re: why do I feel the Nov 9th outcome wont matter

If we do to them what Clemson did to them last year, then they ain’t getting in. Likewise, if we lie down and can’t score a point or can’t even cross midfield, we won’t be in.

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If we lose, we’re out.

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We won't though, and Bama will still be in.

WRONG! WRONG! WRONG! This is the problem w the LSU fan base EVERY year. Just beat everyone else on the schedule except 'Bama and we will make college playoffs. Problem w that thought process is 2 fold:
1. We don't think we can/will win
2. We don't win all the other games

I say we beat the Tide in their house then that settles that. NO more excuses or worries about making playoffs w/o beating everyone on the schedule. Geaux Tigers!

First off, LSU can absolutely get in the CFP with a close loss at Bama as long as we win out. Our fate is out of our hands at that point and we no longer control our own destiny, but it's a very real possibility.

LSU would get in over Oregon even if they win the Pac-12 IMO since 1.) LSU beat Auburn and Oregon did not 2.) the SEC is perceived to be a stronger conference than the Pac-12 (5 of the top 11 teams) 3.) LSU would have more quality wins and a tougher SOS

I also think LSU would get in over Oklahoma due to the quality of loss (losing a close one to Bama vs. Oklahoma getting blasted on the road at a mediocre Kansas State team...the final score wasn't indicative of how much the Sooners were dominated. Also, LSU would have a stronger SOS and more quality wins here too.

Now, if we lose 29-0 to Bama again all of the above points are nullified. Or if we lose to a Tua-less Bama, I think we're in trouble.

The only major wrinkle in this scenario would be if Bama lost to a one-loss UGA or Florida in the SEC Champ game, then we're probably toast.

In all honestly, Bama needs the win in two weeks more than us, because the only argument they'll have vs. Oregon/Utah or Oklahoma if they lose to LSU is the eye test and quality of loss. They don't have near the resume or SOS when compared to LSU vs. those teams.

The sad fact though is that there's a very good chance this game is a rematch in the first round of the CFP as a No. 1 vs. No. 4 matchup assuming Clemson and Ohio State win out.

Close competitive game, both teams take care of business down the stretch....both teams are in playoff

OU loss + Notre Dame out + Auburn win over Orgeron = 2 SEC teams are in

LSUs resume can handle a loss better than Alabama though since we have Florida and Texas wins.

Wouldnt hurt to have Auburn seal the deal and spank the gumps in the Iron Bowl after we humiliate them.

A two-loss Bama certainly doesn't make the playoff.....oh wait

Lose a close game in Tuscaloosa (get blown out and you have no chance) and LSU must root against a one-loss PAC 12 championship between Utah and Oregon. LSU won't get in over a one-loss Big 10 champion, the SEC champ, or undefeated Clemson.

So LSU fans should root hard for Washington and USC this weekend.

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if we curb stomp bama they might not make the playoff. a huge if but that's how it would matter.

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Agreed this will go both ways with a blow out win.

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A one-loss Oregon that wins the pac-12 gets in over LSU.

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This would be a shame if this happens. I don't believe it will.

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Oklahoma/Baylor wins out they will be in from the Big 12. They aren’t going to choose a one loss team without a conference championship over one with a championship.

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This, and the playoff committee will be salivating over a Hurts vs Tua playoff game.