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re: You got the #1 pick in draft who you drafting now

Posted on 5/24/23 at 7:55 pm to
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 7:55 pm to
Crews scores runs so Crews
Posted by HillabeeBaw
Hillabee Reservoir
Member since May 2023
1483 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 8:02 pm to
Hard to choose between Crews and freshman Ike Irish from Auburn. I'd take Crews first and probably Irish 3rd or 4th. Skenes 2nd
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

A pitcher with a dominating fastball and command like Skenes has a much higher probability of being elite at the major league level than even the best college hitters


I’m sorry but this is simply not true. Perhaps you are confusing the qualities of elite pitchers that have made it, or the importance of those pitchers in the show but history shows pitchers taken high in the draft bust at far greater rate than elite college hitters.

Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
13396 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 8:11 pm to
Crews.

Plays every night and less risk.
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
37061 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

I think Crews slump shows why Skenes would be the better pick, Skenes had one normal outing I wouldn’t even call it bad all year
Crews "slump" won't matter for MLB decision making process. Honestly, I think both are deserving, but I think Crews is more likely for a myriad of reasons. 5 tool players with his pedigree and development aren't common.

Skenes is lights out though, with multiple pitches, control, etc. I could argue for each.
Posted by TexasTiger33
Member since Feb 2022
13364 posts
Posted on 5/24/23 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

Won’t happen but as a Rangers fan I would be ecstatic if one of them dropped to the #4 pick.


Yep. One can dream.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 5:39 am to
The answer is Crews. It’s harder to find a 5 tool player at a premium defensive position than a starting pitcher.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20379 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 6:09 am to
quote:

It’s harder to find a 5 tool player at a premium defensive position than a starting pitcher.
I'd take Skenes, just based on my limited past memories of teams.

Pitchers are plentiful, but aces aren't. And Skenes has a shot to be another Clemens.

You can't go wrong with either, but there are lots of athletic outfielders, and you have 9 spots to find a good bat.
Posted by bass
Member since Oct 2016
3858 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 6:14 am to
quote:

Nationals
DC3!
Posted by uptowntiger84
uptown
Member since Jul 2011
3895 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 6:19 am to
Everyday player trumps a pitcher. They are both special but I'm taking Crews.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 6:49 am to
quote:

Pitchers are plentiful, but aces aren't.


5 tool premium defensive position players are even more rare.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 7:05 am to
quote:

A pitcher with a dominating fastball and command like Skenes has a much higher probability of being elite at the major league level than even the best college hitters.


I don’t know the numbers on this but I have a hard time believing this is true. I feel like hitters in general have a higher probability of being elite just because of the injury risk. Much less someone that has done it at the highest level of college baseball for 3 years.
Posted by reauxl tigers
Tiger Woods Fan
Member since Aug 2014
7954 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 7:19 am to
You can never predict injuries, there are plenty of hitters who are just injury prone, and it doesn’t always happen until you’re IN the big leagues.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26759 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Simple. It depends on my current roster.


I don't follow MLB much, but I would be shocked if they draft based on current needs, due to the normal development time most draft picks require.

Unlike the NFL and NBA, where draft picks can contribute immediately, it's rare for an MLB draft pick to affect the current lineup.

I assume they draft the best player available mostly.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:15 am to
quote:

I don't follow MLB much, but I would be shocked if they draft based on current needs, due to the normal development time most draft picks require.


Usually this is true especially for high school guys. Bregman was drafted 2 overall as a shortstop when they had Correa at short. Most of the time they just take best available and then deal with the roster. Trading prospects is very prevalent as well so the key is just collecting assets.

This year is a little different as Crews and Skenes have a real chance of getting September call ups this season.
Posted by B00M
Member since Aug 2020
511 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:29 am to
Get the high leverage pitcher but thinking the premier field player can help win a game every day not ever 5 so Crews would go in my opinion.

To high of risk for injury with a pitcher.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
42557 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:32 am to
It would be tough to pass on Skenes
He could be in a bullpen for a contender by end of MLB season
Posted by QB
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2013
4214 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:33 am to
Skenes....guys like him don't come around often, and he is likely to never slump. I love Crews and he would be my 2nd pick, but this slump he has been in is disconcerting.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:36 am to
quote:

guys like him don't come around often, and he is likely to never slump


Pitchers go into slumps too. Not sure why people think they don’t.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278387 posts
Posted on 5/25/23 at 8:38 am to
quote:

pitchers taken high in the draft bust at far greater rate than elite college hitters.


High school pitchers tend to be more volatile.

shite, the top of mlb draft in general is volatile. I don’t think anyone is really immune to ‘busting’.

Look at some of these names perceived to be safe

Matt LaPorta
Gordon Beckham
Mike Zunino
Andrew Benitendi

Even Alex Bregman since his 19’ mvp run has been pretty mortal.

These are just last SECPOY and top 10 picks. Even coming in as the best player in the best league doesn’t guarantee you success.
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