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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 7/11/25 at 10:16 am to
Posted by ThermoDynamicTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1449 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 10:16 am to
My current strategy is to unload everything in chunks if we go above $5 in anticipation of a crash back down to the $2-3 dollar range when common sense prevails. We are still a ways off from production here. The risk in this strategy is that there will inevitably be a huge buyout when I sell all my shares.
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7910 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 10:22 am to
quote:

That tells me all I need to know. Lol

Looking back, I should’ve been maxing out my HSA rather than playing around with the market.

I was looking for some big wins. I did ok for a while in blue chips but what’s the point? I have to pay capital gains AND income tax on that. Whereas I’ll only pay income tax on my 401k.

The biggest gap for retirement for me now is paying health insurance until Medicare kicks in. So if I’d been maxing out my HSA and investing that in S&P index, I’d be able to retire sooner. I’ll be ok but I wish I’d thought about this 10 years ago
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19471 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 10:39 am to
Posted by Pierre
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2005
5420 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 11:52 am to
“Hoping for a pullback so I scoop up some more shares”. Stdlf shareholders circa March 2021.

Run baby run!!
This post was edited on 7/11/25 at 11:57 am
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

My current strategy is to unload everything in chunks if we go above $5 in anticipation of a crash back down to the $2-3 dollar range when common sense prevails. We are still a ways off from production here. The risk in this strategy is that there will inevitably be a huge buyout when I sell all my shares.

Probably not a bad strategy. I have 33,800 shares on the canadian exhange I'd like to sell and hopefully DCA down and consolidate them in my Schwab account. Is it still a wash sale if you sell on a different exchange and buy back before 30 days on another?
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Stupid question, but what is a realistic price target for this year? And then, once production begins?

What is the schedule for production again?


Without any news of mergers/acquisitions or licensing agreements, I'm thinking $3.50-$5 top. But I just that out of my arse. If we get some local FOMO again it could shoot higher, but I'd expect a fall back. But I learned last time that trying to play that game could get your arse burned with this stock. We get lower rates and Trump gets market rolling, we could see money pour back into small caps that have been largely undervalued. We were two years away from production in 2021 when we hit $12.90. It's way more derisked and real than it was then and we're at $2.80. Top end is possibly lower with Equinor take off, but I don't think $35-50/share is an unreal valuation based on east Texas potential and if we were to get soaring lithium demand and prices.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19471 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

but I don't think $35-50/share is an unreal valuation based on east Texas potential and if we were to get soaring lithium demand and prices.

You SHUT YOUR WHORE MOUTH.
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
479 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 1:22 pm to
Long-term SP estimates will be less silly once the SWA DFS drops (any day now) and we learn specifics about East Texas.

We need to see the average lithium carbonate sales price they use for the SWA DFS to get an updated expectation. Small changes to sales price drastically affect the bottom line, and the last estimate is 2 years old and for a totally different product (lithium hydroxide).

It's nice to have a management team that can be trusted now though. And a partnership with a company who has a track record of production. And to almost be back to cost basis ??
This post was edited on 7/11/25 at 1:38 pm
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3702 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 3:12 pm to
4% up on above average volume is a pretty nice day when ya look at the rest of the sector.

Albemarle down 4%, Piedmont down 4%, microvast down 7%, LAC was down big til a late buy brought it even.

I’ll take it.
This post was edited on 7/11/25 at 3:15 pm
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

You SHUT YOUR WHORE MOUTH.

That's pie in the sky levels without up to date info. I'm hoping mid to high twenties is realistic once we learn more.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6548 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

I have 33,800 shares on the canadian exhange I'd like to sell and hopefully DCA down and consolidate them in my Schwab account.


Can you transfer them from one brokerage to another without selling a share? I've never tried but am reading that it's possible. It just depends on the 2 trading houses involved and the position being transferred, apparently.
This post was edited on 7/11/25 at 4:54 pm
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

I've never tried but am reading that it's possible. It just depends on the 2 trading houses involved and the position being transferred, apparently.

I would think so, but I'm going to have to call and talk to them. They're in my account but I can trade them.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
3511 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 5:14 pm to
When you’ve got them on the phone, ask them why my shares haven’t lent out.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20591 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 5:30 pm to
Get out of here with that shite. Do you not remember what we are invested? We've easily got multiple more rounds of tip tickling finishing with a kick in the balls until we get out of here.

$35-50 a share, get out of here.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

We've easily got multiple more rounds of tip tickling finishing with a kick in the balls until we get out of here.

Oh, no doubt. I'm saying if all goes as planned, lithium demand and prices do what they expect and east Texas is really as big as it implies PLUS an irrational market like we had in 2020-21. I think half of that is more realistic assuming all goes well 3-4 years down the line, which I have been waiting for for 5 years now.
Posted by CarbonAce
Member since Apr 2021
326 posts
Posted on 7/11/25 at 8:36 pm to
Anyone have any experience with a SEPP!
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30971 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 6:24 am to
Up $.30 pre-market, now about $.23 up.
Posted by Shamoan
Member since Feb 2019
13265 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 7:42 am to
If we can find a floor at $3, it’s going to be a good day
Posted by FMtTXtiger
Member since Oct 2018
5004 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:06 am to
think it goes to 3.20
Posted by ThermoDynamicTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1449 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 8:13 am to
This post was edited on 7/14/25 at 8:14 am
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