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re: Reasonable long term baseball expectations now that the bar has been set
Posted on 7/3/25 at 1:08 pm to GeauxtigersMs36
Posted on 7/3/25 at 1:08 pm to GeauxtigersMs36
Knocking out one of Tennessee, Arkansas or Texas (or all 3) in Omaha en route to a title
This post was edited on 7/3/25 at 1:10 pm
Posted on 7/3/25 at 1:13 pm to SelaTiger
Regional host (Top 16) - every year
Super regional host (top 8) - 5 of every 6 years
Omaha - 4 of every 5 times hosting SR
Final of 4-team bracket in Omaha (top 4) - 3 of every 4 times in Omaha
Championship series (top 2) - 2 of every 3 times in final four
Championship - At least 1 of 2 times in champ series (I know LSU is 8-1 in champ series, but the law of averages may even out over time).
End result with the above is at least 3 more championships in next 18 seasons (total of 5 in 22 seasons for Jay. Skip had 5 in 18 seasons for comparison).
Super regional host (top 8) - 5 of every 6 years
Omaha - 4 of every 5 times hosting SR
Final of 4-team bracket in Omaha (top 4) - 3 of every 4 times in Omaha
Championship series (top 2) - 2 of every 3 times in final four
Championship - At least 1 of 2 times in champ series (I know LSU is 8-1 in champ series, but the law of averages may even out over time).
End result with the above is at least 3 more championships in next 18 seasons (total of 5 in 22 seasons for Jay. Skip had 5 in 18 seasons for comparison).
This post was edited on 7/3/25 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 7/3/25 at 1:15 pm to SelaTiger
If you can keep having your ace drafted #1 in MLB draft, we can expect to win the natty every other year.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:33 pm to SelaTiger
In the last 40 years we’ve been to Omaha 20 times so every other year at Omaha is very reasonable.
We have won the CWS 20% of that time so a Natty every 5 years is also reasonable.
Looking at where we stand with our Coaching staff, there’s no reason to expect less.

We have won the CWS 20% of that time so a Natty every 5 years is also reasonable.
Looking at where we stand with our Coaching staff, there’s no reason to expect less.

Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:36 pm to SelaTiger
The expectations should be to host a regional every year and make it to Omaha more often than not. Do that and the championships will fall into place
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:36 pm to LSUminati
quote:
Program expectation
1. Omaha every other year
2. Top 8 National Seed every other year
3. Regional Host 3/4 years
4. Make tournament every year
I think the expectations for this board are way beyond that, considering Paul met and in some cases exceeded what you have here, yet was still hated for it because he only won a title.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:37 pm to LSUminati
quote:Not good enough. LSU should host a regional every year
3. Regional Host 3/4 years
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:54 pm to SelaTiger
Win a championship every 10 years
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:56 pm to SelaTiger
quote:
Reasonable long term baseball expectations
I remember my first day on the rant….
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:57 pm to SelaTiger
Baseball expectation is to make it to Omaha every year. Is it going to happen every year? Of course not. But, we should go into every season expecting to be in Omaha. That goes for any coach.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 2:57 pm to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
Omaha 1/3
We have literally been to Omaha 20 times over the last 40 years. Every other year is the norm, and the expectation.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 3:02 pm to Solo Cam
quote:
For some reason everyone is giving Kelly a pass that they would have NEVER give to O or Les
Because Kelly is still owed $10M/year… fired or not. We are stuck with him so pass the hopium until we need the copium.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 3:33 pm to SelaTiger
I'd say the expectation has always been for each recruiting class to go to Omaha at least once, should host a regional most years, be in contention for a top 8 seed every 2-3 years, and definitely make the tournament every year.
LSU has the record for most consecutive top 8 seeds with 6 from 2012-2017. so hosting a super/getting to Omaha every year is an unreasonable expectation because that's just how baseball works.
LSU has the record for most consecutive top 8 seeds with 6 from 2012-2017. so hosting a super/getting to Omaha every year is an unreasonable expectation because that's just how baseball works.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 4:05 pm to Solo Cam
quote:
For some reason everyone is giving Kelly a pass that they would have NEVER give to O or Les
1. O and Les were handed Ferraris. Kelly was given the keys to a Ferrari, but he had to find it amd when he did, it was wrecked with a blown engine, but the transmission was still good.
2. I give Kelly a mulligan for one year because of the NIL change. LSU, it seems, was prepared for what NIL should have been, and not for pay to play, so it hampered them while aTm bought everybody.
3. Not that i'm giving Kelly any leeway, but Verge's scheduling on season openers hasn't gotten the football team off to a good start.
4. For the last few years, the SEC especially near the top has never been better. We saw LSU vs UGA in the SEC championship, there was a clear disparity. You don't close that gap in one year.
All of that being said, the excuses are done and over with now. The players have been paid, the playoff has expanded, and LSU finally has a roster that can play with everybody. It's time for Kelly to finally have them ready to kick arse week 1. Someone needs to put him on some of the old Bonstonker YouTube videos.
Posted on 7/3/25 at 4:20 pm to SelaTiger
The expectations from coaches and players is to win a Natty every year. Why should our's differ? LOL
Posted on 7/3/25 at 4:50 pm to CatholicLSUDude
quote:
quote:
Of course we can’t expect a championship every other year.
Why not!?
It's not like we haven't done it before...
Posted on 7/3/25 at 4:54 pm to SelaTiger
Why do we need to have expectations? We can’t control what happens in the games. Just be a fan, go to the games and cheer for the team. Why isn’t that enough?
Posted on 7/3/25 at 5:26 pm to SelaTiger
Let's be real unreasonable... I would expect him to duplicate what LSU Shreveport did this year... undefeated National Champs at 56-0... if they can do it, Jay can do it.
This post was edited on 7/3/25 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 7/3/25 at 5:29 pm to SelaTiger
I mean let's look at the averages over the last 40 years.
It's reasonable to expect Omaha every other year and a championship every 5 years.
It sounds lofty but Johnson seems like he can certainly meet those.
That being said, if we go more than 5 (probably 2 or 3) without a 'ship, this place will lose its mind and want Johnson out the door.
It's reasonable to expect Omaha every other year and a championship every 5 years.
It sounds lofty but Johnson seems like he can certainly meet those.
That being said, if we go more than 5 (probably 2 or 3) without a 'ship, this place will lose its mind and want Johnson out the door.
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