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re: 401k vs Roth 401k

Posted on 12/15/25 at 11:26 am to
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
21391 posts
Posted on 12/15/25 at 11:26 am to
What is your "marginal" tax rate right now? What do you think your "effective" tax rate will be in retirement?

For me, I'd be paying 24% on all my Roth contributions (age 45) vs effective of 8.7% in retirement. I like traditional in my situation since I can withdraw from my 401k at age 55.
Posted by saderade
America's City
Member since Jul 2005
26260 posts
Posted on 12/15/25 at 12:22 pm to
Real estate investments are a lot of work and have additional stress and risk that traditional financial retirement funds don’t have.
Money is autodrafted into my 401(k) each month with a company match. If there’s a downturn in the stock market, I still own the same number of funds as long as I don’t panic and sell. There is no work involved here.

On the other hand with real estate, I have to deal with tenants, insurance issues, scummy contractors or sub contractors etc. It’s just not worth it imo.
Posted by Bob Sacamano 89
Member since Apr 2023
180 posts
Posted on 12/15/25 at 12:59 pm to
I get the thought of this. Some people at work chose this option.
However my argument is I know many people who pull 3-4K per month once retired. Which if everything is paid for, is plenty. Especially if you’re getting social security as well.
That would be substantially lower tax bracket most likely for many.
Not to mention Trump just made ss not taxable did he not?
To me I rather not pay taxes now. Interested to hear your side.
Posted by BigDaddy6612
Member since Nov 2021
153 posts
Posted on 12/15/25 at 1:02 pm to
Hire a property management company and you don’t have to deal with anything and most importantly your time is not wasted.
Posted by FieldEngineer
Member since Jan 2015
2593 posts
Posted on 12/15/25 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Not to mention Trump just made ss not taxable did he not?


I could be wrong, but I don't think this is accurate.

From Grok:

quote:

The "One Big Beautiful Bill" (signed July 2025) introduced a temporary additional $6,000 deduction for taxpayers age 65+ (2025–2028 tax years). This reduces taxable income, effectively eliminating federal tax on SS benefits for many seniors (estimates range from 88% per White House analysis to fewer per independent experts, as it doesn't directly exempt benefits). However, it does not change the underlying taxation rules—benefits remain potentially taxable up to 85%, and the deduction is temporary with phase-outs for higher incomes.No law has made SS benefits fully tax-free or fully taxable (100%).
This post was edited on 12/15/25 at 2:33 pm
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
21391 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:00 am to
as a tangent, several states have made SS income not taxable over the last year. Some people might get confused by that.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
72897 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:44 am to
quote:

8% is a big difference.
It’s a month per year.

(Agreeing with you)

Conceptually, it would be a safe bet that the future tax rates will be higher than they are at present so I’d suggest taking advantage of the Roth.

^Not legal/tax advice, your scenario may differ. Consult a professional for advice.
Posted by FieldEngineer
Member since Jan 2015
2593 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

effective of 8.7% in retirement


How are you calculating this?

We're the same age and in the same tax bracket, but I'm struggling with roth vs traditional. I have a substantial amount in traditional now, so I was leaning toward switching to Roth for next year.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3176 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Typically Roth is last thing you want to tap. Best left to grow tax free. Plus, better to draw down traditional first before SS stacked on top and taxed and before higher taxable income triggers IRMAA. May be a case for Roth first for ACA subsidies and zero LTCG rate etc but often not the optimal solution. As others have said having some of both gives you options to optimize tax strategies later but may not be worth paying high rate now.


Good advice.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3176 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:27 am to
You are receiving down votes because you seem to treat funding 401/Roth as unimportant. I agree with you that real estate can be lucrative.

Real estate is not for everyone. It also varies greatly by area. I have tried it in 3 different areas of Louisiana and Arkansas. The profits varied greatly in those areas. Costs were similar but sell prices vary based on the growth rate of each community. Real estate in a growth area is a great way to make money. It appears your experience is in rentals. Don't know if you have tried it, but new construction is a great way to invest in real estate.

I encourage anyone in the OPs financial situation to consider real estate, but it is not the slam dunk that one could infer from your comments.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
21391 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

How are you calculating this?


I'm married filing jointly. I plan to withdraw retirement funds at a marginal rate of no higher than 12%:
- Top 12% income = $96,950
- Add standard deduction of ~$32k
- Total income of ~$129k/yr (more than enough for us to live well)

With an income of $129k/yr that comes out to the following income taxes:
- 10% taxes of $23,850 = $2,385
- 12% taxes of $96,950 - $23,850 = $8,772

That is a total tax payment of $11,157 on $129k of income and results in 8.65% effective tax rate.

Obviously things will not be static but I feel confident that there will always be a 10% & 12% marginal tax rate and that their income levels will increase over time.

EDIT: i also put money in Roths in my younger years so I have some diversity if I need it but if I can make it to 55, I really didn't need it.
This post was edited on 12/16/25 at 10:43 am
Posted by FieldEngineer
Member since Jan 2015
2593 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:08 am to
quote:

Total income of ~$129k/yr (more than enough for us to live well)


Got it. I can't imagine living on that amount in 20+ years.

Are you accounting for SSI and RMDs? I'd be concerned about the RMDs forcing you to withdraw more money than you actually need, driving up your tax liability.
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
21391 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Got it. I can't imagine living on that amount in 20+ years.

Are you accounting for SSI and RMDs? I'd be concerned about the RMDs forcing you to withdraw more money than you actually need, driving up your tax liability.


Well those income levels move up every year, too. The biggest mistake many folks make these days is not understanding how much living expenses decrease as you age. Life is pretty cheap with no mortgage and no kids and you aren't healthy enough to travel.

As for RMDs, no I am not concerned. Those dont kick in until 72y/o. I'll be pulling out nothing but traditional accounts from 55 until I decide to start SS. That time will also include converting some traditional to Roth
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2920 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:48 am to
RMDs dont start until 75 (earlier for those born before 1960).
Brackets are likely to increase w/ inflation. (especially lowest brackets) Even today you'd have to exceed $394k plus deductions (married joint) before next dollar is taxed at 32%. So, even if in 32% bracket, effective tax rate of withdrawals would likely be much lower.

With RMDs delayed until 75, that gives early and even regular retirees a lengthy window for Roth conversions if desired.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26432 posts
Posted on 12/17/25 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Especially because as you get older, your income is likely to rise to the point where you'll be ineligible to contribute to a Roth anyway.


Employer sponsored Roth 401k doesn't have the same income limits though as a Roth IRA, right?

At least that's what my understanding is. We have the Roth 401k option starting in 2026 and I intend to take advantage.
This post was edited on 12/17/25 at 12:59 pm
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26432 posts
Posted on 12/17/25 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Hire a property management company and you don’t have to deal with anything and most importantly your time is not wasted.



This is what we do and it's awesome. I can even recommend a couple of property managers in the Baton Rouge area.

The asterisk on some of the other posters comments is that it is never as simple as "invest in real estate". It needs to meet your specific goals, and I'd argue that a person in their 30s or 40s needs to consider growth markets still over a pure income play. I've turned down a couple of damn good deals because they didn't meet my specific goals or because the risk of that specific property was high or the inputs that reflected my expectations of growth for a specific property threw off the IRR formula.

That said - real estate is a very good option, but it takes some homework and you have to find the right people and the right individual property. It's still a lot of legwork unless you have someone that lives and breathes real estate in your close circle.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
18730 posts
Posted on 12/17/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

This is what we do and it's awesome. I can even recommend a couple of property managers in the Baton Rouge area. The asterisk on some of the other posters comments is that it is never as simple as "invest in real estate". It needs to meet your specific goals, and I'd argue that a person in their 30s or 40s needs to consider growth markets still over a pure income play. I've turned down a couple of damn good deals because they didn't meet my specific goals or because the risk of that specific property was high or the inputs that reflected my expectations of growth for a specific property threw off the IRR formula. That said - real estate is a very good option, but it takes some homework and you have to find the right people and the right individual property. It's still a lot of legwork unless you have someone that lives and breathes real estate in your close circle.


I have no desire to get into real estate. I’ve got squirrels living in my eves and waiting on a guy to come over now to take care of it.

I wouldn’t mind buying some more land to mess around with and maybe sell eventually but right now no real estate. That may change in the future if I can pay cash for a couple places and need to diversify.
Posted by FieldEngineer
Member since Jan 2015
2593 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 8:26 am to
I have a very healthy amount in traditional, so I decided that I’m going 100% Roth for at least a few years. I like the idea of having a pool of tax free money in retirement, even if it costs a little bit more overall. I could use it for large expenses, especially unexpected large expenses, and not worry about the tax implications.

I also think it’s likely that I will carry a mortgage and continue working in “retirement”, so my income might be higher than normal.
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