third rail of American politics. Right or wrong, the politician who lets it die on his watch will never get elected to anything ever again. And they all know this.

So I think it is a pretty safe bet.
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
21740 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 3:53 am to
quote:

I’m 56.




I retired at 56 I will start at 62 with SS in jun, All Extra will just put it in savings.
This post was edited on 3/17/25 at 4:22 am
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
6103 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 6:14 am to
quote:

No. I'm at least 25 years out. It won't be there.


If the federal government is solvent social security will be paid as legislated. Since it's such a hot issue, the legislation will not meaningfully change. At absolute worst it might get delayed by 2-3 years for current workers.

The mistake people make is believing that the social security "fund" directly tied to the social security taxes that piled up and are now rapidly depleting has anything to do with social secuity being paid. It's simply an accounting measure and something for the media to fearmonger with. It's all money coming from the fedearl government by way of taxpayers. If that "fund" hits zero that doesn't mean social security runs out. The government just continues paying it.

To answer the original question, I think about it as a nice bonus but don't factor it in to my planning.
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
5025 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 6:48 am to
I never did. I retired early at 57 but finally applied for SS last year when I turned 64. I was getting almost $3k/mo but had a great year in the stock market in 2023 so they cut it to $1700. They did the same to my wife. I had a better year in 2024 so I'll get cut again. This is supposed to be my money. But, SS is just wealth redistribution. We might as well live in China as far as SS goes.
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
25677 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 8:59 am to
quote:

I never did. I retired early at 57 but finally applied for SS last year when I turned 64. I was getting almost $3k/mo but had a great year in the stock market in 2023 so they cut it to $1700. They did the same to my wife. I had a better year in 2024 so I'll get cut again. This is supposed to be my money. But, SS is just wealth redistribution. We might as well live in China as far as SS goes.


How did your cap gains in market impact your SS amount? Do you just mean the taxes?
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
5025 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

How did your cap gains in market impact your SS amount? Do you just mean the taxes?


No, they simply recalculated my SS based on total income. I didn't have any earnings last year. I live off my investments. I did have a great investing year in 2023 so I guess my capital gains hit some threshold.
This post was edited on 3/15/25 at 3:42 pm
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 12:32 pm to
He's under FRA so he is income limited for SS. For every $2 he goes over the max ($22320) his SS distributions are reduced by $1 for the year. Federal taxes only. State is dependent on which state you live in.

For instance. In Georgia, SS income is not taxed on the state level and you can have up to $65000 in investement income at 65 and older with no state taxation. When he reaches FRA his SS will not longer be reduced regardless of income.

But, the feds will still tax his SS income if he goes over certain threshholds.
Posted by uptowntiger84
uptown
Member since Jul 2011
4955 posts
Posted on 3/15/25 at 10:05 pm to
I didnt. I don't want to fall short in retirement thinking SS will be there. If it is then it's extra money to have in your budget. If not you can still rwtire comfortably.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15713 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 10:14 am to
quote:

To answer the original question, I think about it as a nice bonus but don't factor it in to my planning.


Just not sure how it is fair that government workers/railroad pensions etc.. get money taken out of their check and they can count on that money come retirement but others in usually private side get money taken but we are maybe given 50% of that back when we retire in the next 10 to 20 years.

This post was edited on 3/16/25 at 10:29 am
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
52854 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 3:53 pm to
I'm 47. I expect to get something, but I won't be surprised if it's a reduced amount.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
18548 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

I'm 47. I expect to get something, but I won't be surprised if it's a reduced amount.


I hope it’s there but not planning on taking it until 67 which is 24 years away. Should be over 8k for the wife and I according to my financial advisor if I wait until 67 vs 62.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30873 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 5:34 pm to
I do now that Trump and Elon are doing work. I never did before.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
52854 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

I hope it’s there but not planning on taking it until 67 which is 24 years away. Should be over 8k for the wife and I according to my financial advisor if I wait until 67 vs 62.

Our situation is slightly unusual. My wife is 4 years and some change older than me and we had kids pretty young. I'll probably go talk to some specialist when the time comes. We can live on my income alone with no kids on the payroll so she'll hang it up before I do.
This post was edited on 3/16/25 at 5:43 pm
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24968 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 5:46 pm to
I think my modeling has me receiving like $2K/month and my wife getting $1K/month. It won’t change any of our planning for practical purposes.

I’ll run scenario assuming $0 as well. Not running any with more than the listed amounts.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
18548 posts
Posted on 3/16/25 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Our situation is slightly unusual. My wife is 4 years and some change older than me and we had kids pretty young. I'll probably go talk to some specialist when the time comes. We can live on my income alone with no kids on the payroll so she'll hang it up before I do.


My wife is almost 4 years older than I am. She says I’ve got to work 4 years longer than her so she can have some peace and quiet
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