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re: AUPH - Aurinia Pharmaceuticals [CEO FIRED!]

Posted on 11/2/21 at 3:07 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 3:07 pm to
I won’t be sleeping tonight based on revenue numbers alone.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7959 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

I won’t be sleeping tonight based on revenue numbers alone.


Is there some concern about a miss? I thought it was pretty widely accepted that they would have pretty good numbers
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Is there some concern about a miss?
When the entirety of your financial future hangs on the ability of the company to sell a drug, yes!
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7959 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

When the entirety of your financial future hangs on the ability of the company to sell a drug, yes!


i thought they had script numbers from somewhere that looked like they were ahead of schedule

I guess it wouldn't be surprising to see them hit a roadblock with the stupid Delta variant re-lockdown
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

i thought they had script numbers from somewhere that looked like they were ahead of schedule
Yes, the ramp looks greats according to the Bloomberg terminal, but that doesn’t allay all my fears!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 5:05 pm to
However, management seems very confident.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
40237 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 6:23 pm to
Relax BB. You know as well as i the better the results the better the purchasing opportunity on the dip
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
47645 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Is there some concern about a miss? I

He’s got more riding on this than the rest of us.

He’s all in so going to be nervous about anything
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
14128 posts
Posted on 11/2/21 at 9:28 pm to
Good luck baws, cheering for you all, especially bayoubengals88.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 5:23 am to
quote:

GeneralLee

Thanks bro. These were not the quarterly results I was looking for...

Revenue of 14.7m is exactly in line with forecasted.

Get the company sold.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7959 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 5:24 am to
Yeah this thing about to get hammered.. especially when Peter says No Comment or worse to buyout rumors
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 5:26 am to
quote:

Yeah this thing about to get hammered.. especially when Peter says No Comment or worse to buyout rumors

It was fun while it lasted. Now we'll be praying to sell for 5.5 billion.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7959 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 5:34 am to
Why change the ER time for this?
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4013 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 5:52 am to
Well surely this wasnt a surprise to potential suitors.
Posted by MSTiger33
Member since Oct 2007
21652 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 6:25 am to
Not sure. I am buying some more if this drops significantly.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24534 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 6:33 am to
All in all, this wasn't that bad.
Reading the highlights there is a lot of good.

But ya know what? The only reason those highlights would matter is if we GIA, which we definitely should not.

We did what we needed to do. Met expectations. Now sell the damn thing!
Posted by Aug1
Member since Nov 2013
79 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 6:50 am to
IMO earnings matter very little. This is a BO candidate all the way and it’s no secret. The numbers will never be stellar GIA but big pharma knows the quality of the drug/value proposition and what they can do with it. Having said that, BO EOY 48+
This post was edited on 11/3/21 at 6:51 am
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37504 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 7:30 am to
If they really have 412 patient start forms in the third quarter and are really converting over 60% of those into prescriptions that's actually very good progress for a small GIA company.

In the big picture there doesn't have to be a rapid BO. This is a company with steadily improving value. And a company that just became the only medical option for the lupus nephritis (over the last couple weeks).
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7959 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 7:33 am to
I think the rush is whether they can get to profitability before running out of cash

in somewhat related news, BCRX also getting pummeled after ER... Oversold?
This post was edited on 11/3/21 at 7:37 am
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37504 posts
Posted on 11/3/21 at 7:40 am to
They have a lot of cash. Their margins on sales are outstanding. They have already shown enough growth in prescriptions for that to be a non issue IMO.

I think people are just impatient because we live in an age of impatient investors.
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