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Possible outcomes for tomorrow's hearing
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:32 pm
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:32 pm
September 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. in the 19th Judicial District Court for East Baton Rouge Parish.
Full win for the players. Judge Jorden grants the preliminary injunction substantially as requested. The protections continue while the case is litigated, the NCAA cannot use the challenged eligibility rules against the covered plaintiffs, and the SEC cannot use its new professional-athlete rule to punish the athletes, LSU, coaches, or other covered schools for complying with the order. This would be the strongest outcome for the plaintiffs.
Players win, but the judge narrows the order. Jorden could grant an injunction while limiting who or what it protects. For example, he could protect the original eligibility claims but impose conditions on athletes who signed professional contracts, received professional compensation, or participated in NFL activities. The existing TRO already requires covered players with professional contracts to terminate them and repay professional compensation before playing college games.
The fifth-year athletes win, but the SEC wins on the “professional athlete” issue. This is an especially important possibility. The judge could conclude that the NCAA cannot deny these athletes the disputed fifth season but also conclude that the SEC, as a voluntary conference, has the authority to impose its own eligibility standards regarding former professionals. In that scenario, some plaintiffs could have NCAA eligibility but still be unable to play at an SEC school. The SEC has specifically said it intends to defend its rights as a voluntary association tomorrow.
The players beat both rules, but only as applied to these plaintiffs. Jorden could block the NCAA and SEC from enforcing their rules against the named/protected athletes without declaring that every former professional athlete nationwide can return to college. That's an important distinction: the existing Louisiana order isn't a nationwide declaration that professional athletes can return to NCAA competition.
SEC/NCAA win and the TRO is dissolved or stayed. The judge could refuse to issue the preliminary injunction. The temporary protections would then end or be stayed, allowing the NCAA's eligibility restrictions and the SEC's professional-athlete rule to resume against these athletes, subject to any other court orders that separately protect an individual player.
A procedural/no-final-answer outcome. Jorden doesn't necessarily have to give everyone a clean yes/no tomorrow. He could take the matter under advisement, request additional briefing/evidence, extend or modify temporary protection while he considers the preliminary injunction, or issue only part of his decision from the bench.
There's also a separate show-cause issue tomorrow. The NCAA and SEC have been ordered to explain why the SEC's newly adopted professional-athlete penalties did not violate or interfere with the court's earlier TRO. So Jorden could rule on the injunction and separately decide whether there was a violation warranting further action.
At least 322 former college athletes are involved as plaintiffs in nearly 60 lawsuits challenging NCAA eligibility rules nationwide. According to the NCAA's latest comprehensive count, 184 of those athletes had obtained some form of judicial relief allowing or protecting their ability to compete, while 138 had not.
Full win for the players. Judge Jorden grants the preliminary injunction substantially as requested. The protections continue while the case is litigated, the NCAA cannot use the challenged eligibility rules against the covered plaintiffs, and the SEC cannot use its new professional-athlete rule to punish the athletes, LSU, coaches, or other covered schools for complying with the order. This would be the strongest outcome for the plaintiffs.
Players win, but the judge narrows the order. Jorden could grant an injunction while limiting who or what it protects. For example, he could protect the original eligibility claims but impose conditions on athletes who signed professional contracts, received professional compensation, or participated in NFL activities. The existing TRO already requires covered players with professional contracts to terminate them and repay professional compensation before playing college games.
The fifth-year athletes win, but the SEC wins on the “professional athlete” issue. This is an especially important possibility. The judge could conclude that the NCAA cannot deny these athletes the disputed fifth season but also conclude that the SEC, as a voluntary conference, has the authority to impose its own eligibility standards regarding former professionals. In that scenario, some plaintiffs could have NCAA eligibility but still be unable to play at an SEC school. The SEC has specifically said it intends to defend its rights as a voluntary association tomorrow.
The players beat both rules, but only as applied to these plaintiffs. Jorden could block the NCAA and SEC from enforcing their rules against the named/protected athletes without declaring that every former professional athlete nationwide can return to college. That's an important distinction: the existing Louisiana order isn't a nationwide declaration that professional athletes can return to NCAA competition.
SEC/NCAA win and the TRO is dissolved or stayed. The judge could refuse to issue the preliminary injunction. The temporary protections would then end or be stayed, allowing the NCAA's eligibility restrictions and the SEC's professional-athlete rule to resume against these athletes, subject to any other court orders that separately protect an individual player.
A procedural/no-final-answer outcome. Jorden doesn't necessarily have to give everyone a clean yes/no tomorrow. He could take the matter under advisement, request additional briefing/evidence, extend or modify temporary protection while he considers the preliminary injunction, or issue only part of his decision from the bench.
There's also a separate show-cause issue tomorrow. The NCAA and SEC have been ordered to explain why the SEC's newly adopted professional-athlete penalties did not violate or interfere with the court's earlier TRO. So Jorden could rule on the injunction and separately decide whether there was a violation warranting further action.
At least 322 former college athletes are involved as plaintiffs in nearly 60 lawsuits challenging NCAA eligibility rules nationwide. According to the NCAA's latest comprehensive count, 184 of those athletes had obtained some form of judicial relief allowing or protecting their ability to compete, while 138 had not.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:48 pm to Settlement Alliance
judge: all TRO's are honored, or none!!! (probably can't make that determination but one can dream).
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:51 pm to Settlement Alliance
Biggest concern is a temporary win that still leaves us open retroactive punishment if the eventual ruling on the merits goes against us or if the injunction is overturned on appeal.
We either need a ruling that makes clear we are protected (which I’m not even sure the court can do) or we need to use a win to negotiate an amendment to the SEC rule so that it only goes into affect after this season.
We either need a ruling that makes clear we are protected (which I’m not even sure the court can do) or we need to use a win to negotiate an amendment to the SEC rule so that it only goes into affect after this season.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:52 pm to Settlement Alliance
The fifth-year athletes win, but the SEC wins on the “professional athlete” issue.
Been thinking this is a real possibility since the Big 10 got this banning party started last week. Hell, all Power conferences can take the same stand and not impact the ability of these players to take the field for a MAC school or something.
Been thinking this is a real possibility since the Big 10 got this banning party started last week. Hell, all Power conferences can take the same stand and not impact the ability of these players to take the field for a MAC school or something.
This post was edited on 9/2/26 at 3:54 pm
Posted on 9/2/26 at 3:58 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
Biggest concern is a temporary win that still leaves us open retroactive punishment if the eventual ruling on the merits goes against us or if the injunction is overturned on appeal.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:03 pm to IM_4_LSU
The judge rules tomorrow that the players can play. Only LSU adds the players to its roster (I.e. no other SEC team gets into the boat with us).
SEC appeals the decision and the injunction is overturned in a month. We now have ineligible pro players on our roster. Are we 100% confident that the SEC would not be able to, at that point, enforce its punishments against us for rostering ineligible players?
Maybe we are 100% confident. But it could get murky and if I was advising LSU I would not advise them to actually roster the players unless I was 100% sure that an overturn of the injunction would not result in the SEC enforcing its newly passed punishments against us (or if several other teams added players who violate the new rule).
SEC appeals the decision and the injunction is overturned in a month. We now have ineligible pro players on our roster. Are we 100% confident that the SEC would not be able to, at that point, enforce its punishments against us for rostering ineligible players?
Maybe we are 100% confident. But it could get murky and if I was advising LSU I would not advise them to actually roster the players unless I was 100% sure that an overturn of the injunction would not result in the SEC enforcing its newly passed punishments against us (or if several other teams added players who violate the new rule).
This post was edited on 9/2/26 at 4:05 pm
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:06 pm to Settlement Alliance
What irritates me is that the SEC and NCAA talk like we’re signing an NFL veteran like Alvin Kamara to LSU. Anyone with common sense should be able to see that we are not talking about any year other than this year for these players, who went pro because at the time they had to before the 5 for 5 rule went into effect.
So it comes down to either taking the “well that’s life, it’s unfortunate” approach that the rule was changed after their time, or another way to approach is to give the players the other year, since none played in a real NFL game.
So it comes down to either taking the “well that’s life, it’s unfortunate” approach that the rule was changed after their time, or another way to approach is to give the players the other year, since none played in a real NFL game.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:07 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
SEC appeals the decision and the injunction is overturned in a month. We now have ineligible pro players on our roster. Are we 100% confident that the SEC would not be able to, at that point, enforce its punishments against us for rostering ineligible players?
You cannot retroactively punish someone when a court ruling is put in place that makes the decision legal. Even if later it is rescinded they cannot punish you for when it was legal. They can only punish us if we continue to play those players after the fact when it is illegal or against the rules. Its not that hard to understand.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:11 pm to Settlement Alliance
quote:
Possible outcomes for tomorrow's hearing
exponentially more chaos.
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:13 pm to IM_4_LSU
If it was a state or federal law sure. You’re protected from being prosecuted for doing something that was legal at the time you did the act and then subsequently made illegal (I.e get an abortion). Does the same principle apply to punishments handed out by voluntary organizations and voted on by its members? It very well may, and perhaps you’re an expert on the intricacies of temporary injunctions and the applicability of ex post facto doctrine to private organizations, in which case that makes me very relieved. I’m not.
Also the rule was very clearly and intentionally written as “rostering players” not “playing players.”
Also the rule was very clearly and intentionally written as “rostering players” not “playing players.”
Posted on 9/2/26 at 4:17 pm to tigerfan88
quote:
Also the rule was very clearly and intentionally written as “rostering players” not “playing players.”
Semantics. If and when that rule is overturned then you would cut the players from the team. If only there were injunctions given to past players with evidence....oh wait there is. The TRO and injunction prevents the SEC and NCAA from punishing you retroactively. There is a reason why the SEC is trying to maintain is ability to self govern.

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