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re: Why did Mainieri start to slip late at lsu?

Posted on 3/10/25 at 8:06 am to
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70766 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Probably bought Mainieri an extra season. That team wasn’t going anywhere



Like someone else said, Mainieri wouldnt have got fired, but he might have called it quits after that season instead of 2021 because I do believe that would have been an absolute stinker of a season. Potential to miss the postseason altogether type of season.

We got shutout TWICE in the first 12 games that season and only scored 2 runs in 2 other games in that first 12 games. They couldnt score runs, and we never even got to an SEC team. That team was hitting .253 as a team right before SEC play was about to start (not supplementing that with power either, as we had just 14 HR in 17 games), that's pretty scary bad. About to go into SEC play this year through 17 games we are hitting .333 with 25 HR in 17 games. As a funny comparison point, Jay Johnson has only been shutout once in 216 games here and it happened in his first season.

On the flip side our weekend rotation of Henry, Marceaux and Labas would have kept us in a lot of SEC games at least.
This post was edited on 3/10/25 at 8:13 am
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
21430 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 8:50 am to
quote:

How so?

Mainieri in his first four years made it to Omaha twice.


And this is Jay's fourth season we're currently in. Not that hard to understand.
Posted by GA Tiger
Woodstock
Member since Aug 2005
3299 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 8:57 am to
quote:

I never felt that Mainieri was elite. Not at the start, not at the finish. He was a good coach, but not a Skip. I feel Jay is a step above, time will tell.


There isn’t another Skip.
Posted by Honest Tune
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2011
18208 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 8:59 am to
quote:

Hell, the trainer was the MVP for the 1991 National Championship team as he kept Skip going the whole year.


Was it just me or could anyone else hear Skip grumbling and mumbling with the trainer after they read this quote?
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70766 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 9:14 am to
quote:

There isn’t another Skip.



Yeah nobody will ever be Skip again. He won 5 national titles over a 10 year span. Teams are lucky if they see 2 natties in a 10 year span these days.

Pat Casey is probably closest with 3 in a 13 year span since Skip.
This post was edited on 3/10/25 at 9:17 am
Posted by LongTime Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
2555 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 10:37 am to
quote:

I never felt that Mainieri was elite. Not at the start, not at the finish. He was a good coach, but not a Skip. I feel Jay is a step above, time will tell.


As much as PM praised and admired Skip, he didn't have the "hunches" that Skip did although he relied on those as opposed to the percentages of baseball.
PM's reluctance to sac bunt was ridiculous as we lost many, many games in late innings when man on first and PM "hunched" us into a rally killing double play instead of playing for a tying run. Skip didn't bunt much but he had Gorilla Ball and PM didn't and in most of PM's years we were DP machines on offense. Didn't make sense that he would do the same thing over and over with the same disappointing outcome.
He will, as well as the few PM supporters left at the end, sight the occasional win that came from his "hunches" but the %'s were severely upside down.
And don't buy the SW statement of "retiring to get healthy" Former supporters of PM had enough & pressured SW to cut him loose, although SW might have done it without the heat. And SW hit a grand slam with JJ hire. That guy is fire and will win several more at LSU if he stays here 10 years! Geaux Tigers!
Posted by TexasTiger89
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2005
25638 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 10:41 am to
quote:

has grandchildren,


I agree with your post but find it ironic he took a job out of state so he won't be by his grandchildren assuming they are still in Baton Rouge.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
76373 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

And this is Jay's fourth season we're currently in. Not that hard to understand.



You're missing the context of what Jay took over compared to what Mainieri took over.

Not that hard to understand, but you won't because you don't like me and always want to fight
Posted by Kool Kaliper
Mansfield, TX
Member since Nov 2018
1643 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 4:17 pm to
LSU wears on you, the fans are annoying as hell, they have no patience; stuff like this will burn you out quick.
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
7269 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 4:37 pm to
PM took over a program who, in the last 5 years, had:
- won 40 games 4 times
- went to 2 CWS
- hosted 4 regionals
- won the conference 1 time
- never finished worse than 8th in the conference
- went 35-24 the year before he took over.

PM then took over and went:
- missed post season
- CWS
- National title
- road regional, went 1-2
- missed post season

PM first team notable guys he didn't bring in
- Jared Mitchell
- Hollander
- Ochinko
- Schimpf
- Jared Bradford
- Louis Coleman
- Blake Dean

Jay took over a program that, in the last 5 years
- went to 1 CWS
- won 40+ games 1 time
- hosted twice
- finished higher than 5th in the conference once
- was maybe the last team in the tournament the year before he got there

Jay then took over and went:
- 2 seed lost in regional championship
- national title
- 2 seed lost in regional championship

Jay first team notable guys he didn't bring in
- Crews
- Morgan
- Doughty
- Thompson
- Dugas
- Pearson
- Travinski
- Fontenot?
- Floyd
- Beloso
- Milazzo

You can probably argue successfully that Jay took over a program with better players, though the past results speak for themselves. Jay had the best player, likely ends up with 3 major leaguers. PM started with 2 major leaguers, a first round pick, and the perfect college player in Blake Dean. Outside of Crews and maybe Morgan, I don't think Jay inherited anyone as good as Mitchell, Dean, or Schimpf.

Still, Jay taking over in the SEC in 2022 is infinitely harder than taking over in the SEC in 2007. It's a lot more arguable than how you're portraying it.
Posted by Jim Hopper
Ocean Springs Mississippi
Member since Sep 2019
3576 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

You're missing the context of what Jay took over compared to what Mainieri took over.
both had great players still on the roster, pitching I’ll agree was way worse with Paul’s 07 team compared to Jay’s ‘22 team but smoke/turtle left him with Dean, Ochinko, Schimpf, Hollander, Mitchell, freshmen all American JT Wise, Coleman, & Bertuccini. Outside of Hollander & Wise the rest of course were major contributors to that 09 championship team.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
20633 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:03 pm to
Paul missed post season made Omaha on miracle run, won nc as favorite, snuck in tourny.

JJ- got in tourny safely, won nc, bad reg season but safely in, one of faves to get to Omaha
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
76373 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

PM took over a program who, in the last 5 years, had:
- won 40 games 4 times
- went to 2 CWS
- hosted 4 regionals
- won the conference 1 time
- never finished worse than 8th in the conference
- went 35-24 the year before he took over.


He took over a program that was in shambles after losing a regional for the first time in 10+ years and missing the postseason for the first time in 10+ years. Smoke had the program in the gutter his last year.

Mainieri had the program in the Supers his last year.

Trying to seriously make the argument that 2006 LSU and 2021 are anywhere close to comparable is hilarious.

The roster turnover that Mainieri did from 06 to 07 to 08 was pretty nuts.
This post was edited on 3/10/25 at 5:09 pm
Posted by TheDude321
Member since Sep 2005
3214 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:14 pm to
2018: lingering neck pain that doctors couldn’t find a diagnosis for
2019: his Hall of Famer father (his mentor and hero) died mid-season
2020-2021: COVID seasons, lots of coaches including Mainieri, were unable to find the key to success with all of the various coaching and recruiting restrictions in place
Posted by PP7 for heisman
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2011
7269 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:18 pm to
Why are you just referencing the last year. LSU baseball under PM was going nowhere, very fast. Dylan Crews and Gavin Dugas carried LSU in Eugene. PM had nothing to do with it. LSU got a curtesy invite to the tournament in 21 because PM had announced his retirement the day after the regular season ended. The 20 team would have been even worse. They were 12-5 in the noncon.

Yes, Smoke left a dumpster fire. Even then, LSU had some good-great pieces coming in in 07, a new stadium coming in 09, and the SEC wasn't what it was today, back then. College baseball as a whole wasn't what it was today, back in 07.
quote:

Trying to seriously make the argument that 2006 LSU and 2021 are anywhere close to comparable is hilarious.

These hyperbolic statements do not help your argument. I just laid out exactly why the two situations were extremely comparable. Smoke even won more in his last 5 years than PM did in his last 5 years.
Posted by Casper Crowe
33rd Parallel North
Member since Feb 2025
331 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

he had a serious neck condition that required surgery.
This is the answer.

I emailed Coach Pawl one time when the team was really struggling (maybe a year before he retired) just to show support.

He was nice enough to email me back to say thank you for the kind words.

Always thought of him as a class act who represented the University in the right way.

Thanks for 2009!

Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
76373 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:26 pm to
quote:


Why are you just referencing the last year.


Because that's the situation each coach took over.

What LSU did 5 years prior to Jay or Mainieri means nothing.

ETA: LOL at the downvotes. You're right Mainieri got a kush job because Smoke made the CWS in 03 and 04 with hardly any of those players being on his 07 roster, in which he ran off some.
This post was edited on 3/10/25 at 5:31 pm
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
24142 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:28 pm to
Age assuredly. But also just generationally a different type of baseball guy. Times change too.

Also guys like Jay and Vitello are built different. Obsessed psychos.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
76373 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:32 pm to
The 2006 roster that LSU fielded is the most pathetic roster that LSU fielded since Skip took over.
Posted by Furious
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2023
903 posts
Posted on 3/10/25 at 5:38 pm to
His Hal Hughes love affair was baffling
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